BirminghamPreston

Birmingham v Preston result

Full-time · Birmingham 2–1 Preston

Championship · · St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Birmingham 2–1 Preston — Birmingham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Birmingham beat Preston 2–1 at St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Preston, from fewer shots (16 to 18), created the better chances, 2.37 xG to 1.95 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Birmingham led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Birmingham: Jay Stansfield (10’, assisted by Ibrahim Osman) and Ibrahim Osman (16’); Preston: Andrew Hughes (25’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jay Stansfield’s goal on 10 minutes.

Discipline

B. Toner showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Preston: Andrija Vukčević (45+2’) and Andrew Moran (72’).

What it changes

Birmingham move up from 13th to 10th (44 league matches played).

Preston stay 16th after this result (44 league matches played).

Birmingham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ibrahim Osman (Birmingham) 8.2, Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) 7.6 and Andrew Hughes (Preston) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Birmingham or Preston (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Birmingham next travel to Stoke City on 21 November 2026.

Preston next travel to West Ham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Birmingham: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Preston: West Ham v Preston, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Birmingham 2–1 Preston · Championship
  • Venue: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: B. Toner
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 1 · Preston 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Birmingham 1W 1D 3L · Preston 2W 2D 1L

Birmingham 2–1 Preston (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.88 / 6.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.56 yellows
Referee · B. Toner
23.89 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBirmingham for / againstLinePreston for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: B. Toner — 3.56 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.89 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Beadle35903150 min882.5 /90421.2 /9010 /90
R. Allsop1190990 min191.7 /90151.4 /9000 /90
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890
25/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Iwata44863787 min711.7 /90411 /90120.3 /901704 /90561.3 /9080.2 /90
C. Klarer42903780 min461.1 /90541.3 /90250.6 /903067.3 /90380.9 /9090.2 /90
P. Neumann30882637 min331.1 /90250.9 /90210.7 /901334.5 /90351.2 /9060.2 /90
A. Cochrane21791665 min271.5 /90191 /9020.1 /90804.3 /90110.6 /9030.2 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel21651375 min171.1 /90151 /9010.1 /90754.9 /90201.3 /9050.3 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Iwata n 883.5
1.16/2
0.73/1
A. Devine
J. Stansfield n 872.5
2.27/3
0.53/0
—
C. Klarer n 890
16/2
0.54/0
A. Hughes
Paik Seung-Ho n 869.8
1.14/2
0.53/0
A. Devine
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Iwata n 883.5
1.55/2
J. Stansfield n 872.5
1.65/3
C. Klarer n 890
1.36/3
Paik Seung-Ho n 869.8
1.95/2
D. Gray n 846.9
1.94/2
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ducksch31672063 min110.5 /9010 /90512.2 /90291.3 /90271.2 /9030.1 /90
K. Furuhashi24461108 min30.2 /9000 /90342.8 /90110.9 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
L. Dykes1334445 min10.2 /9000 /9061.2 /9010.2 /9051 /9030.6 /90
A. Priske1251614 min00 /9010.1 /90101.5 /9050.7 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Stansfield43753217 min100.3 /9060.2 /90541.5 /90260.7 /90401.1 /90260.7 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Iwata n 883.5
1.24/3
0.43/0
J. Stansfield n 872.5
1.46/3
0.53/0
C. Klarer n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 869.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Iwata n 883.5
0.11/0
00/0
J. Stansfield n 872.5
00/0
00/0
C. Klarer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 869.8
00/0
0.21/0
J. Beadle n 890
00/0
00/0
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Preston

Preston Goalkeeper

Preston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Iversen34903068 min1002.9 /90381.1 /9010 /90
David Cornell790630 min202.9 /90101.4 /9000 /90
J. Walton591456 min173.4 /90112.2 /9000 /90
Preston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Iversen n 891
3.75/4
David Cornell n 890
2.56/4

Preston Defensive

Preston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Storey43863689 min471.1 /90691.7 /90260.6 /902897.1 /90260.6 /9080.2 /90
A. Hughes37873234 min621.7 /90421.2 /90140.4 /902316.4 /90451.3 /90100.3 /90
O. Offiah37772862 min953 /90220.7 /90170.5 /901805.7 /90290.9 /9050.2 /90
L. Gibson28832332 min291.1 /90261 /90240.9 /901194.6 /90180.7 /9030.1 /90
A. Vukčević19591123 min161.3 /9060.5 /9050.4 /90483.8 /90221.8 /9010.1 /90
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Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Devine n 879.9
00/0
15/1
Paik Seung-Ho
B. Whiteman n 889.9
15/2
0.11/0
—
J. Storey n 891
0.52/1
0.53/1
—
T. Small n 849.3
0.93/1
0.72/1
—
A. Hughes n 890.8
1.16/3
0.42/1
C. Klarer
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Devine n 879.9
0.74/1
B. Whiteman n 889.9
1.96/4
J. Storey n 891
0.64/1
T. Small n 849.3
1.65/1
A. Hughes n 890.8
2.47/7
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Dobbin37672468 min80.3 /9080.3 /90471.7 /90180.7 /90361.3 /90351.3 /90
D. Jebbison35561958 min60.3 /9020.1 /90311.4 /90120.6 /90241.1 /90110.5 /90
M. Smith29511492 min30.2 /9010.1 /90271.6 /9090.5 /90100.6 /9060.4 /90
M. Osmajić27651742 min80.4 /9010.1 /90251.3 /90180.9 /9080.4 /9090.5 /90
C. Lang549243 min00 /9020.7 /9041.5 /9020.7 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
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Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Devine n 879.9
1.37/2
0.42/1
B. Whiteman n 889.9
0.86/0
0.43/0
J. Storey n 891
0.22/0
00/0
T. Small n 849.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Hughes n 890.8
0.74/2
0.11/0
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Devine n 879.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
B. Whiteman n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Storey n 891
00/0
00/0
T. Small n 849.3
00/0
00/0
A. Hughes n 890.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BirminghamPreston
50%Possession50%
1.95Expected goals (xG)2.37
18Shots16
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target7
10Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box11
3Corners3
5Offsides2
11Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves3
316Passes310
66%Pass accuracy61%

Birmingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Beadle9000000007
P. Neumann9000000107
C. Klarer9000000006.9
K. Wagner9000002107
T. Iwata9000001206.7
Paik Seung-Ho9000002107.2
Carlos Vicente9000101006.9
A. Priske9000100006
J. Stansfield7210223107.3
E. Laird6500110107.7
I. Osman3711112008.2
D. Gray sub5300110006.3
B. Osayi-Samuel sub2500000006.9
J. Solis sub1800100106.9

Preston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Iversen9000000007
O. Offiah9000100206.9
L. Lindsay9000100107
A. Hughes9010110008.3
Jordan Thompson9000002107.2
A. Devine9000203006.9
L. Dobbin8400311206.7
A. Vukčević78000020Y6.5
Pol Valentín7300001306.5
M. Osmajić7300220005.9
B. Potts6500210106.7
A. Moran sub25000003Y6.9
T. Small sub1700000006.7
D. Jebbison sub1700111006.2
R. Brady sub1200001006.9
M. Smith sub1200000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Preston — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BirminghamLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
PrestonWDDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Birmingham 3 · 1 draw · Preston 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-21 Preston 0–1 Birmingham
  • 2024-04-01 Birmingham 1–0 Preston
  • 2023-09-19 Preston 2–1 Birmingham
  • 2023-01-21 Birmingham 1–2 Preston
  • 2022-09-03 Preston 0–1 Birmingham
  • 2022-01-15 Preston 1–1 Birmingham
League standing · 2025/26
Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD
Preston#14 pos60 pts46 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Birmingham scored1.24
Preston scored1.2
Birmingham conceded1.22
Preston conceded1.35

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Birmingham v Preston?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Preston was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Preston?
In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Preston won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Preston?
Recent form — Birmingham 1W 1D 3L; Preston 2W 2D 1L.

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