Hamburger SV v Bayern München result
Team pages: Hamburger SV · Bayern München
Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München — this Bundesliga match was drawn.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Hamburger SV 2.65, Bayern München 2.63 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Hamburger SV and Bayern München drew 2–2 at Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 31 January. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Hamburger SV: Fábio Vieira (34’ pen) and Luka Vušković (53’, assisted by W. Mikelbrencis); Bayern München: Harry Kane (42’, assisted by Joshua Kimmich) and L. Díaz (46’, assisted by Michael Olise).
Discipline
Harm Osmers, Germany showed 10 yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hamburger SV: Nicolai Remberg (23’), M. Muheim (55’), Albert-Mboyo Sambi Lokonga (75’), G. Gocholeishvili (85’), Daniel Heuer Fernandes (90+3’) and N. Capaldo (90+10’); Bayern München: Kim Min-Jae (57’), Harry Kane (87’), Michael Olise (90+5’) and Joshua Kimmich (90+10’).
What it changes
Hamburger SV stay 13th after this result (19 league matches played).
Bayern München stay first after this result (20 league matches played).
Hamburger SV are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fábio Vieira (Hamburger SV) 7.8, Luka Vušković (Hamburger SV) 5.7 and Michael Olise (Bayern München) 5.7 led the match.
Next up
Hamburger SV next travel to SC Paderborn 07 on 24 October 2026.
Bayern München next host Arsenal on 21 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Hamburger SV: SC Paderborn 07 v Hamburger SV, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Arsenal, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München · Bundesliga
- Venue: Volksparkstadion · Hamburg
- Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany
- Head-to-head (last 3): Hamburger SV 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 3 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Hamburger SV 0W 3D 2L · Bayern München 4W 0D 1L
Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Hamburger SV for / against | Line | Bayern München for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 3.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 8.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.38 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany — 4.31 yellow cards a game, 0.23 red cards, 20.31 fouls over 13 matches (2.46 to the home side, 1.85 to the away side).
Hamburger SV
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 8 | 32.9 | 3.4 | 2.1 | — |
| Guilherme Ramos n 8 | 23 | 2.4 | 0.5 | — |
| W. Mikelbrencis n 8 | 48.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| D. Downs n 8 | 38.5 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| N. Remberg n 8 | 86.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 16.5 | 2 | 2 |
| Fábio Vieira n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| R. Königsdörffer n 8 | 61.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| R. Philippe n 8 | 55.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé n 8 | 32.5 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 16.5 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Fábio Vieira n 8 | 74 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| M. Muheim n 8 | 86.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga n 8 | 75.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit n 8 | 32.9 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Capaldo n 8 | 86.4 | 3.6 |
| Guilherme Ramos n 8 | 23 | 2.9 |
| Emir Sahiti n 8 | 60.4 | 2.8 |
| N. Remberg n 8 | 86.8 | 2.1 |
| M. Muheim n 8 | 86.4 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Bayern München
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Jackson n 8 | 59.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | — |
| W. Mike n 5 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 75.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Olise n 8 | 73.1 | 1.4 | 2 | — |
| K. Laimer n 8 | 74 | 1.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mike n 5 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 2 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.6 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 50.6 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 59.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 73.1 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Musiala n 8 | 33.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| M. Olise n 8 | 73.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| S. Gnabry n 8 | 50.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| H. Kane n 8 | 80.6 | 1 | 0.1 |
| L. Díaz n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Upamecano n 8 | 75.5 | 3.6 |
| K. Laimer n 8 | 74 | 3.2 |
| A. Davies n 8 | 32.4 | 2.8 |
| J. Musiala n 8 | 33.9 | 2.3 |
| J. Tah n 8 | 87.1 | 1.8 |
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Match statistics & details
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| 28% | Possession | 72% |
| 2.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.41 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 11 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 262 | Passes | 689 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 91% |
Hamburger SV player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 8.3 |
| N. Capaldo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.3 |
| L. Vušković | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Daniel Elfadli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Remberg | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| M. Muheim | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 7.9 |
| A. Sambi Lokonga | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| Fábio Vieira | 85 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| W. Mikelbrencis | 73 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Königsdörffer | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Jatta | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Gocholeishvili sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7 |
| W. Omari sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Philippe sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Pherai sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Glatzel sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Bayern München player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Stanišić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| D. Upamecano | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Davies | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| A. Pavlović | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Olise | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.2 |
| H. Kane | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Kim Min-Jae | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| S. Gnabry | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Karl | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Díaz sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Tah sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Musiala sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-13 Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV
- 2018-03-10 Bayern Munich 6–0 Hamburger SV
- 2017-10-21 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayern Munich
Shot map and expected goals
Hamburger SV 2.65 xG from 14 shots, Bayern München 2.63 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 14 | 2 | 2.65 |
| Bayern München | 13 | 2 | 2.63 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Bayern München?
- In their last 3 meetings, Hamburger SV won 0, Bayern München won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Bayern München?
- Recent form — Hamburger SV 0W 3D 2L; Bayern München 4W 0D 1L.
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