Hamburger SV v Bayern München result

Full-time · Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · Volksparkstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München — this Bundesliga match was drawn.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Hamburger SV 2.65, Bayern München 2.63 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Hamburger SV and Bayern München drew 2–2 at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 January. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Hamburger SV: Fábio Vieira (34’ pen) and Luka Vušković (53’, assisted by W. Mikelbrencis); Bayern München: Harry Kane (42’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich) and L. Díaz (46’, assisted by Michael Olise).

Discipline

Harm Osmers, Germany showed 10 yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hamburger SV: Nicolai Remberg (23’), M. Muheim (55’), Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga (75’), G. Gocholeishvili (85’), Daniel Heuer Fernandes (90+3’) and N. Capaldo (90+10’); Bayern München: Kim Min-Jae (57’), Harry Kane (87’), Michael Olise (90+5’) and Joshua Kimmich (90+10’).

What it changes

Hamburger SV stay 13th after this result (19 league matches played).

Bayern München stay first after this result (20 league matches played).

Hamburger SV are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fábio Vieira (Hamburger SV) 7.8, Luka Vušković (Hamburger SV) 5.7 and Michael Olise (Bayern München) 5.7 led the match.

Next up

Hamburger SV next travel to SC Paderborn 07 on 24 October 2026.

Bayern München next host Arsenal on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hamburger SV: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Volksparkstadion · Hamburg
  • Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Hamburger SV 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamburger SV 0W 3D 2L · Bayern München 4W 0D 1L

Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 3.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.63
Corners
against 4.38 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 8.75
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.31 yellows
Referee · Harm Osmers, Germany
2.46 home / 1.85 away
over 13 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 January 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHamburger SV for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
3.38 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
18.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
8.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 14.25 against n 8
21.5standard
7.38 for · 7 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany — 4.31 yellow cards a game, 0.23 red cards, 20.31 fouls over 13 matches (2.46 to the home side, 1.85 to the away side).

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 832.9
3.46/3
2.13/1
—
Guilherme Ramos n 823
2.42/1
0.51/0
—
W. Mikelbrencis n 848.9
2.17/2
0.21/0
—
D. Downs n 838.5
24/2
0.31/0
—
N. Remberg n 886.8
1.37/3
2.16/5
—
Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Glatzel n 816.5
23/0
23/0
Fábio Vieira n 874
1.86/3
0.94/1
R. Königsdörffer n 861.8
1.85/3
0.73/1
R. Philippe n 855.4
1.66/2
0.42/0
Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 832.5
1.43/1
13/0
Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Glatzel n 816.5
1.42/0
00/0
Fábio Vieira n 874
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Muheim n 886.4
00/0
0.43/0
A. Sambi Lokonga n 875.6
0.32/0
00/0
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 832.9
00/0
0.31/0
Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Capaldo n 886.4
3.67/6
Guilherme Ramos n 823
2.91/1
Emir Sahiti n 860.4
2.86/5
N. Remberg n 886.8
2.16/6
M. Muheim n 886.4
2.16/6
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
2.45/3
Bayern München
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Jackson n 859.5
2.66/4
0.63/0
—
W. Mike n 59.2
21/0
00/0
—
D. Upamecano n 875.5
1.67/3
0.42/1
—
M. Olise n 873.1
1.44/3
27/4
—
K. Laimer n 874
1.25/3
0.32/0
—
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Mike n 59.2
5.92/1
21/0
H. Kane n 880.6
3.88/7
2.87/7
S. Gnabry n 850.6
3.35/4
2.24/4
N. Jackson n 859.5
2.66/3
1.33/1
M. Olise n 873.1
2.58/4
26/4
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Musiala n 833.9
1.73/1
0.31/0
M. Olise n 873.1
0.63/1
1.15/1
S. Gnabry n 850.6
0.73/0
0.73/0
H. Kane n 880.6
16/1
0.11/0
L. Díaz n 890
0.32/0
0.64/1
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Upamecano n 875.5
3.67/4
K. Laimer n 874
3.28/5
A. Davies n 832.4
2.85/2
J. Musiala n 833.9
2.35/2
J. Tah n 887.1
1.86/4
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Urbig n 890
2.64/4
M. Neuer n 890
1.84/2

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hamburger SVBayern München
28%Possession72%
2.25Expected goals (xG)2.41
14Shots13
4Shots on target7
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box8
3Corners9
3Offsides1
12Fouls16
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves1
262Passes689
79%Pass accuracy91%

Hamburger SV player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Heuer Fernandes90000000Y8.3
N. Capaldo90003114Y6.3
L. Vušković9010210107.3
Daniel Elfadli9000000306.9
N. Remberg90000001Y7.3
M. Muheim90001023Y7.9
A. Sambi Lokonga85000023Y6.9
Fábio Vieira8510320107
W. Mikelbrencis7301001207
R. Königsdörffer7300001006.9
B. Jatta5900000006.2
G. Gocholeishvili sub31000004Y7
W. Omari sub1700000006.9
R. Philippe sub1700001006.5
I. Pherai sub1600000106.9
R. Glatzel sub1600000006.5

Bayern München player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Neuer9000000006.2
J. Stanišić9000000105.9
D. Upamecano9000000007
A. Davies9000000106.3
J. Kimmich90013130Y7.2
A. Pavlović9000002207
M. Olise90011113Y6.2
H. Kane90102120Y7
Kim Min-Jae65000000Y7
S. Gnabry6500103006.6
L. Karl4500110106.7
L. Díaz sub4510110007.5
J. Tah sub2500110006.7
J. Musiala sub2500110006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamburger SVLDLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Hamburger SV 0 · 0 draws · Bayern München 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-09-13 Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2018-03-10 Bayern Munich 6–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2017-10-21 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2025/26
Hamburger SV#13 pos38 pts34 pl-14 GD
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
Goals per game
Hamburger SV scored1.18
Bayern München scored3.59
Hamburger SV conceded1.59
Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot map and expected goals

Hamburger SV 2.65 xG from 14 shots, Bayern München 2.63 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Joshua Kimmich 41' · 0.51 xGNicolás Capaldo 30' · 0.47 xGLennart Karl 14' · 0.31 xGFábio Vieira 74' · 0.29 xGMichael Olise 13' · 0.27 xGFábio Vieira 4' · 0.15 xGJonathan Tah 66' · 0.14 xGLuka Vuskovic 5' · 0.11 xGFábio Vieira 49' · 0.10 xGNicolás Capaldo 58' · 0.09 xGNicolás Capaldo 23' · 0.08 xGRansford Königsdörffer 6' · 0.06 xGLuis Díaz 94' · 0.06 xGJamal Musiala 89' · 0.05 xGJoshua Kimmich 90' · 0.05 xGFábio Vieira 49' · 0.05 xGNicolás Capaldo 58' · 0.04 xGSerge Gnabry 15' · 0.03 xGJoshua Kimmich 28' · 0.03 xGFábio Vieira 23' · 0.02 xGHarry Kane 21' · 0.02 xGSerge Gnabry 12' · 0.02 xGMiro Muheim 7' · 0.02 xGFábio Vieira 33' · 0.76 xG · goalHarry Kane 41' · 0.66 xG · goalLuis Díaz 45' · 0.48 xG · goalLuka Vuskovic 52' · 0.41 xG · goal
Hamburger SV (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hamburger SV1422.65
Bayern München1322.63

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Bayern München?
In their last 3 meetings, Hamburger SV won 0, Bayern München won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Bayern München?
Recent form — Hamburger SV 0W 3D 2L; Bayern München 4W 0D 1L.

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