This Matchweek

SC Freiburg v Bayern München result

Full-time · SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · Signal Iduna Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SC Freiburg · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.53 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.5% of 131 landed (95% range 78.5–90.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 3.15 to 0.84 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the 15th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München won 3–1 at Signal Iduna Park in the Bundesliga on Sunday 25 October. Bayern München have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 2–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bayern München: Dayotchanculle Upamecano (16’, assisted by Michael Olise), Serge Gnabry (42’, assisted by Nathaniel Brown), an own goal by Tom Bischof (82’) and Michael Olise (90+5’).

Discipline

The bookings — SC Freiburg: Lucas Höler (25’), Jan-Niklas Beste (55’) and Maximilian Eggestein (85’); Bayern München: Jonathan Tah (65’).

What it changes

SC Freiburg stay third after this result (seven league matches played). SC Freiburg have scored 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SC Freiburg have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München stay first after this result (seven league matches played). Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SC Freiburg have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 11.8, Dayotchanculle Upamecano (Bayern München) 7.7 and Mio Backhaus (SC Freiburg) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with SC Freiburg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

SC Freiburg next travel to Trabzonspor on 5 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to Atletico Madrid on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SC Freiburg: Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg, Thursday 5 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Atletico Madrid v Bayern München, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park · Dortmund
  • Referee: Felix Zwayer
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 0 · draws 1 · Bayern München 5 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L · Bayern München 2W 3D 0L

SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 3.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
5.88 / 9.13
Corners
against 3.5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 9.75
Shots on target
against 3 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.75our book
3.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
9.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
23.5 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
9.75 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Felix Zwayer.

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg Goalkeeper

SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Backhaus1190990 min141.3 /90141.3 /9000 /90
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.64/3

SC Freiburg Defensive

SC Freiburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Ginter1189978 min161.5 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90676.2 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
J. Makengo1080804 min80.9 /90151.7 /9040.4 /90485.4 /9091 /9000 /90
P. Lienhart973654 min81.1 /9091.2 /9040.6 /90344.7 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
P. Treu971638 min202.8 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90344.8 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
L. Kübler756394 min61.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90245.5 /9040.9 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Eggestein n 890
0.32/0
0.64/1
—
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
—
M. Ginter n 890
0.53/1
1.88/4
—
I. Matanović n 875
1.15/2
2.38/4
—
J. Makengo n 879.1
16/1
2.17/4
—
See more players · Pro
SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.47/3
M. Ginter n 890
1.46/2
I. Matanović n 875
0.63/1
J. Makengo n 879.1
0.95/1
Y. Suzuki n 873.3
0.63/1
See more players · Pro

SC Freiburg Attacking

SC Freiburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Matanović1170768 min60.7 /9030.4 /90242.8 /90151.8 /90141.6 /90151.8 /90
L. Höler741284 min10.3 /9000 /9072.2 /9031 /9031 /9010.3 /90
Cyriaque Kalou Irié549243 min10.4 /9000 /9093.3 /9031.1 /9051.9 /9083 /90
K. Goto432128 min21.4 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9000 /90
M. Eggestein1190990 min40.4 /9010.1 /90141.3 /9080.7 /90141.3 /9060.5 /90
See more players · Pro
SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
1.48/3
0.96/1
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 890
1.45/4
0.32/0
I. Matanović n 875
2.68/5
1.55/3
J. Makengo n 879.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SC Freiburg before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
00/0
M. Backhaus n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Ginter n 890
00/0
0.42/1
I. Matanović n 875
0.52/1
0.21/0
J. Makengo n 879.1
00/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer789621 min142 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Urbig490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
1.95/3
J. Urbig n 882.5
2.35/3

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Upamecano980720 min222.8 /90111.4 /9030.4 /90526.5 /9091.1 /9020.3 /90
A. Davies967600 min111.7 /9081.2 /9010.2 /90487.2 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Stanišić963567 min81.3 /9020.3 /9030.5 /90264.1 /9050.8 /9000 /90
J. Tah878621 min81.2 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90243.5 /9071 /9000 /90
Kim Min-Jae875602 min111.6 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90223.3 /9071 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Kane n 878.9
0.43/0
0.64/0
—
L. Díaz n 866.5
1.76/4
0.52/1
—
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.64/0
—
M. Olise n 880.4
0.63/1
3.28/7
—
I. Saibari n 850.8
1.35/1
0.21/0
—
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Kane n 878.9
0.32/0
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/2
J. Kimmich n 880.6
1.15/2
M. Olise n 880.4
1.56/2
I. Saibari n 850.8
1.35/1
See more players · Pro

Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane1180883 min101 /9070.7 /90404.1 /90191.9 /90232.3 /9090.9 /90
S. Gnabry341122 min00 /9000 /9043 /9021.5 /9032.2 /9000 /90
L. Díaz1172793 min50.6 /9010.1 /90202.3 /90151.7 /90192.2 /90171.9 /90
J. Kimmich1082816 min00 /9040.4 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90182 /9010.1 /90
M. Olise1081814 min91 /9040.4 /90384.2 /90262.9 /90414.5 /90333.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Kane n 878.9
4.48/8
2.38/4
L. Díaz n 866.5
2.27/3
1.97/2
J. Kimmich n 880.6
1.16/1
0.43/0
M. Olise n 880.4
4.28/7
3.18/5
I. Saibari n 850.8
3.36/5
1.33/2
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 22 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Kane n 878.9
1.16/2
15/2
L. Díaz n 866.5
0.72/1
0.21/0
J. Kimmich n 880.6
00/0
0.32/0
M. Olise n 880.4
14/2
0.43/0
I. Saibari n 850.8
0.42/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SC FreiburgBayern München
44%Possession56%
1.01Expected goals (xG)2.91
16Shots17
4Shots on target9
5Shots off target7
7Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box12
5Corners6
1Offsides1
9Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves4
407Passes523

SC Freiburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Eggestein90001003Y6.2
M. Ginter9000112006.6
J. Makengo9000000206
Y. Suzuki9000102206.5
P. Treu9000001106.3
M. Backhaus9000000006.9
P. Lienhart7700000206.4
D. Scherhant7700110306
J. Beste64002011Y5.8
P. Osterhage5800101306.1
L. Höler57003000Y6.2
I. Matanović3300420106.9
R. Yamamoto3200000005.8
Cyriaque Kalou Irié2600100106.4
M. Rosenfelder1300000005.9
V. Grifo1300102006.3

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Tah90000012Y6.7
D. Upamecano9010210407.8
M. Olise9011325109
K. Laimer9000002107.1
T. Bischof9000001206.2
J. Urbig9000000007.5
H. Kane9000212106.4
L. Karl8600101206.3
N. Brown7301221007.3
J. Stanišić6100000006.8
S. Gnabry6110310207.9
I. Saibari2900420106.8
S. Boey2900000207.1
A. Davies1700001106.7
H. Ito400000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 0 · 1 draw · Bayern München 5 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayern München
  • 2025-11-22 Bayern München 6–2 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-01-25 SC Freiburg 1–2 Bayern München
  • 2024-09-01 Bayern München 2–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-03-01 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-10-08 Bayern Munich 3–0 SC Freiburg
League standing · 2026/27
SC Freiburg#3 pos16 pts8 pl+8 GD
Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored2.25
Bayern München scored3.38
SC Freiburg conceded1.25
Bayern München conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SC Freiburg 0.84 xG from 16 shots, Bayern München 3.15 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ismael Saibari 74' · 0.47 xGIsmael Saibari 80' · 0.43 xGHarry Kane 56' · 0.38 xGNathaniel Brown 68' · 0.14 xGLucas Höler 21' · 0.12 xGHarry Kane 80' · 0.12 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 75' · 0.10 xGIgor Matanovic 84' · 0.10 xGLucas Höler 21' · 0.10 xGNathaniel Brown 33' · 0.09 xGMichael Olise 23' · 0.09 xGLennart Karl 24' · 0.08 xGIgor Matanovic 91' · 0.08 xGIsmael Saibari 61' · 0.08 xGIgor Matanovic 86' · 0.07 xGVincenzo Grifo 83' · 0.06 xGJan-Niklas Beste 15' · 0.06 xGMichael Olise 72' · 0.06 xGPatrick Osterhage 13' · 0.05 xGIsmael Saibari 72' · 0.05 xGSerge Gnabry 27' · 0.05 xGDerry Scherhant 46' · 0.04 xGJan-Niklas Beste 52' · 0.03 xGCyriaque Irié 82' · 0.03 xGMaximilian Eggestein 78' · 0.02 xGMatthias Ginter 90' · 0.02 xGSerge Gnabry 40' · 0.02 xGIgor Matanovic 58' · 0.02 xGYuito Suzuki 29' · 0.02 xGLucas Höler 47' · 0.01 xGTom Bischof 81' · 0.00 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 15' · 0.46 xG · goalSerge Gnabry 41' · 0.33 xG · goalMichael Olise 94' · 0.20 xG · goal
SC Freiburg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
SC Freiburg1600.84
Bayern München1833.15

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 1.12 to 0.35. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 3.15 to 0.84. The widest gap was 2.47 xG to Bayern München, in the 80th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Bayern München 15 minGoal - Bayern München 41 minGoal - Bayern München 94 min
SC Freiburg 0.84 xGBayern München 3.15 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SC Freiburg v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v Bayern München was Away win (best price 1.53 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0, Bayern München won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and Bayern München?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L; Bayern München 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+