VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

Bundesliga · · MHPArena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Mönchengladbach · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Bundesliga on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.29 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 20 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of VfB Stuttgart’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, VfB Stuttgart have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 2.17 and conceding 1.00. VfB Stuttgart have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfB Stuttgart have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Borussia Mönchengladbach’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Borussia Mönchengladbach have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.13. Borussia Mönchengladbach have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

VfB Stuttgart (13th) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (18th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have VfB Stuttgart the stronger side, 321 rating points above Borussia Mönchengladbach (VfB Stuttgart 1637, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1316, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, finished Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart.

Team news

Predicted VfB Stuttgart XI (3-4-2-1): F. Bredlow, J. Chabot, F. Jeltsch, R. Hendriks, A. Stiller, J. Vagnoman, G. Prömel, C. Führich, A. Karazor, D. Undav, E. Demirović — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Maximilian Mittelstädt (5.7 per match over seven appearances, one goal and one assist) and Julian Chabot (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been VfB Stuttgart’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfB Stuttgart (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Maximilian Mittelstädt averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 704 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last eight appearances. Julian Chabot averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 776 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach XI (3-4-2-1): M. Nicolas, K. Diks, K. Itakura, L. Ullrich, P. Sander, W. Mohya, H. Bolin, J. Scally, R. Hack, F. Honorat, I. Lidberg — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, H. Bolin (5.4 per match over seven appearances, four goals and one assist) and Lukas Ullrich (4.5 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Borussia Mönchengladbach’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Borussia Mönchengladbach (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), H. Bolin averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 562 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Lukas Ullrich averages 1.9 tackles per 90 over 478 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Bundesliga · MHPArena
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfB Stuttgart 4 · draws 0 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L · Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L

VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.75
Corners
against 5.25 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 7.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfB Stuttgart for / againstLineBorussia Mönchengladbach for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
4our book
2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 16.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 7.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.21/1
4.21/1
—
José María Andrés Baixauli n 860.5
2.47/5
0.73/1
—
D. Undav n 873.5
26/4
0.32/0
—
A. Karazor n 869.5
1.66/3
1.14/2
—
J. Chabot n 885.8
1.45/4
15/3
—
VfB Stuttgart — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
3.15/4
1.54/1
L. Sauer n 826.5
2.55/1
1.33/0
D. Pejčinović n 849.3
2.35/2
0.52/0
E. Demirović n 864
2.16/2
1.14/1
D. Undav n 873.5
26/3
1.15/1
VfB Stuttgart — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
0.93/0
0.31/0
L. Sauer n 826.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stiller n 881.5
00/0
0.63/1
N. Nartey n 833.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Undav n 873.5
0.21/0
0.31/1
VfB Stuttgart — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Y. Spalt n 321.3
4.22/1
L. Stergiou n 827.6
3.34/2
A. Karazor n 869.5
2.86/5
B. El Khannouss n 854.4
2.77/4
Tiago Tomás n 836.4
2.54/3
VfB Stuttgart — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Seimen n 893.8
3.47/4
F. Bredlow n 890
3.26/4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Machino n 832.5
3.15/2
1.44/0
—
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
2.95/4
0.31/0
—
M. Nguefack n 434.3
21/1
0.71/0
—
P. Sander n 889.5
1.97/4
0.54/0
—
H. Tabaković n 868.4
1.86/3
1.86/4
—
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Lidberg n 855.9
3.45/3
1.44/3
H. Bolin n 870.3
2.65/3
2.15/3
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
1.64/1
0.83/0
H. Tabaković n 868.4
1.54/3
0.53/0
J. Leszczyński n 662.5
1.44/2
0.52/0
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Bolin n 870.3
0.62/2
0.21/0
W. Mohya n 856.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
F. Honorat n 852.9
00/0
0.62/1
R. Hack n 841.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
L. Ullrich n 876.6
0.11/0
0.31/1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zento Uno n 863.4
3.98/6
P. Sander n 889.5
2.47/6
J. Scally n 865.5
2.46/3
T. Kleindienst n 842.1
2.46/2
L. Ullrich n 876.6
2.16/6
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Nicolas n 890
4.67/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfB StuttgartLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Borussia MönchengladbachLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.6 scored / 3.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfB Stuttgart 4 · 0 draws · Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-25 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2025-08-30 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2025-02-01 VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 2024-09-14 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart
  • 2024-05-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Monchengladbach
  • 2024-01-14 Borussia Monchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart
League standing · 2026/27
VfB Stuttgart#13 pos6 pts6 pl-2 GD
Borussia Mönchengladbach#18 pos0 pts6 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
VfB Stuttgart scored1.33
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored1.33
VfB Stuttgart conceded1.67
Borussia Mönchengladbach conceded3.33

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Mönchengladbach is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.29 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
In their last 6 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 4, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Recent form — VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 3L; Borussia Mönchengladbach 0W 0D 5L.

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