DerbyCoventry

Derby v Coventry result

Full-time · Derby 3–5 Coventry

Championship · · Pride Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Coventry · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Derby 3–5 Coventry — Coventry won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Coventry won 5–3 at Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday 16 August. It is Coventry’s first win over Derby since 8 January 2022, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Coventry: Bobby Thomas (7’), H. Wright (25’ pen), B. Thomas-Asante (72’), Ephron Mason-Clark (75’, assisted by Milan van Ewijk) and V. Torp (79’, assisted by Milan van Ewijk); Derby: Callum Elder (12’), Carlton Morris (45’ pen) and Ebrima Adams (50’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ephron Mason-Clark’s goal on 75 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 1.43, Coventry 3.24, from 13 shots to 20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Backhouse showed seven yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derby: Matthew Clarke (45+1’) and Ryan Nyambe (62’); Coventry: Bobby Thomas (45+1’), Matthew Grimes (55’), H. Wright (76’), Milan van Ewijk (83’) and Carl Rushworth (90+9’).

What it changes

Derby stay 24th after this result (two league matches played). Derby have scored 67 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Derby have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Coventry move up from third to second (two league matches played). Coventry have scored 97 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Coventry have conceded 45 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs.

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 12 matches. Derby are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Coventry are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ephron Mason-Clark (Coventry) 8.7, Carlton Morris (Derby) 7.5 and Milan van Ewijk (Coventry) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Derby are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Coventry.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55% of the time in the last 90 days (77 of 140).

Next up

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Derby 3–5 Coventry · Championship
  • Venue: Pride Park · Derby
  • Referee: A. Backhouse
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 2 · Coventry 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derby 2W 2D 1L · Coventry 2W 2D 1L

Derby 3–5 Coventry (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 5.57
Corners
against 4.83 / 5.86 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.33 / 2.86
Shots on target
against 3 / 3.86 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.33 / 2.71
Cards
against 1.67 / 2 · 0 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
5 yellows
Referee · A. Backhouse
21.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDerby for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 4.83 against n 6
9.5standard
5.57 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
8.83 for · 10 against n 6
19.5standard
12.14 for · 13.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.33 for · 3 against n 6
8.5standard
2.86 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.83 for · 10.83 against n 6
21.5standard
11.14 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.33 for · 1.67 against n 6
3.5standard
2.71 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: A. Backhouse — 5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Derby

Derby Defensive

Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Adams n 889.1
2.78/6
2.88/8
J. Rudoni
M. Clarke n 890
1.56/5
0.95/2
Liam Kitching
L. Thompson n 879.6
0.85/1
0.42/1
M. Grimes
C. Forsyth n 889.9
0.54/0
1.36/3
—
R. Nyambe n 877.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Grimes
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Adams n 889.1
2.98/5
R. Nyambe n 877.3
1.96/4
L. Thompson n 879.6
1.68/3
M. Clarke n 890
1.56/3
C. Forsyth n 889.9
1.56/2
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Forsyth n 889.9
14/3
0.31/1
M. Clarke n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
E. Adams n 889.1
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Thompson n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Forsyth n 889.9
00/0
0.32/0
E. Adams n 889.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Clarke n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Thompson n 879.6
00/0
00/0
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Coventry

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Torp n 863
1.15/1
1.66/2
—
Liam Kitching n 884.3
1.26/2
1.15/1
M. Clarke
B. Thomas n 884.3
0.95/2
1.67/2
—
M. Grimes n 880.6
1.36/3
1.46/2
R. Nyambe
J. Rudoni n 882.3
1.25/3
0.85/1
E. Adams
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Torp n 863
1.86/2
B. Thomas n 884.3
1.97/5
Liam Kitching n 884.3
0.53/1
M. Grimes n 880.6
27/5
J. Rudoni n 882.3
1.54/3
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Torp n 863
1.35/2
0.73/1
B. Thomas n 884.3
1.25/2
0.43/0
Liam Kitching n 884.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Rudoni n 882.3
1.47/2
1.16/1
M. Grimes n 880.6
0.85/1
0.43/0
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Torp n 863
0.41/1
0.41/1
Liam Kitching n 884.3
00/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 884.3
00/0
00/0
J. Rudoni n 882.3
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Grimes n 880.6
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DerbyCoventry
48%Possession52%
1.43Expected goals (xG)3.24
13Shots20
4Shots on target10
5Shots off target6
4Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box15
6Corners5
2Offsides1
14Fouls11
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
5Saves1
308Passes352
77%Pass accuracy80%

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000000006.9
D. Sanderson9000000105
M. Clarke90001002Y5.9
C. Elder9010112107.7
E. Adams9010110007.9
C. Morris9010210207.3
R. Nyambe89001103Y7
L. Thompson8400100106.3
D. Batth8100000106.5
D. Ozoh8100000206
K. Jackson8100001006.9
K. Goudmijn sub1600100106.7
D. Brown sub1100000006.3
A. Weimann sub1000000006.3
J. Ward sub1000100207
B. Clark sub1000001106.3

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Rushworth90000000Y6.3
M. van Ewijk90020032Y7.3
B. Thomas90102200Y7.7
Liam Kitching9000000306.6
J. Dasilva9000101606.3
M. Grimes90001022Y6.9
J. Rudoni9000000006.7
V. Torp8910330107.9
B. Thomas-Asante8910310106.5
E. Mason-Clark8910223107.9
H. Wright89104210Y6.3
K. Kesler-Hayden sub900000006.6
E. Simms sub900000006.3
J. Allen sub10000000–
R. Borges Rodrigues sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DerbyWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
CoventryWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Derby 2 · 2 draws · Coventry 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-03-11 Derby 2–0 Coventry
  • 2024-11-06 Coventry 1–2 Derby
  • 2022-03-19 Derby 1–1 Coventry
  • 2022-01-08 Coventry 1–0 Derby
  • 2021-10-23 Coventry 1–1 Derby
  • 2021-03-06 Coventry 1–0 Derby
League standing · 2025/26
Derby#8 pos69 pts46 pl+8 GD
Coventry#1 pos95 pts46 pl+52 GD
Goals per game
Derby scored1.46
Coventry scored2.11
Derby conceded1.28
Coventry conceded0.98

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Derby v Coventry?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Coventry was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Coventry?
In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Coventry won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Coventry?
Recent form — Derby 2W 2D 1L; Coventry 2W 2D 1L.

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