CardiffLuton

Cardiff v Luton result

Full-time · Cardiff 1–2 Luton

Championship · · Cardiff City Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Cardiff 1–2 Luton — Luton won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Luton won 2–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 11 March. Cardiff have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: C. Chambers (50’); Luton: Jordan Clark (57’) and Thelo Aasgaard (80’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.77, Luton 0.99, from 12 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Cardiff: C. O'Dowda (67’); Luton: Isaiah Jones (78’).

What it changes

Cardiff have scored 48 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Cardiff have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Luton have scored 45 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Luton have conceded 69 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Clark (Luton) 8.8, C. Chambers (Cardiff) 7.9 and W. Fish (Cardiff) 7.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Cardiff.

Next up

Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.

Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cardiff 1–2 Luton · Championship
  • Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Caerdydd
  • Referee: A. Davies
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff 2 · draws 0 · Luton 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cardiff 1W 1D 3L · Luton 1W 1D 3L

Cardiff 1–2 Luton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.38
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.6 / 5.5
Corners
against 6.4 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.8 / 2.33
Shots on target
against 5.6 / 3.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.6 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 2.33 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 March 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCardiff for / againstLineLuton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.6 for · 6.4 against n 5
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
Shots
8.4 for · 17.8 against n 5
19.5standard
10 for · 11.17 against n 6
Shots on target
2.8 for · 5.6 against n 5
8.5standard
2.33 for · 3.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.2 for · 9.8 against n 5
21.5standard
12.33 for · 11.83 against n 6
Cards shown
1.6 for · 2 against n 5
3.5standard
2 for · 2.33 against n 6

Cardiff

Cardiff Defensive

Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Goutas n 885.3
1.14/2
00/0
M. McGuinness
R. Colwill n 871.3
1.34/2
0.52/1
E. Adebayo
C. Chambers n 884.5
1.56/4
0.32/0
J. Clark
C. O'Dowda n 880.6
1.46/3
14/2
M. McGuinness
J. Alnwick n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Goutas n 885.3
2.58/7
R. Colwill n 871.3
2.88/6
C. Chambers n 884.5
2.96/5
C. O'Dowda n 880.6
26/4
J. Alnwick n 890
00/0
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Cardiff Attacking

Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Goutas n 885.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Colwill n 871.3
0.53/0
00/0
C. Chambers n 884.5
0.74/1
0.11/0
C. O'Dowda n 880.6
0.62/1
0.42/1
J. Alnwick n 890
00/0
00/0
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Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cardiff before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Goutas n 885.3
00/0
00/0
R. Colwill n 871.3
00/0
00/0
C. Chambers n 884.5
00/0
00/0
C. O'Dowda n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Alnwick n 890
00/0
00/0
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Luton

Luton Defensive

Luton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Kaminski n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
M. McGuinness n 877.4
0.75/0
0.43/0
C. O'Dowda
E. Adebayo n 841.4
3.35/4
1.43/1
R. Colwill
C. Morris n 876.9
26/4
1.96/4
—
J. Clark n 878.9
0.95/1
1.14/2
C. Chambers
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Luton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Kaminski n 890
00/0
M. McGuinness n 877.4
14/2
E. Adebayo n 841.4
00/0
C. Morris n 876.9
0.32/0
J. Clark n 878.9
0.93/2
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Luton Attacking

Luton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Kaminski n 890
00/0
00/0
M. McGuinness n 877.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Adebayo n 841.4
1.65/1
0.52/0
C. Morris n 876.9
1.24/2
0.74/1
J. Clark n 878.9
0.93/2
0.73/2
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Luton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Luton before kick-off, to 8 March 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Kaminski n 890
00/0
00/0
M. McGuinness n 877.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Adebayo n 841.4
00/0
00/0
C. Morris n 876.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Clark n 878.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CardiffLuton
58%Possession42%
0.77Expected goals (xG)0.99
12Shots9
4Shots on target4
7Shots off target2
1Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box6
4Corners3
2Offsides0
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
432Passes321
75%Pass accuracy66%

Cardiff Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000006.5
P. Ng9000210107.2
W. Fish9000210308
C. O'Dowda90001101Y6.9
C. Chambers9010211207.3
Y. Salech9000101006.6
D. Goutas8500101106.9
W. Alves7000000406.9
A. Robertson6900000407
R. Colwill6900001606.9
A. Ramsey5000000006.7
S. Mannsverk sub4000100006.3
C. Willock sub2100001006.7
I. Davies sub2100001006.3
C. Robinson sub2000000006.3
Y. Meïté sub900100006.9

Luton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Kaminski9000000006.9
C. Makosso9000100006.6
M. McGuinness9000000106.6
A. Bell9000000306.6
I. Jones90000021Y6.3
J. Clark9010110207.5
T. Aasgaard8710111107.9
C. Morris7500111106.9
L. Walsh5800110406.9
A. Doughty5800001306.9
E. Adebayo5800001006.7
Z. Nelson sub3200000306.7
M. Alli sub3200100006.9
J. Brown sub3200001006.3
J. Bowler sub1500000006.2
R. Burke sub30000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cardiff v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CardiffDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LutonLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cardiff 2 · 0 draws · Luton 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2024-11-06 Luton 1–0 Cardiff
  • 2023-01-31 Luton 1–0 Cardiff
  • 2022-08-30 Cardiff 1–2 Luton
  • 2022-04-18 Cardiff 0–1 Luton
  • 2021-11-27 Luton 1–2 Cardiff
  • 2021-02-16 Luton 0–2 Cardiff
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Cardiff#24 pos44 pts46 pl-25 GD
Luton#22 pos49 pts46 pl-24 GD
Goals per game
Cardiff scored1.04
Luton scored0.98
Cardiff conceded1.59
Luton conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Luton?
In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff won 2, Luton won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cardiff and Luton?
Recent form — Cardiff 1W 1D 3L; Luton 1W 1D 3L.

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