Cardiff v Luton result
Team pages: Cardiff · Luton · Head-to-head
Cardiff 1–2 Luton — Luton won this Championship match.
The result
Luton won 2–1 at Cardiff City Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 11 March. Cardiff have lost their last four matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cardiff: C. Chambers (50’); Luton: Jordan Clark (57’) and Thelo Aasgaard (80’).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cardiff 0.77, Luton 0.99, from 12 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
The bookings — Cardiff: C. O'Dowda (67’); Luton: Isaiah Jones (78’).
What it changes
Cardiff have scored 48 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Cardiff have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.
Luton have scored 45 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Luton have conceded 69 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Clark (Luton) 8.8, C. Chambers (Cardiff) 7.9 and W. Fish (Cardiff) 7.1 led the match.
Head-to-head
Luton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Cardiff.
Next up
Cardiff next travel to Norwich on 21 November 2026.
Luton next host Cambridge United on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cardiff: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Luton: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cardiff 1–2 Luton · Championship
- Venue: Cardiff City Stadium · Caerdydd
- Referee: A. Davies
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cardiff 2 · draws 0 · Luton 4 · 1.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Cardiff 1W 1D 3L · Luton 1W 1D 3L
Cardiff 1–2 Luton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cardiff for / against | Line | Luton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.6 for · 6.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.4 for · 17.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10 for · 11.17 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 for · 5.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.33 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.2 for · 9.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.33 for · 11.83 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.6 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5 |
Cardiff
Cardiff Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 1.1 | 0 | M. McGuinness |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 71.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | E. Adebayo |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 84.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | J. Clark |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 1.4 | 1 | M. McGuinness |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 2.5 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 71.3 | 2.8 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 84.5 | 2.9 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 2 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 |
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Cardiff Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 71.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 84.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Goutas n 8 | 85.3 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Colwill n 8 | 71.3 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Chambers n 8 | 84.5 | 0 | 0 |
| C. O'Dowda n 8 | 80.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Alnwick n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Luton
Luton Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 | — |
| M. McGuinness n 8 | 77.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | C. O'Dowda |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | R. Colwill |
| C. Morris n 8 | 76.9 | 2 | 1.9 | — |
| J. Clark n 8 | 78.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | C. Chambers |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| M. McGuinness n 8 | 77.4 | 1 |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.4 | 0 |
| C. Morris n 8 | 76.9 | 0.3 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 78.9 | 0.9 |
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Luton Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. McGuinness n 8 | 77.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| C. Morris n 8 | 76.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 78.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. McGuinness n 8 | 77.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| E. Adebayo n 8 | 41.4 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Morris n 8 | 76.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Clark n 8 | 78.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Cardiff | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| 58% | Possession | 42% |
| 0.77 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.99 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 432 | Passes | 321 |
| 75% | Pass accuracy | 66% |
Cardiff Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| P. Ng | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| W. Fish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| C. O'Dowda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Chambers | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Y. Salech | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Goutas | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| W. Alves | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Robertson | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Colwill | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Ramsey | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Mannsverk sub | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Willock sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| I. Davies sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Robinson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. Meïté sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Luton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kaminski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Makosso | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. McGuinness | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Bell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| I. Jones | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| J. Clark | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| T. Aasgaard | 87 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Morris | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Walsh | 58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Doughty | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Adebayo | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Z. Nelson sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Alli sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Brown sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Bowler sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| R. Burke sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cardiff v Luton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-11-06 Luton 1–0 Cardiff
- 2023-01-31 Luton 1–0 Cardiff
- 2022-08-30 Cardiff 1–2 Luton
- 2022-04-18 Cardiff 0–1 Luton
- 2021-11-27 Luton 1–2 Cardiff
- 2021-02-16 Luton 0–2 Cardiff
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and Luton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cardiff won 2, Luton won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cardiff and Luton?
- Recent form — Cardiff 1W 1D 3L; Luton 1W 1D 3L.
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