This Matchweek

DerbyNorwich

Derby v Norwich result

Full-time · Derby 0–4 Norwich

Championship · · Pride Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Norwich · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Derby 0–4 Norwich — Norwich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Norwich won 4–0 at Pride Park in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November. Derby are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Norwich have won their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Norwich led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Norwich: Anthony Musaba (8’), P. Maghoma (27’, assisted by Jack Stacey), D. Yongwa (44’) and Jovon Makama (66’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Anthony Musaba’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 0.73, Norwich 2.41, from 6 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Derby: Ryan Nyambe (38’).

What it changes

Derby stay 23rd after this result (14 league matches played). Derby have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Derby have conceded 29 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Norwich move up from 13th to 12th (14 league matches played). Norwich have scored 27 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Norwich have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Norwich’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 14, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Stacey (Norwich) 8.6, Anthony Musaba (Norwich) 6.3 and D. Yongwa (Norwich) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Derby or Norwich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Derby next host Bolton on 6 November 2026.

Norwich next travel to Bristol City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derby: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Norwich: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Derby 0–4 Norwich · Championship
  • Venue: Pride Park · Derby
  • Referee: Sam Allison
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Norwich 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derby 0W 2D 3L · Norwich 2W 0D 3L

Derby 0–4 Norwich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.38 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDerby for / againstLineNorwich for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Sam Allison.

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström1091905 min454.5 /90161.6 /9000 /90
J. Vickers490360 min92.3 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
5.17/7
J. Vickers n 889.5
26/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Sanderson1281971 min100.9 /90131.2 /90111 /90494.5 /90111 /9040.4 /90
S. Langås1091905 min171.7 /9060.6 /9050.5 /90414.1 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90
J. Ward1080800 min161.8 /90171.9 /9020.2 /90353.9 /9050.6 /9000 /90
C. Taylor986774 min161.9 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90354.1 /90101.2 /9010.1 /90
M. Johnston744306 min41.2 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9051.5 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Clark n 888.9
0.53/1
1.15/2
—
S. Szmodics n 881.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
D. Sanderson n 881.4
0.85/1
0.32/0
Ruairi McConville
R. Hedges n 872.4
0.64/0
1.24/3
—
S. Langås n 890
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 888.9
2.27/4
S. Szmodics n 881.3
1.16/1
D. Sanderson n 881.4
15/2
R. Hedges n 872.4
2.57/5
S. Langås n 890
1.66/4
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Morris1086858 min10.1 /9010.1 /90141.5 /9050.5 /90111.2 /9040.4 /90
R. Brewster942374 min00 /9000 /9041 /9010.2 /9041 /9020.5 /90
H. Meister844353 min00 /9000 /9092.3 /9030.8 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
L. Salvesen733230 min20.8 /9000 /90114.3 /9052 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90
B. Clark14851185 min30.2 /9020.2 /90191.4 /9090.7 /90211.6 /90181.4 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 888.9
1.57/3
0.95/2
S. Szmodics n 881.3
2.27/6
0.84/2
D. Sanderson n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
R. Hedges n 872.4
0.83/2
0.53/0
S. Langås n 890
0.32/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 888.9
0.32/0
00/0
S. Szmodics n 881.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Sanderson n 881.4
00/0
00/0
R. Hedges n 872.4
00/0
00/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
00/0
00/0
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Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Kovačević1091909 min252.5 /90202 /9010.1 /90
D. Grimshaw690540 min122 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.66/4
D. Grimshaw n 884.4
2.15/3

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Ruairi McConville14801119 min151.2 /90181.4 /9060.5 /90614.9 /9030.2 /9020.2 /90
J. Córdoba13891153 min131 /9080.6 /9080.6 /90443.4 /90151.2 /9070.5 /90
B. Chrisene13831077 min322.7 /90161.3 /9050.4 /90655.4 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Stacey13811056 min353 /90252.1 /9030.3 /90625.3 /9090.8 /9030.3 /90
H. Darling680479 min40.8 /9020.4 /9061.1 /90213.9 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Brooks n 870.9
15/1
0.63/1
—
P. Mattsson n 884.4
2.76/6
1.77/3
—
Ruairi McConville n 881.1
0.11/0
0.85/1
D. Sanderson
J. Córdoba n 890
15/3
0.54/0
—
B. Chrisene n 884.3
0.95/2
1.15/1
—
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Brooks n 870.9
0.53/0
P. Mattsson n 884.4
2.88/6
Ruairi McConville n 881.1
1.77/3
J. Córdoba n 890
16/2
B. Chrisene n 884.3
2.97/6
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Musaba1346594 min20.3 /9010.2 /90142.1 /9091.4 /9081.2 /90152.3 /90
M. Kvistgaarden1250604 min30.4 /9040.6 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9071 /9010.1 /90
M. Touré960536 min61 /9010.2 /90132.2 /9081.3 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
J. Makama837294 min10.3 /9000 /9092.8 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90103.1 /90
P. Diallo729205 min10.4 /9000 /9041.8 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9083.5 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Brooks n 870.9
1.15/2
0.21/0
P. Mattsson n 884.4
0.74/1
0.31/1
Ruairi McConville n 881.1
0.85/1
0.43/0
J. Córdoba n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
B. Chrisene n 884.3
0.74/1
0.11/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Brooks n 870.9
00/0
0.32/0
P. Mattsson n 884.4
00/0
0.11/0
Ruairi McConville n 881.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Córdoba n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Chrisene n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DerbyNorwich
46%Possession54%
0.73Expected goals (xG)2.41
6Shots19
2Shots on target8
1Shots off target6
3Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box12
4Corners5
0Offsides4
10Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves2
400Passes478

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Clark9000102005.5
M. Johnston9000000405.1
C. Morris9000310206.4
R. Nyambe90000002Y6
D. Sanderson9000000305.8
J. Widell Zetterström9000001006.6
H. Meister7300100206.4
S. Szmodics6400000405.9
O. Fraulo4500000205.8
A. Mowatt4500000005.9
M. Fuseini4500112207.1
J. Robinson4500000106
L. Travis4500000006.2
I. Gordon4500000206.1
F. Bilbija2600000105.6
R. Brewster1700000006.3

Norwich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Yongwa9010320107.4
H. Darling9000100007
S. Field9000100106.7
Ruairi McConville9000100007.1
Jacob Wright9000112207.1
D. Grimshaw9000000007
J. Stacey8801202607.7
M. Kvistgaarden7100111006.4
A. Musaba7110224008.2
A. Brooks6100201206.4
P. Maghoma6110311008.2
L. Mahovo2900000006.5
J. Makama2910110007.4
A. Crnac1900100006.5
O. Schwartau1900000006.6
K. Fisher200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Norwich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DerbyDLLDL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
NorwichLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Derby 2 · 1 draw · Norwich 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-21 Norwich 2–1 Derby
  • 2025-10-21 Derby 1–0 Norwich
  • 2025-02-08 Norwich 1–1 Derby
  • 2024-09-28 Derby 2–3 Norwich
  • 2021-04-10 Derby 0–1 Norwich
  • 2020-10-03 Norwich 0–1 Derby
League standing · 2026/27
Derby#23 pos7 pts14 pl-18 GD
Norwich#12 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Derby scored0.79
Norwich scored1.93
Derby conceded2.07
Norwich conceded1.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Derby v Norwich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Norwich was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Norwich?
In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Norwich won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Norwich?
Recent form — Derby 0W 2D 3L; Norwich 2W 0D 3L.

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