VfL Wolfsburg v Bayern München result

Full-time · VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern München

Bundesliga · · Volkswagen Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: VfL Wolfsburg · Bayern München · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern München — Bayern München won this Bundesliga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 0 of 1 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said VfL Wolfsburg: 3.30 to 1.91 in expected goals, 0.76 of Bayern München’s from a penalty, from 17 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Bayern München won 1–0 at Volkswagen Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 9 May. Bayern München have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Bayern München: Michael Olise (56’, assisted by Konrad Laimer).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Michael Olise’s goal on 56 minutes.

Discipline

Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany showed one yellow card — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — VfL Wolfsburg: K. Shiogai (90+1’).

What it changes

VfL Wolfsburg stay 16th after this result (33 league matches played). VfL Wolfsburg have scored 45 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). VfL Wolfsburg have conceded 69 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Bayern München stay first after this result (33 league matches played). Bayern München have scored 122 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far). Bayern München have conceded 36 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

VfL Wolfsburg are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Bayern München are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Michael Olise (Bayern München) 9.1, Tom Bischof (Bayern München) 6.8 and Konrad Laimer (Bayern München) 6.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bayern München are unbeaten in the last six meetings with VfL Wolfsburg, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 0 of 1 landed in the last 90 days.

Next up

VfL Wolfsburg next host VfL Osnabrück on 31 October 2026.

Bayern München next host Borussia Dortmund on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for VfL Wolfsburg: VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Bayern München: Bayern München v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern München · Bundesliga
  • Venue: Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg
  • Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): VfL Wolfsburg 0 · draws 0 · Bayern München 6 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: VfL Wolfsburg 1W 2D 2L · Bayern München 2W 2D 1L

VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 Bayern München (Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 3.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6.63
Corners
against 7.38 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 8
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.18 yellows
Referee · Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVfL Wolfsburg for / againstLineBayern München for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
4our book
3.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 7.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
18.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
8 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 7.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany — 4.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Goalkeeper

VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Grabara32902880 min1143.6 /90672.1 /9030.1 /90
VfL Wolfsburg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Grabara n 890
3.68/4

VfL Wolfsburg Defensive

VfL Wolfsburg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Koulierakis27882384 min411.5 /90381.4 /90140.5 /901174.4 /90261 /9050.2 /90
S. Kumbedi23751716 min402.1 /90170.9 /9060.3 /90844.4 /90221.2 /9020.1 /90
M. Jenz20891787 min321.6 /90120.6 /90191 /901015.1 /90311.6 /9080.4 /90
A. Zehnter18851524 min150.9 /90191.1 /9070.4 /90311.8 /9030.2 /9010.1 /90
J. Belocian12901075 min211.8 /90121 /90131.1 /90463.9 /90171.4 /9030.3 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Grabara n 890
00/0
00/0
—
C. Eriksen n 886
0.52/2
0.32/0
J. Kimmich
M. Amoura n 868.6
15/1
0.21/0
—
K. Koulierakis n 889.9
16/2
0.53/1
—
P. Wimmer n 867.5
1.56/3
1.76/4
J. Kimmich
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VfL Wolfsburg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Eriksen n 886
1.37/3
M. Amoura n 868.6
1.85/4
K. Koulierakis n 889.9
2.38/6
P. Wimmer n 867.5
35/5
Lovro Majer n 841.3
1.45/0
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VfL Wolfsburg Attacking

VfL Wolfsburg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Amoura28712001 min80.4 /9030.1 /90512.3 /90190.9 /90271.2 /90160.7 /90
A. Daghim23541231 min20.1 /9020.1 /90161.2 /9060.4 /90141 /90141 /90
D. Pejčinović21601270 min70.5 /9000 /90352.5 /90181.3 /9090.6 /9050.4 /90
J. Wind952469 min10.2 /9000 /9081.5 /9061.2 /9051 /9020.4 /90
K. Shiogai740277 min10.3 /9000 /9072.3 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
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VfL Wolfsburg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Grabara n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Eriksen n 886
0.97/0
0.54/0
M. Amoura n 868.6
1.65/3
0.73/1
K. Koulierakis n 889.9
0.95/1
0.54/0
P. Wimmer n 867.5
1.35/2
0.32/0
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VfL Wolfsburg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for VfL Wolfsburg before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Grabara n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Eriksen n 886
0.32/0
0.43/0
M. Amoura n 868.6
00/0
00/0
K. Koulierakis n 889.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Wimmer n 867.5
0.21/0
00/0
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Bayern München

Bayern München Goalkeeper

Bayern München — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Neuer41883600 min892.2 /90451.1 /9000 /90
J. Urbig17851440 min472.9 /90211.3 /9000 /90
S. Ulreich19090 min66 /9011 /9000 /90
Bayern München — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Neuer n 884.4
3.25/3
J. Urbig n 884.4
3.36/4

Bayern München Defensive

Bayern München — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tah49813961 min491.1 /90421 /90300.7 /901533.5 /90611.4 /90110.2 /90
K. Laimer46743391 min882.3 /90280.7 /90100.3 /901544.1 /90621.6 /90150.4 /90
D. Upamecano44773405 min992.6 /90471.2 /90130.3 /901794.7 /90411.1 /9090.2 /90
J. Stanišić43773292 min531.4 /90320.9 /9080.2 /901313.6 /90150.4 /9040.1 /90
Kim Min-Jae25781939 min251.2 /90432 /90170.8 /90823.8 /90140.6 /9030.1 /90
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Bayern München — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Olise n 869.3
0.53/0
2.87/7
—
H. Kane n 873.1
0.85/0
1.24/3
—
J. Kimmich n 880.5
0.11/0
0.84/1
P. Wimmer
J. Tah n 873
1.14/3
00/0
—
L. Díaz n 865.8
1.97/2
1.95/4
—
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Bayern München — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
0.32/0
H. Kane n 873.1
0.53/0
J. Kimmich n 880.5
1.14/2
J. Tah n 873
0.63/1
L. Díaz n 865.8
1.45/2
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Bayern München Attacking

Bayern München — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Kane53784153 min581.3 /9080.2 /901533.3 /901122.4 /90711.5 /90571.2 /90
N. Jackson22551212 min100.7 /9030.2 /90423.1 /90282.1 /90211.6 /90110.8 /90
M. Olise54774161 min240.5 /90280.6 /901232.7 /90821.8 /901342.9 /901352.9 /90
J. Kimmich51824205 min20 /90110.2 /90320.7 /90150.3 /901062.3 /90180.4 /90
L. Díaz48803855 min260.6 /90170.4 /901012.4 /90641.5 /90972.3 /901002.3 /90
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Bayern München — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
2.88/6
1.88/3
H. Kane n 873.1
2.67/5
1.87/3
J. Kimmich n 880.5
15/2
0.43/0
J. Tah n 873
0.21/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 865.8
1.96/3
1.45/1
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Bayern München — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bayern München before kick-off, to 6 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Olise n 869.3
0.85/0
0.21/0
H. Kane n 873.1
1.17/0
0.32/0
J. Kimmich n 880.5
00/0
0.32/0
J. Tah n 873
00/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 865.8
0.53/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VfL WolfsburgBayern München
31%Possession69%
3.04Expected goals (xG)1.85
17Shots16
5Shots on target9
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box9
6Corners3
2Offsides4
8Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
8Saves5
334Passes771
77%Pass accuracy89%

VfL Wolfsburg Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Grabara9000000008.3
K. Koulierakis9000000006
J. Belocian9000000507.2
D. Vavro9000210107.3
J. Mæhle9000002306.9
D. Pejčinović9000422006.2
S. Kumbedi8900002307.2
Vinicius Souza7400110307.2
A. Daghim7400002107.2
P. Wimmer6700202206.9
C. Eriksen6700111207.5
M. Svanberg sub2300100006.6
Lovro Majer sub2300000206.3
Y. Gerhardt sub1600000006.6
K. Shiogai sub16000010Y6.3
J. Lindstrøm sub10010000–

Bayern München Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Urbig9000000008
J. Stanišić9000002207.2
T. Bischof9000212507.7
J. Kimmich9000001208.2
M. Olise9010321008.6
H. Kane9000211105.9
H. Ito8400000107.5
J. Musiala7600334106.3
N. Jackson6000211006.7
Kim Min-Jae4500000108.7
L. Goretzka4500100206.7
D. Upamecano sub4500000207.3
K. Laimer sub4501002406.9
L. Díaz sub3000000006.2
L. Karl sub1400110106.7
J. Tah sub1100000107.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind VfL Wolfsburg v Bayern München — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VfL WolfsburgLLWDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Bayern MünchenWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
VfL Wolfsburg 0 · 0 draws · Bayern München 6 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2025-01-18 Bayern München 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2024-08-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Bayern München
  • 2024-05-12 Bayern Munich 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg
  • 2023-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayern Munich
  • 2023-02-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 Bayern Munich
League standing · 2025/26
VfL Wolfsburg#16 pos29 pts34 pl-24 GD
Bayern München#1 pos89 pts34 pl+86 GD
Goals per game
VfL Wolfsburg scored1.32
Bayern München scored3.59
VfL Wolfsburg conceded2.03
Bayern München conceded1.06

Shot Map and Expected Goals

VfL Wolfsburg 3.30 xG from 17 shots, Bayern München 1.91 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Harry Kane 35' · 0.76 xGPatrick Wimmer 27' · 0.68 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 23' · 0.54 xGMattias Svanberg 88' · 0.51 xGVinicius Souza 6' · 0.39 xGDenis Vavro 11' · 0.35 xGJamal Musiala 53' · 0.23 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 37' · 0.15 xGLuis Díaz 62' · 0.13 xGHarry Kane 63' · 0.12 xGJamal Musiala 47' · 0.11 xGAdam Daghim 10' · 0.10 xGChristian Eriksen 23' · 0.09 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 23' · 0.09 xGMichael Olise 71' · 0.09 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 14' · 0.08 xGHarry Kane 60' · 0.08 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 42' · 0.08 xGNicolas Jackson 20' · 0.07 xGChristian Eriksen 37' · 0.07 xGKonstantinos Koulierakis 25' · 0.07 xGTom Bischof 69' · 0.07 xGDzenan Pejcinovic 6' · 0.06 xGLeon Goretzka 18' · 0.06 xGJamal Musiala 17' · 0.05 xGTom Bischof 18' · 0.04 xGMichael Olise 82' · 0.03 xGLennart Karl 79' · 0.03 xGJesper Lindstrom 94' · 0.03 xGNicolas Jackson 49' · 0.02 xGDenis Vavro 36' · 0.02 xGPatrick Wimmer 27' · 0.01 xGMichael Olise 55' · 0.03 xG · goal
VfL Wolfsburg (attacking right)Bayern München (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
VfL Wolfsburg1703.30
Bayern München1611.91

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, VfL Wolfsburg led on xG, 2.77 to 0.98, 0.76 of Bayern München’s from a penalty. At full time, VfL Wolfsburg led on xG, 3.30 to 1.91, 0.76 of Bayern München’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.24 xG to VfL Wolfsburg, in the 27th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.304590Goal - Bayern München 55 min
VfL Wolfsburg 3.30 xGBayern München 1.91 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for VfL Wolfsburg v Bayern München?
TACTIX’s free model pick for VfL Wolfsburg v Bayern München was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between VfL Wolfsburg and Bayern München?
In their last 6 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 0, Bayern München won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of VfL Wolfsburg and Bayern München?
Recent form — VfL Wolfsburg 1W 2D 2L; Bayern München 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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