Hamburger SV v Bayern München prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Volksparkstadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hamburger SV · Bayern München

TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamburger SV v Bayern München, Bundesliga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hamburger SV host Bayern München in the Bundesliga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). 13 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Bayern München have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hamburger SV have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Hamburger SV have scored seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Hamburger SV have conceded 19 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Bayern München’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Bayern München have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.13. Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games).

Hamburger SV have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Hamburger SV (15th) and Bayern München (first) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bayern München the stronger side, 559 rating points above Hamburger SV (Bayern München 2008, Hamburger SV 1449, after at least 80 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Hamburger SV, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München.

Team news

Predicted Hamburger SV XI (3-4-2-1): D. Fernandes, W. Omari, S. Nandja, S. Bornauw, D. Møller Wolfe, M. Adeline, M. Muheim, A. Sambi Lokonga, Z. El Ouahdi, A. Grønbæk, T. Moffi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, M. Muheim (5.5 per match over five appearances, two goals and one assist) and A. Grønbæk (4.4 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Muheim averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 574 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Grønbæk averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bayern München XI (4-2-3-1): J. Urbig, D. Upamecano, J. Stanišić, J. Tah, K. Laimer, M. Olise, T. Bischof, J. Kimmich, L. Karl, A. Pavlović, H. Kane — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michael Olise (9.6 per match over 14 appearances, 12 goals and six assists) and Harry Kane (7.1 per match over 14 appearances, 10 goals and nine assists) have been Bayern München’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bayern München (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michael Olise averages 3.4 key passes per 90 over 2152 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harry Kane averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2221 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT · Bundesliga · Volksparkstadion
Head-to-head (last 4): Hamburger SV 0 · draws 1 · Bayern München 3 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Hamburger SV 2W 0D 3L · Bayern München 3W 2D 0L

Hamburger SV v Bayern München (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 3.25

Goals

against 2.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 7.38

Corners

against 6 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 8.38

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Hamburger SV for / against	Line	Bayern München for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	3.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	21.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	8.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.63 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Goalkeeper

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Heuer Fernandes	8	90720 min	344.3 /90	151.9 /90	00 /90
S. Tangvik	2	90180 min	63 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	4.3 7/7
S. Tangvik n 3	90	4.3 3/2

Hamburger SV Defensive

Hamburger SV — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Capaldo	7	88615 min	202.9 /90	142 /90	20.3 /90	416 /90	131.9 /90	20.3 /90
S. Bornauw	7	84585 min	50.8 /90	111.7 /90	81.2 /90	274.2 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
W. Omari	7	80557 min	61 /90	142.3 /90	61 /90	233.7 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90
S. Nandja	6	80478 min	122.3 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	244.5 /90	61.1 /90	30.6 /90
J. Torunarigha	5	79397 min	51.1 /90	102.3 /90	40.9 /90	214.8 /90	71.6 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	87.6	1.2 6/2	1.3 5/3	—
M. Adeline n 8	76.8	1.8 7/5	0.3 2/0	—
A. Grønbæk n 8	72.1	0.9 5/1	2.2 7/3	—
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	70.6	1.6 6/2	1 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	87.6	1.2 5/2
M. Adeline n 8	76.8	2.8 6/5
A. Grønbæk n 8	72.1	2.8 5/5
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	70.6	1.4 6/3
N. Capaldo n 8	88.1	2.7 8/5
See more players · Pro

Hamburger SV Attacking

Hamburger SV — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Grønbæk	8	72577 min	20.3 /90	30.5 /90	91.4 /90	50.8 /90	121.9 /90	60.9 /90
T. Moffi	7	52367 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90
P. Daka	7	49341 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	102.6 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90
Otto Emerson Stange	7	33232 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90
Y. Poulsen	6	45270 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90
See more players · Pro

Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
M. Adeline n 8	76.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
A. Grønbæk n 8	72.1	1.4 5/3	0.8 3/2
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	70.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hamburger SV before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Møller Wolfe n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Adeline n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Grønbæk n 8	72.1	0.3 1/1	0.5 2/1
A. Sambi Lokonga n 8	70.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Neuer	8	89711 min	172.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
J. Urbig	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90

Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 8	88.9	2.2 6/4
J. Urbig n 8	90	2.3 5/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Stanišić	13	67867 min	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	363.7 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
A. Davies	13	64831 min	151.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90	657 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
D. Upamecano	12	83990 min	322.9 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90	686.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90
N. Brown	12	60718 min	111.4 /90	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	273.4 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
K. Laimer	11	82902 min	181.8 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	363.6 /90	212.1 /90	30.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.4 3/0	0.8 4/1	—
M. Olise n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	2.4 7/6	—
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.8 4/1	0.8 3/1	—
A. Davies n 8	66.8	0.2 1/0	1.9 5/3	—
I. Saibari n 8	49	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
See more players · Pro

Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.4 3/0
M. Olise n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.9 4/2
A. Davies n 8	66.8	1.3 6/2
I. Saibari n 8	49	1.6 6/1
See more players · Pro

Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Kane	14	821153 min	100.8 /90	90.7 /90	534.1 /90	201.6 /90	282.2 /90	100.8 /90
M. Olise	14	821146 min	120.9 /90	60.5 /90	503.9 /90	302.4 /90	544.2 /90	403.1 /90
I. Saibari	13	48630 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	273.9 /90	111.6 /90	131.9 /90	131.9 /90
J. Kimmich	12	83996 min	00 /90	40.4 /90	111 /90	40.4 /90	211.9 /90	20.2 /90
A. Pavlović	11	75830 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90	171.8 /90	60.7 /90
See more players · Pro

Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	4.4 8/8	1.7 6/3
M. Olise n 8	84.4	3.7 8/7	2.3 6/5
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
A. Davies n 8	66.8	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
I. Saibari n 8	49	5.1 7/7	2.3 6/3
See more players · Pro

Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 8	84.5	0.8 4/2	0.9 5/2
M. Olise n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 4/0
J. Stanišić n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
A. Davies n 8	66.8	0.3 2/0	0.5 2/1
I. Saibari n 8	49	0.7 3/0	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hamburger SVWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Bayern MünchenDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Hamburger SV 0 · 1 draw · Bayern München 3 · 4 goals/game

2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern München
2025-09-13 Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV
2018-03-10 Bayern Munich 6–0 Hamburger SV
2017-10-21 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayern Munich

League standing · 2026/27

Hamburger SV#15 pos9 pts8 pl-12 GD

Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD

Goals per game

Hamburger SV scored0.88

Bayern München scored3.38

Hamburger SV conceded2.38

Bayern München conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Bayern München?: In their last 4 meetings, Hamburger SV won 0, Bayern München won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Bayern München?: Recent form — Hamburger SV 2W 0D 3L; Bayern München 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.