BoltonBristol City

Bolton v Bristol City result

Full-time · Bolton 2–3 Bristol City

Championship · · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bolton · Bristol City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bolton 2–3 Bristol City — Bristol City won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.83 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bristol City won 3–2 at Toughsheet Community Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 31 October.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Bristol City: Dominic Ballard (13’, assisted by Jason Knight), Samuel Bell (84’, assisted by C. Pring) and Scott Twine (90+3’, assisted by Jed Wallace); Bolton: Joshua Sheehan (16’, assisted by Thierry Gale) and Samuel Dalby (57’, assisted by Atsuki Ito).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Scott Twine’s goal on 90+3’.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bolton 1.41, Bristol City 3.36, from 19 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Bolton: Joshua Sheehan (30’); Bristol City: Joseph Williams (11’).

What it changes

Bolton move down from 17th to 20th (13 league matches played). Bolton have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bolton have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City move up from 14th to 13th (13 league matches played). Bristol City have scored 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bristol City have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bolton are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Pring (Bristol City) 6.6, Dominic Ballard (Bristol City) 6.6 and Atsuki Ito (Bolton) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bristol City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bolton.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bolton next travel to Derby on 6 November 2026.

Bristol City next host Norwich on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bolton: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Bristol City: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bolton 2–3 Bristol City · Championship
  • Venue: Toughsheet Community Stadium · Bolton
  • Referee: Bobby Madley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Bolton 1 · draws 1 · Bristol City 3 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bolton 2W 1D 2L · Bristol City 1W 2D 2L

Bolton 2–3 Bristol City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.5
Corners
against 6.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBolton for / againstLineBristol City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.88 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Bobby Madley.

Bolton

Bolton Goalkeeper

Bolton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gavin Bazunu790630 min294.1 /90142 /9000 /90
J. Bonham691547 min172.8 /90101.6 /9000 /90
Bolton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 790
4.16/3
J. Bonham n 890.9
2.75/2

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gaizka Larrazabal1275898 min60.6 /90202 /9020.2 /90252.5 /90131.3 /9020.2 /90
M. Conway1072717 min222.8 /90111.4 /9060.8 /90577.2 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
A. Famewo975674 min141.9 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90456 /9081.1 /9030.4 /90
E. Toal881651 min101.4 /90101.4 /9060.8 /90283.9 /9040.6 /9000 /90
C. Forino-Joseph788616 min182.6 /90142 /9081.2 /90527.6 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
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Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.56/4
1.97/5
J. Knight
S. Dalby n 862.5
1.35/1
0.93/1
—
T. Gale n 866.6
0.52/1
0.52/1
D. Ballard
Gaizka Larrazabal n 883.1
0.95/2
0.53/1
—
E. Erhahon n 868
1.87/2
1.26/1
—
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
16/1
S. Dalby n 862.5
1.14/1
T. Gale n 866.6
1.45/3
Gaizka Larrazabal n 883.1
0.73/1
E. Erhahon n 868
2.36/4
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Dalby1374957 min40.4 /9000 /90181.7 /9080.8 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
Thelonius Bair543213 min10.4 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9000 /90
R. Hardie525126 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /90
J. Nelson522112 min00 /9000 /9064.8 /9032.4 /9032.4 /9043.2 /90
J. Sheehan13901173 min10.1 /9000 /90161.2 /9080.6 /90151.2 /9050.4 /90
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Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.37/3
0.64/1
S. Dalby n 862.5
26/1
0.95/0
T. Gale n 866.6
1.45/3
0.74/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 883.1
0.42/1
0.31/1
E. Erhahon n 868
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 862.5
0.42/0
00/0
T. Gale n 866.6
0.32/0
00/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 883.1
0.11/0
0.43/0
E. Erhahon n 868
0.21/0
00/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Tickle12901085 min201.7 /90161.3 /9000 /90
B. Collins19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 890
1.64/2

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rio Cardines1278937 min191.8 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90444.2 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
G. Tanner1175828 min131.4 /90111.2 /9070.8 /90424.6 /9060.7 /9000 /90
Lisav Naif Eissat1087871 min121.2 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90464.8 /90131.3 /9020.2 /90
C. Pring1062615 min142 /9050.7 /9030.4 /90365.3 /9050.7 /9000 /90
R. Dickie889711 min91.1 /9081 /9081 /90638 /9091.1 /9010.1 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Knight n 886.3
1.88/5
0.84/2
J. Sheehan
D. Ballard n 867.3
1.55/3
1.35/3
T. Gale
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Rio Cardines n 879.1
0.32/0
0.63/1
—
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
0.74/0
1.36/1
—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Knight n 886.3
1.46/3
D. Ballard n 867.3
0.53/0
Rio Cardines n 879.1
1.64/4
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
1.56/2
G. Tanner n 871.3
1.75/3
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Ballard1354701 min30.4 /9000 /90222.8 /9070.9 /9081 /9081 /90
L. Tolaj1068684 min20.3 /9010.1 /90253.3 /9081.1 /9091.2 /9030.4 /90
L. Tolaj279158 min10.6 /9010.6 /9063.4 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
E. Adebayo23060 min00 /9000 /9023 /9011.5 /9034.5 /9000 /90
E. Riis22652 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Knight n 886.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
D. Ballard n 867.3
38/6
0.83/2
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
Rio Cardines n 879.1
0.64/0
0.11/0
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
27/2
1.35/2
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Knight n 886.3
00/0
00/0
D. Ballard n 867.3
0.21/0
00/0
S. Tickle n 890
00/0
00/0
Rio Cardines n 879.1
00/0
0.43/0
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BoltonBristol City
65%Possession35%
1.41Expected goals (xG)3.36
19Shots14
6Shots on target9
5Shots off target3
8Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box11
11Corners4
2Offsides5
5Fouls7
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves4
589Passes323

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Conway9000000105.7
J. Bonham9000000006.7
J. Sheehan90101121Y8.2
Gaizka Larrazabal9000302106.1
S. Dalby9010112007.9
X. Simons9000002106.6
S. Iling-Junior8800401206.3
B. Davies8800101106.4
C. Forino-Joseph7800000206.4
A. Ito6501313207.4
T. Gale6501102006.5
Ruben Rodrigues2500321006.8
K. Dong2500210006.5
L. Brunt1200000006
A. Famewo200000005.9

Bristol City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Tanner9000000306.2
C. Pring9001102306.9
L. McNally9000210006.1
J. Knight9001002007.3
Lisav Naif Eissat9000100006.1
B. Collins9000000006.6
J. Williams78000002Y6.5
L. Tolaj7800220206.3
D. Ballard6710112208.2
B. De Keersmaecker5500000006
Rio Cardines5500102106.4
Y. Hirakawa3500110306.3
J. Wallace3501111006.4
S. Twine2310111107.3
S. Bell1210320008.2
A. Randell1200000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bolton v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BoltonWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Bristol CityWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Bolton 1 · 1 draw · Bristol City 3 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2019-01-25 Bristol City 2–1 Bolton
  • 2019-01-12 Bristol City 2–1 Bolton
  • 2018-08-11 Bolton 2–2 Bristol City
  • 2018-02-02 Bolton 1–0 Bristol City
  • 2017-09-26 Bristol City 2–0 Bolton
League standing · 2026/27
Bolton#17 pos17 pts14 pl-7 GD
Bristol City#15 pos18 pts14 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Bolton scored1.36
Bristol City scored1.14
Bolton conceded1.86
Bristol City conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bolton v Bristol City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bolton v Bristol City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.83 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bolton and Bristol City?
In their last 5 meetings, Bolton won 1, Bristol City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bolton and Bristol City?
Recent form — Bolton 2W 1D 2L; Bristol City 1W 2D 2L.

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