This Matchweek

SV Elversberg v Bayern München result

Full-time · SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: SV Elversberg · Bayern München

The model’s pre-match pick

SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.17 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.5% of 131 landed (95% range 78.5–90.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bayern München: 3.07 to 1.03 in expected goals, from 28 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 25th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bayern München won 2–1 at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde in the Bundesliga on Sunday 13 September. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bayern München led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Lennart Karl (26’, assisted by Harry Kane) and Harry Kane (72’, assisted by Aleksandar Pavlović); SV Elversberg: Maurice Krattenmacher (61’, assisted by Noah Darvich).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Kane’s goal on 72 minutes.

Discipline

Sascha Stegemann, Germany showed two yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — SV Elversberg: Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka (7’) and Felix Keidel (63’).

What it changes

SV Elversberg move down from second to sixth (three league matches played). SV Elversberg have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). SV Elversberg have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München stay fourth after this result (three league matches played). Bayern München have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games). Bayern München have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SV Elversberg have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Kane (Bayern München) 10.4, Aleksandar Pavlović (Bayern München) 7.9 and Maurice Krattenmacher (SV Elversberg) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bayern München to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 85.5% of the time in the last 90 days (112 of 131).

Next up

SV Elversberg next travel to Borussia Dortmund on 7 November 2026.

Bayern München next travel to Atletico Madrid on 3 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for SV Elversberg: Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Atletico Madrid v Bayern München, Tuesday 3 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde · Spiesen-Elversberg
  • Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: SV Elversberg 4W 0D 1L · Bayern München 4W 1D 0L

SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.13 / 3.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 4.25
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6
Corners
against 4.38 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6 / 7.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 0.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · Sascha Stegemann, Germany
20.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSV Elversberg for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
4.25our book
3.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
18.25 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
7.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
7.38 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Sascha Stegemann, Germany — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 20.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg Goalkeeper

SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Kristof390270 min62 /9062 /9000 /90
SV Elversberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Kristof n 890
1.96/1

SV Elversberg Defensive

SV Elversberg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Rohr387262 min20.7 /9041.4 /9072.4 /90103.4 /9031 /9010.3 /90
L. Günther382246 min10.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9082.9 /9020.7 /9000 /90
J. Gyamerah382245 min93.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90197 /9041.5 /9000 /90
L. Pinckert290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
F. Le Joncour19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

SV Elversberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Petkov n 884.1
1.26/2
1.58/3
M. Olise
Ł. Poręba n 885.1
0.95/2
1.16/2
—
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
F. Keidel n 860.9
1.75/2
0.93/1
—
M. Rohr n 886
0.53/1
1.25/3
—
See more players · Pro
SV Elversberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Petkov n 884.1
1.67/3
Ł. Poręba n 885.1
0.94/2
F. Keidel n 860.9
1.35/1
M. Rohr n 886
15/2
L. Günther n 880.6
1.15/3
See more players · Pro

SV Elversberg Attacking

SV Elversberg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Mokwa361184 min21 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
N. Futkeu11515 min00 /9016 /9000 /9000 /90212 /9000 /90
L. Petkov390270 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
Ł. Poręba390270 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
F. Keidel390269 min10.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
See more players · Pro
SV Elversberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Petkov n 884.1
1.78/4
1.26/3
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
00/0
Ł. Poręba n 885.1
00/0
00/0
F. Keidel n 860.9
0.74/0
0.21/0
M. Rohr n 886
0.75/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
SV Elversberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for SV Elversberg before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Petkov n 884.1
0.53/1
0.54/0
Ł. Poręba n 885.1
00/0
0.11/0
N. Kristof n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Keidel n 860.9
0.21/0
0.41/1
M. Rohr n 886
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer488351 min61.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Urbig19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 885.1
1.73/2
J. Urbig n 882.5
3.15/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah488351 min61.5 /9041 /9010.3 /90153.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
K. Laimer482326 min71.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90133.6 /9082.2 /9000 /90
A. Davies468272 min72.3 /9051.7 /9000 /90206.6 /9020.7 /9000 /90
J. Stanišić450199 min41.8 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90125.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
D. Upamecano390270 min82.7 /9062 /9010.3 /90279 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Díaz n 880.1
0.84/2
1.16/2
—
J. Kimmich n 887.6
0.32/0
16/2
—
H. Kane n 882.1
0.32/0
1.13/2
—
M. Olise n 873.6
0.83/2
3.47/5
L. Petkov
J. Tah n 884.5
0.74/1
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 887.6
16/2
L. Díaz n 880.1
0.83/2
H. Kane n 882.1
0.43/0
M. Olise n 873.6
0.93/1
J. Tah n 884.5
1.16/1
See more players · Pro

Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane577387 min30.7 /9010.2 /90174 /9061.4 /9061.4 /9040.9 /90
J. Kimmich586431 min00 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90102.1 /9010.2 /90
L. Díaz586431 min10.2 /9000 /90102.1 /9061.3 /9071.5 /90112.3 /90
M. Olise576381 min51.2 /9020.5 /90204.7 /90122.8 /90204.7 /90184.3 /90
A. Pavlović482329 min10.3 /9000 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Díaz n 880.1
2.17/5
1.47/3
J. Kimmich n 887.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
H. Kane n 882.1
3.77/7
1.87/4
M. Olise n 873.6
3.56/5
2.16/5
J. Tah n 884.5
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 10 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kimmich n 887.6
00/0
0.52/2
L. Díaz n 880.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
H. Kane n 882.1
1.24/3
0.11/0
M. Olise n 873.6
0.95/1
0.32/0
M. Neuer n 885.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SV ElversbergBayern München
28%Possession72%
0.94Expected goals (xG)2.83
5Shots28
1Shots on target6
3Shots off target10
1Blocked shots12
3Shots inside the box16
3Corners9
2Offsides2
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves0
321Passes823
77%Pass accuracy91%

SV Elversberg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Rohr9000000107.3
L. Günther9000002206
J. Gyamerah9000000206.2
L. Pinckert9000000106.9
Ł. Poręba9000000006.6
N. Kristof9000000007.5
L. Petkov8300001407.3
F. Keidel73000002Y7
D. Mokwa7300100106.7
William Cole Campbell4500000006.2
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka11000000Y6.3
Noah Darvich sub7901101106.3
M. Krattenmacher sub4510110107.3
A. Condé sub1700000006.3
N. Futkeu sub1700100006.6
L. Schnellbacher sub1100000006.7

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Upamecano9000100207.2
H. Kane9011315008
Kim Min-Jae9000000307
M. Olise9000215007.3
A. Pavlović9001103207.2
J. Stanišić9000101106.3
J. Urbig9000000006.9
T. Bischof6500000206.9
N. Brown6500101406.3
L. Karl6510320106.6
I. Saibari6500204206.9
A. Davies sub2500001007.2
L. Díaz sub2500113007.2
J. Kimmich sub2500111007.3
J. Musiala sub2500000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind SV Elversberg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SV ElversbergLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
SV Elversberg#7 pos13 pts8 pl0 GD
Bayern München#1 pos18 pts8 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
SV Elversberg scored2
Bayern München scored3.38
SV Elversberg conceded2
Bayern München conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

SV Elversberg 1.03 xG from 5 shots, Bayern München 3.07 from 28. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Luis Díaz 66' · 0.53 xGNoel Futkeu 73' · 0.44 xGNoah Darvich 18' · 0.43 xGHarry Kane 25' · 0.43 xGJosip Stanisic 66' · 0.23 xGMichael Olise 68' · 0.13 xGHarry Kane 76' · 0.12 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 76' · 0.09 xGHarry Kane 51' · 0.08 xGNathaniel Brown 49' · 0.08 xGDayotchanculle Upamecano 25' · 0.07 xGMichael Olise 89' · 0.07 xGJamal Musiala 85' · 0.07 xGHarry Kane 7' · 0.06 xGLennart Karl 8' · 0.06 xGDavid Mokwa 16' · 0.06 xGAlphonso Davies 70' · 0.06 xGCole Campbell 35' · 0.05 xGMichael Olise 91' · 0.05 xGAlphonso Davies 86' · 0.05 xGHarry Kane 24' · 0.04 xGJamal Musiala 65' · 0.04 xGLennart Karl 19' · 0.04 xGTom Bischof 10' · 0.04 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 78' · 0.04 xGAleksandar Pavlovic 10' · 0.04 xGIsmael Saibari 37' · 0.03 xGMichael Olise 69' · 0.03 xGJoshua Kimmich 85' · 0.02 xGIsmael Saibari 13' · 0.02 xGLennart Karl 25' · 0.44 xG · goalHarry Kane 71' · 0.09 xG · goalMaurice Krattenmacher 60' · 0.05 xG · goal
SV Elversberg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
SV Elversberg511.03
Bayern München2823.07

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bayern München led on xG, 1.28 to 0.54. At full time, Bayern München led on xG, 3.07 to 1.03. The widest gap was 2.04 xG to Bayern München, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.11.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Bayern München 25 minGoal - SV Elversberg 60 minGoal - Bayern München 71 min
SV Elversberg 1.03 xGBayern München 3.07 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for SV Elversberg v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SV Elversberg v Bayern München was Away win (best price 1.17 at Betano).
What is the recent form of SV Elversberg and Bayern München?
Recent form — SV Elversberg 4W 0D 1L; Bayern München 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+