Birmingham v Swansea prediction

Championship · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · St Andrew's Stadium

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Birmingham · Swansea · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Birmingham v Swansea, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Birmingham host Swansea in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Birmingham or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Birmingham have conceded 13 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Birmingham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Swansea, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Birmingham have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.63. Birmingham have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Nine of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Swansea have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86. Swansea have scored 21 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Swansea have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham (third) and Swansea (fifth) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 127 rating points above Swansea (Birmingham 1685, Swansea 1558, after at least 382 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Swansea 0–1 Birmingham.

Team news

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, J. Solis, L. Millar, P. Roberts, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (3.9 per match over 16 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1234 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1371 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Swansea XI (4-3-3): L. Vigouroux, J. Tymon, B. Cabango, F. Lissah, S. Welsh, J. Fulton, M. Stamenić, G. Franco, A. Idah, M. Yeo, Z. Vipotnik — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Moussa Yeo (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and Filip Lissah (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Swansea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swansea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Moussa Yeo averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Filip Lissah averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1090 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · St Andrew's Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Birmingham 3 · draws 3 · Swansea 0 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Birmingham 4W 0D 1L · Swansea 2W 0D 3L

Birmingham v Swansea (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.63

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.5

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.38 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Birmingham for / against	Line	Swansea for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	14	871221 min	362.7 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Allsop	3	75225 min	62.4 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
R. Allsop n 8	84.4	2.5 6/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Klarer	16	901446 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	110.7 /90	1388.6 /90	221.4 /90	30.2 /90
P. Neumann	16	861371 min	231.5 /90	291.9 /90	130.9 /90	936.1 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
A. Cochrane	16	801272 min	211.5 /90	80.6 /90	60.4 /90	533.8 /90	141 /90	40.3 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	16	761212 min	302.2 /90	80.6 /90	20.1 /90	755.6 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90
E. Laird	6	44262 min	62.1 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	165.5 /90	51.7 /90	10.3 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1 4/1	—
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.9 7/0	—
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	2.1 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
A. Cochrane n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.3 6/3	—
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.3 5/3	1.4 4/3	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.9 7/4
P. Neumann n 8	90	1.8 6/6
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.4 5/2
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.8 5/1
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	1.8 5/3
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	13	76982 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Gray	12	28335 min	41.1 /90	00 /90	92.4 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	82.1 /90
L. Vázquez	5	47237 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ducksch	3	2266 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	00 /90
J. Stansfield	16	801286 min	20.1 /90	10.1 /90	261.8 /90	171.2 /90	110.8 /90	90.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.1 1/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	1.9 6/4	1.4 6/3
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
B. Osayi-Samuel n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Vigouroux	15	901356 min	291.9 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 8	90	2.6 6/5

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tymon	15	891338 min	241.6 /90	100.7 /90	10.1 /90	432.9 /90	70.5 /90	10.1 /90
F. Lissah	14	781090 min	312.6 /90	211.7 /90	60.5 /90	857 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
B. Cabango	13	831076 min	121 /90	110.9 /90	50.4 /90	524.3 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
Stephen Welsh	13	801041 min	90.8 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90	615.3 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
J. Key	8	53420 min	81.7 /90	71.5 /90	20.4 /90	204.3 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
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Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Vigouroux n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.6 2/1	—
J. Tymon n 8	87.8	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0	—
F. Lissah n 8	80.9	1.1 5/2	1.4 4/3	—
M. Stamenić n 8	76.3	1 5/1	1.2 4/3	—
A. Idah n 8	56.1	1 4/1	0.4 2/0	—
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Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Tymon n 8	87.8	1.4 7/4
F. Lissah n 8	80.9	3.3 7/6
M. Stamenić n 8	76.3	1.2 5/3
A. Idah n 8	56.1	0.4 2/0
M. Widell n 8	62.4	2.5 7/4
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Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Idah	14	57793 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	222.5 /90	111.2 /90	60.7 /90	70.8 /90
Z. Vipotnik	14	35493 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	162.9 /90	91.6 /90	101.8 /90	00 /90
M. Yeo	12	69830 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	131.4 /90	80.9 /90	151.6 /90	171.8 /90
Joseph Opoku	11	64700 min	20.3 /90	10.1 /90	101.3 /90	60.8 /90	121.5 /90	70.9 /90
Joseph Opoku	11	61668 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	141.9 /90	60.8 /90	101.3 /90	91.2 /90
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Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Vigouroux n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Tymon n 8	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Lissah n 8	80.9	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
M. Stamenić n 8	76.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Idah n 8	56.1	2.2 5/3	1.2 3/2
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Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Vigouroux n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Tymon n 8	87.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Lissah n 8	80.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Stamenić n 8	76.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Idah n 8	56.1	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Birmingham v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

BirminghamWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

SwanseaWLLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Birmingham 3 · 3 draws · Swansea 0 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-08-08 Swansea 0–1 Birmingham
2026-01-17 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
2025-09-20 Birmingham 1–0 Swansea
2024-01-13 Birmingham 2–2 Swansea
2023-08-05 Swansea 1–1 Birmingham
2023-02-04 Swansea 3–4 Birmingham

League standing · 2026/27

Birmingham#3 pos26 pts14 pl+13 GD

Swansea#5 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Birmingham scored1.86

Swansea scored1.5

Birmingham conceded0.93

Swansea conceded1.14

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Birmingham v Swansea?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Birmingham v Swansea is Home or Draw (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Birmingham and Swansea?: In their last 6 meetings, Birmingham won 3, Swansea won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Birmingham and Swansea?: Recent form — Birmingham 4W 0D 1L; Swansea 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 21:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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