Charlton v Birmingham prediction

Championship · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · The Valley

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Charlton · Birmingham · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Birmingham, Championship on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Charlton host Birmingham in the Championship on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Birmingham have conceded 14 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). 12 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Charlton have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86. Charlton have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Charlton have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Birmingham have four wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Birmingham have scored 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

Birmingham have won their last three matches in all competitions. Charlton (19th) and Birmingham (first) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 444 rating points above Charlton (Birmingham 1706, Charlton 1262, after at least 107 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Charlton 1–0 Birmingham.

Team news

Predicted Charlton XI (4-2-3-1): A. Okonkwo, B. Koumetio, L. Jones, A. Bell, D. McNamara, C. Coventry, T. Campbell, H. Knibbs, K. Ahearne-Grant, O. Skipp, C. Kelman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tyreece Campbell (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and Lloyd Jones (3.7 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Charlton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Charlton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tyreece Campbell averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1083 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Lloyd Jones averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): R. Allsop, P. Neumann, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, E. Laird, T. Iwata, J. Solis, L. Millar, J. Stansfield, P. Roberts, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Ryan Allsop (4.0 per match over four appearances, one assist) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1292 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ryan Allsop averages 2.6 saves per 90 over 315 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · The Valley
Head-to-head (last 6): Charlton 2 · draws 2 · Birmingham 2 · 1.33 goals/game
Recent form: Charlton 1W 0D 4L · Birmingham 4W 0D 1L

Charlton v Birmingham (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.25

Goals

against 2 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 5

Corners

against 5.75 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 6.25

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Charlton for / against	Line	Birmingham for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.88 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.25 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.25 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Okonkwo	12	901080 min	423.5 /90	141.2 /90
W. Mannion	4	91365 min	112.7 /90	20.5 /90
T. Brooks	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90

Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 8	90	3.4 8/4
W. Mannion n 8	90.6	3.7 6/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Jones	16	891430 min	110.7 /90	211.3 /90	150.9 /90	915.7 /90	80.5 /90	10.1 /90
D. McNamara	15	761136 min	191.5 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	655.1 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90
A. Bell	12	841008 min	262.3 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	595.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
I. Mesík	12	64772 min	232.7 /90	91 /90	30.3 /90	445.1 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90
Billy Dawson Koumetio	11	84920 min	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	737.1 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Jones n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.6 2/2	—
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.9 6/4	0.8 4/1	—
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	1.9 8/3	0.5 4/0	—
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0.7 3/2	1.3 6/3	—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.9 4/3
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.1 5/2
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	1.9 8/6
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	2.1 6/5
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.5 3/0
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Leaburn	16	62995 min	00 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90	60.5 /90	100.9 /90
C. Kelman	7	54378 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	143.3 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90
Micah Mbick	7	34238 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90
M. Godden	4	43173 min	21 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Conor Coventry	15	831246 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	1.6 5/2	0.5 3/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Birmingham

Birmingham Goalkeeper

Birmingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Beadle	14	871221 min	362.7 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Allsop	4	79315 min	92.6 /90	61.7 /90	00 /90

Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
R. Allsop n 8	84.4	2.5 6/3

Birmingham Defensive

Birmingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Klarer	17	901536 min	251.5 /90	281.6 /90	110.6 /90	1508.8 /90	231.3 /90	30.2 /90
P. Neumann	17	861461 min	251.5 /90	301.8 /90	140.9 /90	1016.2 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
A. Cochrane	17	801362 min	231.5 /90	80.5 /90	60.4 /90	563.7 /90	151 /90	40.3 /90
B. Osayi-Samuel	16	761212 min	302.2 /90	80.6 /90	20.1 /90	755.6 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90
E. Laird	7	49342 min	61.6 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	225.8 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90
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Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.4 6/3	1 4/1	—
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.9 7/0	—
J. Stansfield n 8	87	2.2 6/5	0.3 2/0	—
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.9 5/2	1.3 6/3	—
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	1.1 7/2	0 0/0	—
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Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	1.9 7/4
P. Neumann n 8	90	1.8 6/6
J. Stansfield n 8	87	1.4 5/2
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.9 5/2
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	1 5/1
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Birmingham Attacking

Birmingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Priske	13	76982 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Gray	13	28367 min	41 /90	00 /90	92.2 /90	61.5 /90	61.5 /90	92.2 /90
L. Vázquez	5	47237 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
M. Ducksch	4	2286 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.1 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90
J. Stansfield	17	811376 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	312 /90	201.3 /90	130.9 /90	90.6 /90
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Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.1 1/0
J. Stansfield n 8	87	2.2 6/4	1.6 6/3
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
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Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Birmingham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Klarer n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
P. Neumann n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Stansfield n 8	87	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
A. Cochrane n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
T. Iwata n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CharltonLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

BirminghamWLWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Charlton 2 · 2 draws · Birmingham 2 · 1.33 goals/game

2026-03-07 Charlton 1–0 Birmingham
2025-12-13 Birmingham 1–1 Charlton
2025-02-15 Birmingham 1–0 Charlton
2024-10-05 Charlton 1–0 Birmingham
2024-08-13 Charlton 0–1 Birmingham
2020-07-15 Birmingham 1–1 Charlton

League standing · 2026/27

Charlton#19 pos17 pts15 pl-10 GD

Birmingham#1 pos29 pts15 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Charlton scored0.87

Birmingham scored1.87

Charlton conceded1.53

Birmingham conceded0.93

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Birmingham?: In their last 6 meetings, Charlton won 2, Birmingham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Birmingham?: Recent form — Charlton 1W 0D 4L; Birmingham 4W 0D 1L.

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