Cardiff v Burnley result
Team pages: Cardiff · Burnley · Head-to-head
Cardiff 1–2 Burnley — Burnley won this Championship match.
The result
Burnley won 2–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 4 March.
Burnley have conceded 16 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game).
The goals
Burnley led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Burnley: J. Brownhill (19’, assisted by Hannibal Mejbri) and Maxime Estève (40’, assisted by Zian Flemming); Cardiff: Yousef Salech (42’, assisted by Joel Bagan).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 1.26, Burnley 1.43, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
J. Linington showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Burnley: James Trafford (90+1’), Lucas Pires (90+1’) and J. Sarmiento (90+4’).
What it changes
Cardiff have scored 48 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Cardiff have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.
Burnley have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Brownhill (Burnley) 8.0, Yousef Salech (Cardiff) 7.2 and Maxime Estève (Burnley) 6.1 led the match.
Head-to-head
Burnley are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Cardiff, every meeting checked.
Next up
Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.
Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cardiff 1–2 Burnley · Championship
- Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Caerdydd
- Referee: J. Linington
- Head-to-head (last 5): Cardiff 0 · draws 1 · Burnley 4 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 1W 2D 2L · Burnley 3W 1D 1L
Cardiff 1–2 Burnley (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Burnley for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.2 for · 9.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.8 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.2 for · 19.2 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.8 for · 9.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 for · 7.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.6 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 10.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.4 for · 15.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.4 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Linington — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.8 fouls over 5 matches.
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Cardiff
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 1.2 | 0 | M. Estève |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 72.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | — |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 86.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | J. Cullen |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 1 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 2.2 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 72.1 | 1.9 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 86.8 | 1.9 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 2 |
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Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 72.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 86.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 72.1 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 86.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Burnley
Burnley Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Estève n 8 | 82.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | D. Goutas |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 2.4 | C. Chambers |
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 69.8 | 2.9 | 0.3 | — |
| C. Egan-Riley n 8 | 85.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Estève n 8 | 82.8 | 1.1 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 69.8 | 1.6 |
| C. Egan-Riley n 8 | 85.4 | 1.6 |
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Burnley Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Estève n 8 | 82.8 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Egan-Riley n 8 | 85.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Estève n 8 | 82.8 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Trafford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Cullen n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Brownhill n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Egan-Riley n 8 | 85.4 | 0 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Cardiff | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 1.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.43 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 485 | Passes | 461 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Goutas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| C. Chambers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. O'Dowda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Joel Bagan | 70 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Mannsverk | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Cian Ashford | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Rinomhota | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Robertson | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| W. Fish sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Colwill sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. El Ghazi sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Ramsey sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Robinson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
Burnley Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| Connor Roberts | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Egan-Riley | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Estève | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Lucas Pires | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| J. Brownhill | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Cullen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Anthony | 88 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Marcus Edwards | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Mejbri | 72 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Z. Flemming | 72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Laurent sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Foster sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Sarmiento sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Worrall sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-08-17 Burnley 5–0 Cardiff
- 2023-05-08 Burnley 3–0 Cardiff
- 2022-10-01 Cardiff 1–1 Burnley
- 2019-04-13 Burnley 2–0 Cardiff
- 2018-09-30 Cardiff 1–2 Burnley
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Burnley?
- In their last 5 meetings, Cardiff won 0, Burnley won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Burnley?
- Recent form — Cardiff 1W 2D 2L; Burnley 3W 1D 1L.
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