SC Freiburg v VfB Stuttgart prediction

Bundesliga · · Europa-Park Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Freiburg host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 14:30 UK).

The key numbers

13 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 12 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

SC Freiburg have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

At home, SC Freiburg have seven wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.44 points per game, scoring 2.89 and conceding 1.22. SC Freiburg have scored 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Freiburg have conceded six goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

11 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have three wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.22 points per game, scoring 1.78 and conceding 1.78. VfB Stuttgart have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

SC Freiburg (third) and VfB Stuttgart (13th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Freiburg the stronger side, 59 rating points above VfB Stuttgart (SC Freiburg 1696, VfB Stuttgart 1637, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SC Freiburg.

Team news

Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): M. Backhaus, M. Ginter, J. Makengo, P. Lienhart, P. Treu, M. Eggestein, Y. Engelhardt, D. Scherhant, J. Beste, Y. Suzuki, I. Matanović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.5 per match over 10 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.3 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 989 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 888 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted VfB Stuttgart XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, R. Hendriks, A. Stiller, J. Vagnoman, G. Prömel, C. Führich, A. Karazor, D. Undav, E. Demirović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 704 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 776 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · Europa-Park Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 2 · draws 0 · VfB Stuttgart 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L · VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L

SC Freiburg v VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 6.5
Corners
against 2.88 / 5.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 2.25 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSC Freiburg for / againstLineVfB Stuttgart for / against
Goals scored
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
18.63 for · 8.5 against n 8
19.5standard
17 for · 16.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Goto n 823.6
3.86/1
12/0
—
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
2.35/1
12/1
—
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.18/5
15/2
—
I. Matanović n 865
1.76/3
1.98/3
—
Y. Engelhardt n 874.8
1.56/3
1.26/1
—
SC Freiburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 834.1
45/3
12/1
I. Matanović n 865
2.98/5
1.45/3
V. Grifo n 831.6
2.84/3
1.83/1
D. Scherhant n 879.3
2.47/3
0.94/2
L. Höler n 832.6
2.45/2
12/1
SC Freiburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Grifo n 831.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Eggestein n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
D. Scherhant n 879.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
Y. Suzuki n 877.3
0.62/1
00/0
L. Kübler n 840.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
SC Freiburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rosenfelder n 860.9
3.76/5
Berkay Yilmaz n 859.8
36/4
P. Treu n 875.1
2.27/5
I. Ogbus n 844.5
25/1
M. Ginter n 888.5
1.46/2
SC Freiburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Backhaus n 890
1.13/2
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.21/1
4.21/1
—
José María Andrés Baixauli n 860.5
2.47/5
0.73/1
—
D. Undav n 873.5
26/4
0.32/0
—
A. Karazor n 869.5
1.66/3
1.14/2
—
J. Chabot n 885.8
1.45/4
15/3
—
VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
3.15/4
1.54/1
L. Sauer n 826.5
2.55/1
1.33/0
D. Pejčinović n 849.3
2.35/2
0.52/0
E. Demirović n 864
2.16/2
1.14/1
D. Undav n 873.5
26/3
1.15/1
VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
0.93/0
0.31/0
L. Sauer n 826.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stiller n 881.5
00/0
0.63/1
N. Nartey n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Undav n 873.5
0.21/0
0.31/1
VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.22/1
L. Stergiou n 827.6
3.34/2
A. Karazor n 869.5
2.86/5
B. El Khannouss n 854.4
2.77/4
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
2.54/3
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Seimen n 893.8
3.47/4
F. Bredlow n 890
3.26/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Freiburg v VfB Stuttgart — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC FreiburgWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
VfB StuttgartLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Freiburg 2 · 0 draws · VfB Stuttgart 4 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-23 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SC Freiburg
  • 2026-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2025-09-13 SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg
  • 2024-08-24 SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-02-03 SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
SC Freiburg#3 pos13 pts6 pl+9 GD
VfB Stuttgart#13 pos6 pts6 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
SC Freiburg scored2.5
VfB Stuttgart scored1.33
SC Freiburg conceded1
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.67

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 2, VfB Stuttgart won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and VfB Stuttgart?
Recent form — SC Freiburg 3W 1D 1L; VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L.

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