RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach result

Full-time · RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · · Red Bull Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach — RB Leipzig won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said RB Leipzig: 2.57 to 1.74 in expected goals, from 24 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 18th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 at Red Bull Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 11 April. It is RB Leipzig’s first win over Borussia Mönchengladbach since 17 February 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — RB Leipzig: Yan Diomande (80’, assisted by C. Baumgartner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yan Diomande’s goal on 80 minutes.

Discipline

Sascha Stegemann, Germany showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — RB Leipzig: R. Baku (33’), Nicolas Seiwald (47’), Xaver Schlager (78’) and Brajan Gruda (82’); Borussia Mönchengladbach: Joseph Scally (35’).

What it changes

RB Leipzig move up from fourth to third (29 league matches played). RB Leipzig have scored 66 goals, the fifth-most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). RB Leipzig have conceded 47 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

Borussia Mönchengladbach stay 13th after this result (29 league matches played). Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored 42 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs.

RB Leipzig have won their last three matches in all competitions. Borussia Mönchengladbach are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yan Diomande (RB Leipzig) 11.0, David Raum (RB Leipzig) 7.5 and C. Baumgartner (RB Leipzig) 7.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Borussia Mönchengladbach are unbeaten in the last three meetings with RB Leipzig.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

RB Leipzig next host FC Augsburg on 7 November 2026.

Borussia Mönchengladbach next travel to Hamburger SV on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig v FC Augsburg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Hamburger SV v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena · Leipzig
  • Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): RB Leipzig 3 · draws 2 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: RB Leipzig 4W 0D 1L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 2D 1L

RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.25 / 3 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · Sascha Stegemann, Germany
20.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRB Leipzig for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 3 against n 8

Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 20.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Goalkeeper

RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Gulácsi22871919 min522.4 /90281.3 /9000 /90
Maarten Vandevoordt1188968 min333.1 /90141.3 /9010.1 /90
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gulácsi n 882.4
2.64/2
Maarten Vandevoordt n 886.4
3.17/5

RB Leipzig Defensive

RB Leipzig — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Orbán32902867 min441.4 /90361.1 /90300.9 /901946.1 /90180.6 /9040.1 /90
D. Raum31892753 min521.7 /90361.2 /90110.4 /901003.3 /90311 /9070.2 /90
R. Baku29802307 min592.3 /90251 /90100.4 /901024 /90240.9 /9040.2 /90
C. Lukeba25892217 min291.2 /90341.4 /90200.8 /90843.4 /90110.4 /9020.1 /90
E. Bitshiabu671426 min91.9 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90173.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Orbán n 890
0.93/3
0.85/1
K. Diks
N. Seiwald n 886.6
0.94/2
0.32/0
R. Reitz
D. Raum n 889
0.94/3
0.64/1
N. Elvedi
C. Baumgartner n 889.4
2.67/6
0.65/0
R. Reitz
Y. Diomande n 886.1
0.73/2
27/5
H. Tabaković
See more players · Pro
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
1.46/3
N. Seiwald n 886.6
2.38/7
D. Raum n 889
14/4
C. Baumgartner n 889.4
1.34/3
Y. Diomande n 886.1
0.86/0
See more players · Pro

RB Leipzig Attacking

RB Leipzig — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Diomande30732199 min110.5 /9070.3 /90371.5 /90241 /90441.8 /901024.2 /90
A. Nusa28711982 min40.2 /9030.1 /90371.7 /90160.7 /90341.5 /90612.8 /90
Rômulo26751960 min80.4 /9040.2 /90432 /90231.1 /90231.1 /9090.4 /90
C. Harder1749836 min20.2 /9040.4 /90313.3 /90171.8 /90111.2 /9060.6 /90
J. Bakayoko1653840 min30.3 /9000 /90141.5 /9080.9 /90111.2 /90192 /90
See more players · Pro
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
0.53/1
0.31/1
N. Seiwald n 886.6
0.42/1
0.31/1
D. Raum n 889
0.42/1
0.32/0
C. Baumgartner n 889.4
1.66/4
0.63/2
Y. Diomande n 886.1
1.45/4
0.83/2
See more players · Pro
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for RB Leipzig before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Orbán n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Seiwald n 886.6
00/0
00/0
D. Raum n 889
00/0
0.43/0
C. Baumgartner n 889.4
0.52/2
00/0
Y. Diomande n 886.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach Goalkeeper

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Nicolas31902790 min1133.6 /90531.7 /9000 /90
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
3.27/4

Borussia Mönchengladbach Defensive

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Elvedi31902787 min391.3 /90321 /90230.7 /901193.8 /90170.5 /9030.1 /90
K. Diks27882387 min421.6 /90200.8 /90160.6 /901104.1 /90130.5 /9060.2 /90
J. Scally26862225 min421.7 /90140.6 /9050.2 /901405.7 /90261.1 /9060.2 /90
P. Sander26802090 min612.6 /90431.9 /9060.3 /901375.9 /90220.9 /9010 /90
L. Ullrich19681283 min241.7 /90191.3 /9050.4 /90543.8 /90161.1 /9020.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Elvedi n 889.6
0.53/1
0.64/1
D. Raum
R. Reitz n 879.9
28/5
1.38/1
C. Baumgartner
H. Tabaković n 871.6
1.76/4
0.64/0
Y. Diomande
K. Diks n 888.9
0.53/1
16/2
W. Orbán
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Elvedi n 889.6
1.36/2
R. Reitz n 879.9
1.35/2
H. Tabaković n 871.6
0.52/1
K. Diks n 888.9
1.36/2
J. Scally n 878.4
1.76/4
See more players · Pro

Borussia Mönchengladbach Attacking

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Tabaković29772220 min120.5 /9030.1 /90532.1 /90271.1 /90180.7 /9050.2 /90
F. Honorat25761890 min20.1 /9090.4 /90140.7 /9080.4 /90552.6 /90211 /90
S. Machino20531056 min40.3 /9010.1 /90221.9 /90121 /90161.4 /9020.2 /90
G. Ranos32574 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
A. Sarco22447 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.9 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Elvedi n 889.6
0.43/0
00/0
R. Reitz n 879.9
1.17/1
0.11/0
H. Tabaković n 871.6
1.46/3
0.85/0
K. Diks n 888.9
16/1
0.64/1
See more players · Pro
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Borussia Mönchengladbach before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Nicolas n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Elvedi n 889.6
00/0
00/0
R. Reitz n 879.9
00/0
00/0
H. Tabaković n 871.6
0.21/0
00/0
K. Diks n 888.9
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
52%Possession48%
2.43Expected goals (xG)1.78
24Shots15
11Shots on target3
7Shots off target7
6Blocked shots5
18Shots inside the box11
11Corners4
3Offsides1
9Fouls6
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves11
442Passes413
83%Pass accuracy78%

RB Leipzig Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Maarten Vandevoordt9000000007.6
W. Orbán9000001207.9
E. Bitshiabu9000000007
D. Raum9000328208.3
C. Baumgartner9001322107.3
X. Schlager90001101Y6.9
Y. Diomande8910113209.6
R. Baku78003231Y7.2
N. Seiwald78001112Y6.9
Rômulo6600411105.6
A. Nusa6600001106.7
J. Bakayoko sub2400110006.6
A. Ouédraogo sub2400101006.6
B. Gruda sub12000001Y7.2
B. Henrichs sub1200000006.6
Max Finkgräfe sub10000000–

Borussia Mönchengladbach Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Nicolas9000000008.9
J. Scally90000032Y6.5
N. Elvedi9000001108
R. Reitz9000210107.3
P. Sander9000000206.9
H. Tabaković9000200107.2
Y. Engelhardt8500000006.7
F. Honorat8500001106.9
J. Castrop8500311206.6
K. Diks6200002107
L. Ullrich3300101006.3
H. Bolin sub5700110206.9
F. Chiarodia sub2800100406.9
K. Stöger sub1200000006.3
W. Mohya sub1200000006.5
S. Machino sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RB LeipzigWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
RB Leipzig 3 · 2 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-28 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2025-03-29 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig
  • 2024-11-09 RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-02-17 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2023-09-23 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig
  • 2023-03-11 RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
League standing · 2025/26
RB Leipzig#3 pos65 pts34 pl+19 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#12 pos38 pts34 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
RB Leipzig scored1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.24
RB Leipzig conceded1.38
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded1.56

Shot Map and Expected Goals

RB Leipzig 2.57 xG from 24 shots, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.74 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Fabio Chiarodia 83' · 0.60 xGJens Castrop 16' · 0.47 xGRômulo 18' · 0.46 xGXaver Schlager 76' · 0.40 xGBote Baku 10' · 0.37 xGNicolas Seiwald 35' · 0.16 xGRocco Reitz 83' · 0.12 xGRômulo 56' · 0.12 xGHaris Tabakovic 87' · 0.11 xGRômulo 63' · 0.10 xGBote Baku 27' · 0.09 xGRômulo 62' · 0.09 xGRocco Reitz 34' · 0.09 xGJohan Bakayoko 89' · 0.08 xGBote Baku 14' · 0.08 xGLukas Ullrich 23' · 0.07 xGRômulo 63' · 0.07 xGChristoph Baumgartner 13' · 0.06 xGHaris Tabakovic 71' · 0.06 xGDavid Raum 47' · 0.06 xGChristoph Baumgartner 92' · 0.06 xGRômulo 37' · 0.06 xGChristoph Baumgartner 46' · 0.05 xGDavid Raum 72' · 0.05 xGJens Castrop 4' · 0.04 xGJens Castrop 20' · 0.04 xGJohan Bakayoko 86' · 0.03 xGHugo Bolin 33' · 0.03 xGHugo Bolin 95' · 0.03 xGXaver Schlager 73' · 0.03 xGJohan Bakayoko 68' · 0.02 xGRocco Reitz 22' · 0.02 xGHugo Bolin 96' · 0.02 xGRocco Reitz 23' · 0.02 xGDavid Raum 50' · 0.02 xGAssan Ouédraogo 86' · 0.02 xGRocco Reitz 95' · 0.01 xGChristoph Baumgartner 40' · 0.01 xGYan Diomande 80' · 0.10 xG · goal
RB Leipzig (attacking right)Borussia Mönchengladbach (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
RB Leipzig2412.57
Borussia Mönchengladbach1501.74

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 1.28 to 0.77. At full time, RB Leipzig led on xG, 2.57 to 1.74. The widest gap was 1.55 xG to RB Leipzig, in the 80th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - RB Leipzig 80 min
RB Leipzig 2.57 xGBorussia Mönchengladbach 1.74 xGdots = goals · 39 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 6 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — RB Leipzig 4W 0D 1L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+