Birmingham v Preston result
Team pages: Birmingham · Preston · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Birmingham 2–1 Preston — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Birmingham beat Preston 2–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Preston, from fewer shots (16 to 18), created the better chances, 2.37 xG to 1.95 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
The goals
Birmingham led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (10’, assisted by Ibrahim Osman) and Ibrahim Osman (16’); Preston: Andrew Hughes (25’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Stansfield’s goal on 10 minutes.
Discipline
B. Toner showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Preston: Andrija Vukčević (45+2’) and Andrew Moran (72’).
What it changes
Birmingham move up from 13th to 10th (44 league matches played).
Preston stay 16th after this result (44 league matches played).
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ibrahim Osman (Birmingham) 8.2, Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) 7.6 and Andrew Hughes (Preston) 7.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Birmingham or Preston (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.
Preston next travel to West Ham on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Preston: West Ham v Preston, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Birmingham 2–1 Preston · Championship
- Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
- Referee: B. Toner
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 1 · Preston 2 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Birmingham 1W 1D 3L · Preston 2W 2D 1L
Birmingham 2–1 Preston (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Birmingham for / against | Line | Preston for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.63 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.88 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: B. Toner — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.89 fouls over 9 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Birmingham
Birmingham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | 35 | 903150 min | 882.5 /90 | 421.2 /90 | 10 /90 |
| R. Allsop | 11 | 90990 min | 191.7 /90 | 151.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 2 |
Birmingham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Iwata | 44 | 863787 min | 711.7 /90 | 411 /90 | 120.3 /90 | 1704 /90 | 561.3 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| C. Klarer | 42 | 903780 min | 461.1 /90 | 541.3 /90 | 250.6 /90 | 3067.3 /90 | 380.9 /90 | 90.2 /90 |
| P. Neumann | 30 | 882637 min | 331.1 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 210.7 /90 | 1334.5 /90 | 351.2 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Cochrane | 21 | 791665 min | 271.5 /90 | 191 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 804.3 /90 | 110.6 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | 21 | 651375 min | 171.1 /90 | 151 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 754.9 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Iwata n 8 | 83.5 | 1.1 | 0.7 | A. Devine |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 72.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | — |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | A. Hughes |
| Paik Seung-Ho n 8 | 69.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | A. Devine |
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Iwata n 8 | 83.5 | 1.5 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 72.5 | 1.6 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| Paik Seung-Ho n 8 | 69.8 | 1.9 |
| D. Gray n 8 | 46.9 | 1.9 |
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Birmingham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ducksch | 31 | 672063 min | 110.5 /90 | 10 /90 | 512.2 /90 | 291.3 /90 | 271.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| K. Furuhashi | 24 | 461108 min | 30.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 342.8 /90 | 110.9 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| L. Dykes | 13 | 34445 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 51 /90 | 30.6 /90 |
| A. Priske | 12 | 51614 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 101.5 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 60.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| J. Stansfield | 43 | 753217 min | 100.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 541.5 /90 | 260.7 /90 | 401.1 /90 | 260.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Iwata n 8 | 83.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 72.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Paik Seung-Ho n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Iwata n 8 | 83.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Stansfield n 8 | 72.5 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Klarer n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Paik Seung-Ho n 8 | 69.8 | 0 | 0.2 |
| J. Beadle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Preston
Preston Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | 34 | 903068 min | 1002.9 /90 | 381.1 /90 | 10 /90 |
| David Cornell | 7 | 90630 min | 202.9 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Walton | 5 | 91456 min | 173.4 /90 | 112.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen n 8 | 91 | 3.7 |
| David Cornell n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Preston Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Storey | 43 | 863689 min | 471.1 /90 | 691.7 /90 | 260.6 /90 | 2897.1 /90 | 260.6 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| A. Hughes | 37 | 873234 min | 621.7 /90 | 421.2 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 2316.4 /90 | 451.3 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| O. Offiah | 37 | 772862 min | 953 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 170.5 /90 | 1805.7 /90 | 290.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| L. Gibson | 28 | 832332 min | 291.1 /90 | 261 /90 | 240.9 /90 | 1194.6 /90 | 180.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| A. Vukčević | 19 | 591123 min | 161.3 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 483.8 /90 | 221.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Devine n 8 | 79.9 | 0 | 1 | Paik Seung-Ho |
| B. Whiteman n 8 | 89.9 | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| J. Storey n 8 | 91 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — |
| T. Small n 8 | 49.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Hughes n 8 | 90.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | C. Klarer |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Devine n 8 | 79.9 | 0.7 |
| B. Whiteman n 8 | 89.9 | 1.9 |
| J. Storey n 8 | 91 | 0.6 |
| T. Small n 8 | 49.3 | 1.6 |
| A. Hughes n 8 | 90.8 | 2.4 |
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Preston Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dobbin | 37 | 672468 min | 80.3 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 471.7 /90 | 180.7 /90 | 361.3 /90 | 351.3 /90 |
| D. Jebbison | 35 | 561958 min | 60.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 311.4 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 110.5 /90 |
| M. Smith | 29 | 511492 min | 30.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 271.6 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 60.4 /90 |
| M. Osmajić | 27 | 651742 min | 80.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 251.3 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 90.5 /90 |
| C. Lang | 5 | 49243 min | 00 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 41.5 /90 | 20.7 /90 | 41.5 /90 | 20.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Devine n 8 | 79.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| B. Whiteman n 8 | 89.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| J. Storey n 8 | 91 | 0.2 | 0 |
| T. Small n 8 | 49.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. Hughes n 8 | 90.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Devine n 8 | 79.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| B. Whiteman n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Storey n 8 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Small n 8 | 49.3 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Hughes n 8 | 90.8 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Birmingham | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% | Possession | 50% |
| 1.95 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.37 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 316 | Passes | 310 |
| 66% | Pass accuracy | 61% |
Birmingham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| P. Neumann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Klarer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Wagner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| T. Iwata | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Paik Seung-Ho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Carlos Vicente | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Priske | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Stansfield | 72 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Laird | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 |
| I. Osman | 37 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| D. Gray sub | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Osayi-Samuel sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Solis sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Preston Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| O. Offiah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Lindsay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Hughes | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Jordan Thompson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Devine | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Dobbin | 84 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Vukčević | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| Pol Valentín | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Osmajić | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| B. Potts | 65 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Moran sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| T. Small sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Jebbison sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Brady sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Smith sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Birmingham v Preston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-21 Preston 0–1 Birmingham
- 2024-04-01 Birmingham 1–0 Preston
- 2023-09-19 Preston 2–1 Birmingham
- 2023-01-21 Birmingham 1–2 Preston
- 2022-09-03 Preston 0–1 Birmingham
- 2022-01-15 Preston 1–1 Birmingham
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Preston?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Preston was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Preston?
- In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Preston won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Birmingham and Preston?
- Recent form — Birmingham 1W 1D 3L; Preston 2W 2D 1L.
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