Union Berlin v FC Augsburg result

Full-time · Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · Sat, 16 May 2026 14:30 BST · Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Union Berlin · FC Augsburg · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg — Union Berlin won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Union Berlin: 2.55 to 0.51 in expected goals, from 17 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Union Berlin beat FC Augsburg 4–0 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the Bundesliga on Saturday 16 May. Union Berlin have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Union Berlin led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Union Berlin: A. Ilić (10’, assisted by András Schäfer; 42’, assisted by O. Burke), András Schäfer (54’, assisted by Livan Burcu) and Jeong Woo-Yeong (89’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Ilić’s goal on 42 minutes.

Discipline

Patrick Ittrich, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Union Berlin: O. Burke (24’), Christopher Trimmel (26’) and Aljoscha Kemlein (70’); FC Augsburg: Han-Noah Massengo (63’).

What it changes

Union Berlin move up from 12th to 11th (34 league matches played). Union Berlin have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Union Berlin have conceded 58 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs.

FC Augsburg stay ninth after this result (34 league matches played). FC Augsburg have scored 45 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). FC Augsburg have conceded 61 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Union Berlin are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, András Schäfer (Union Berlin) 11.0, A. Ilić (Union Berlin) 10.3 and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw (FC Augsburg) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Next up

Union Berlin next host RB Leipzig on 21 November 2026.

FC Augsburg next host FSV Mainz 05 on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Union Berlin: Union Berlin v RB Leipzig, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga
Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Berlin
Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Union Berlin 1 · draws 2 · FC Augsburg 3 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L · FC Augsburg 3W 2D 0L

Union Berlin 4–0 FC Augsburg (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75

Goals

against 2 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5 / 3.5

Corners

against 6.13 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.38 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.44 yellows

Referee · Patrick Ittrich, Germany

17.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Union Berlin for / against	Line	FC Augsburg for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.38 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 18.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 8.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany — 2.44 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 17.33 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Union Berlin

Union Berlin Goalkeeper

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
F. Rønnow	32	872781 min	822.7 /90	571.8 /90
C. Klaus	3	80239 min	83 /90	41.5 /90
M. Raab	2	66131 min	106.9 /90	00 /90

Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Rønnow n 8	82.6	2.7 5/3
C. Klaus n 3	79.7	3 3/1

Union Berlin Defensive

Union Berlin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Doekhi	35	903150 min	491.4 /90	451.3 /90	250.7 /90	2296.5 /90	290.8 /90	40.1 /90
L. Querfeld	32	902880 min	541.7 /90	401.3 /90	260.8 /90	2267.1 /90	461.4 /90	60.2 /90
Diogo Leite	23	861970 min	341.6 /90	462.1 /90	110.5 /90	1265.8 /90	271.2 /90	40.2 /90
T. Rothe	19	571092 min	231.9 /90	201.6 /90	30.2 /90	685.6 /90	121 /90	00 /90
S. Nsoki	12	68813 min	131.4 /90	192.1 /90	20.2 /90	424.6 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
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Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Doekhi n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 1/1	—
R. Khedira n 8	89.4	2 7/5	0.1 1/0	—
L. Querfeld n 8	90	1.6 6/4	0.4 2/1	—
F. Rønnow n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
A. Ilić n 8	73.3	2 6/5	1.8 6/3	—
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Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Doekhi n 8	90	1.3 6/3
R. Khedira n 8	89.4	0.8 6/0
L. Querfeld n 8	90	1.6 5/4
A. Ilić n 8	73.3	0.2 1/0
Ilyas Ansah n 8	54.1	1.2 4/1
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Union Berlin Attacking

Union Berlin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ilić	32	712260 min	40.2 /90	100.4 /90	582.3 /90	241 /90	321.3 /90	70.3 /90
Ilyas Ansah	31	641989 min	50.2 /90	10 /90	271.2 /90	130.6 /90	170.8 /90	281.3 /90
O. Burke	24	681624 min	60.3 /90	10.1 /90	261.4 /90	140.8 /90	201.1 /90	100.6 /90
Jeong Woo-Yeong	24	511218 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	151.1 /90	70.5 /90	50.4 /90	60.4 /90
Livan Burcu	14	39552 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	101.6 /90	30.5 /90	71.1 /90	122 /90
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Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Doekhi n 8	90	1.5 4/4	0.8 4/1
R. Khedira n 8	89.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
L. Querfeld n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
F. Rønnow n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ilić n 8	73.3	2.6 7/6	1.5 6/3
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Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Union Berlin before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Doekhi n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Khedira n 8	89.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Querfeld n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
F. Rønnow n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ilić n 8	73.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Goalkeeper

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Dahmen	34	903068 min	1033 /90	571.7 /90	10 /90

FC Augsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Dahmen n 8	90	4 8/7

FC Augsburg Defensive

FC Augsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Schlotterbeck	25	852114 min	401.7 /90	351.5 /90	231 /90	1395.9 /90	261.1 /90	70.3 /90
C. Zesiger	24	751808 min	341.7 /90	180.9 /90	160.8 /90	904.5 /90	170.8 /90	50.2 /90
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks	21	811696 min	382 /90	150.8 /90	110.6 /90	945 /90	291.5 /90	80.4 /90
C. Matsima	18	891603 min	211.2 /90	311.7 /90	231.3 /90	693.9 /90	110.6 /90	60.3 /90
J. Gouweleeuw	11	78859 min	151.6 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90	343.6 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
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FC Augsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Fellhauer n 8	83.8	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 3/1	—
H. Massengo n 8	65.5	1.4 6/2	0.5 3/0	—
F. Rieder n 8	90	1.8 7/4	2.1 8/5	—
D. Giannoulis n 8	83.8	0.7 4/1	0.9 5/2	—
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FC Augsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Fellhauer n 8	83.8	1.1 5/3
H. Massengo n 8	65.5	0.7 3/1
F. Rieder n 8	90	2 7/7
D. Giannoulis n 8	83.8	0.9 6/1
K. Jakić n 8	48.9	1.2 4/1
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FC Augsburg Attacking

FC Augsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Rieder	29	792290 min	60.2 /90	30.1 /90	301.2 /90	120.5 /90	421.7 /90	190.7 /90
A. Claude-Maurice	27	772088 min	50.2 /90	40.2 /90	572.5 /90	251.1 /90	331.4 /90	431.9 /90
M. Kömür	24	621496 min	20.1 /90	40.2 /90	311.9 /90	150.9 /90	241.4 /90	181.1 /90
Michael Gregoritsch	13	63821 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	232.5 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Rodrigo Ribeiro	11	52576 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	182.8 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90
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FC Augsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Fellhauer n 8	83.8	0.8 3/1	0.4 2/1
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Massengo n 8	65.5	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0
F. Rieder n 8	90	1.4 6/3	0.8 4/2
D. Giannoulis n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
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FC Augsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Augsburg before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Fellhauer n 8	83.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
F. Dahmen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Massengo n 8	65.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Rieder n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
D. Giannoulis n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Union Berlin		FC Augsburg
49%	Possession	51%
3.68	Expected goals (xG)	0.61
17	Shots	11
9	Shots on target	1
3	Shots off target	6
5	Blocked shots	4
10	Shots inside the box	6
4	Corners	9
2	Offsides	3
6	Fouls	7
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
450	Passes	448
84%	Pass accuracy	82%

Union Berlin Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Klaus	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
D. Doekhi	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
Diogo Leite	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.5
T. Rothe	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.3
A. Schäfer	90	1	1	1	1	2	4	0	8.9
A. Kemlein	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
O. Burke	86	0	1	1	1	2	0	Y	6.6
A. Ilić	86	2	0	3	3	1	1	0	9
Livan Burcu	71	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	7.2
C. Trimmel	65	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.7
Ilyas Ansah	65	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.5
J. Juranović sub	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
Jeong Woo-Yeong sub	25	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.7
T. Skarke sub	19	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
L. Querfeld sub	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	–
Dmytro Bohdanov sub	4	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	–

FC Augsburg Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Dahmen	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
J. Gouweleeuw	90	0	0	1	5	0	6.6
C. Zesiger	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
F. Rieder	90	0	0	2	2	0	6.2
R. Fellhauer	90	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
A. Kade	90	4	1	0	1	0	6.6
Michael Gregoritsch	77	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. Matsima	61	0	0	0	3	0	6.3
M. Wolf	61	0	0	2	3	0	6.5
Y. Keitel	55	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Kömür	55	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
H. Massengo sub	35	0	0	1	1	Y	6.9
Rodrigo Ribeiro sub	35	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
M. Pedersen sub	29	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks sub	29	0	0	0	3	0	7.5
U. Ogundu sub	13	2	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Union Berlin v FC Augsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Union BerlinLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

FC AugsburgDWDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Union Berlin 1 · 2 draws · FC Augsburg 3 · 2 goals/game

2026-01-15 FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin
2025-05-17 FC Augsburg 1–2 Union Berlin
2025-01-15 Union Berlin 0–2 FC Augsburg
2024-04-12 FC Augsburg 2–0 Union Berlin
2023-11-25 Union Berlin 1–1 FC Augsburg
2023-05-06 FC Augsburg 1–0 Union Berlin

League standing · 2025/26

Union Berlin#11 pos39 pts34 pl-14 GD

FC Augsburg#9 pos43 pts34 pl-16 GD

Goals per game

Union Berlin scored1.29

FC Augsburg scored1.32

Union Berlin conceded1.71

FC Augsburg conceded1.79

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Union Berlin 2.55 xG from 17 shots, FC Augsburg 0.51 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Union Berlin (attacking right)FC Augsburg (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Union Berlin	17	4	2.55
FC Augsburg	11	0	0.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Union Berlin led on xG, 0.78 to 0.16. At full time, Union Berlin led on xG, 2.55 to 0.51. The widest gap was 2.04 xG to Union Berlin, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Union Berlin 2.55 xGFC Augsburg 0.51 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Union Berlin v FC Augsburg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Berlin v FC Augsburg was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Union Berlin and FC Augsburg?: In their last 6 meetings, Union Berlin won 1, FC Augsburg won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Berlin and FC Augsburg?: Recent form — Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L; FC Augsburg 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.