DerbyStoke City

Derby v Stoke City result

Full-time · Derby 2–0 Stoke City

Championship · · Pride Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Derby 2–0 Stoke City — Derby won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Derby beat Stoke City 2–0 at Pride Park in the Championship on Monday 6 April. It is Derby’s first win over Stoke City since 30 December 2021, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: J. Banel (54’, assisted by Carlton Morris) and Carlton Morris (89’, assisted by Bobby Clark).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Banel’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 2.39, Stoke City 0.30, from 20 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Bell showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Derby: Lewis Travis (69’) and J. Banel (85’); Stoke City: Sydney Agina (3’).

What it changes

Derby stay eighth after this result (41 league matches played). Derby have scored 67 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Derby have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stoke City stay 12th after this result (41 league matches played). Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carlton Morris (Derby) 10.4, Bobby Clark (Derby) 7.5 and Ashley Phillips (Stoke City) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stoke City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Derby.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Derby 2–0 Stoke City · Championship
  • Venue: Pride Park · Derby
  • Referee: E. Bell
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Stoke City 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derby 3W 0D 2L · Stoke City 2W 1D 2L

Derby 2–0 Stoke City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 6
Corners
against 4.88 / 6.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDerby for / againstLineStoke City for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 6.88 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: E. Bell.

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström29902610 min913.1 /90391.3 /9010 /90
J. Vickers890716 min232.9 /90131.6 /9000 /90
R. O'Donnell590450 min173.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890
3.55/4
J. Vickers n 889.5
2.97/4

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Clarke40893550 min651.6 /90551.4 /90431.1 /902446.2 /90381 /9080.2 /90
D. Sanderson33892937 min300.9 /90461.4 /90220.7 /901273.9 /90331 /9070.2 /90
J. Ward31822527 min421.5 /90301.1 /90100.4 /90973.5 /9070.2 /9040.1 /90
C. Elder27832229 min512.1 /90261 /9090.4 /901315.3 /90261 /9080.3 /90
S. Langås20871746 min271.4 /90241.2 /90120.6 /90894.6 /9090.5 /9020.1 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Clarke n 890
1.16/2
1.15/2
A. Phillips
B. Clark n 875.4
1.37/2
15/2
—
P. Agyemang n 876.9
2.27/5
2.36/4
—
B. Brereton n 882.5
1.16/1
1.85/4
—
D. Sanderson n 890
0.95/2
0.84/2
A. Phillips
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
1.37/3
B. Clark n 875.4
2.77/6
P. Agyemang n 876.9
0.64/0
B. Brereton n 882.5
0.53/1
D. Sanderson n 890
0.54/0
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Agyemang37742736 min100.3 /9030.1 /90602 /90311 /90280.9 /90371.2 /90
R. Brewster30521547 min70.4 /9020.1 /90221.3 /90100.6 /90171 /90211.2 /90
C. Morris22711566 min100.6 /9000 /90271.6 /90140.8 /90150.9 /9060.3 /90
A. Weimann1641648 min00 /9010.1 /9081.1 /9040.6 /9060.8 /9040.6 /90
L. Salvesen1041414 min20.4 /9020.4 /9071.5 /9030.7 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
0.94/2
0.32/0
B. Clark n 875.4
0.73/1
0.32/0
P. Agyemang n 876.9
27/4
0.95/1
B. Brereton n 882.5
1.46/3
1.15/3
D. Sanderson n 890
00/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Clarke n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Clark n 875.4
00/0
00/0
P. Agyemang n 876.9
00/0
00/0
B. Brereton n 882.5
0.53/1
00/0
D. Sanderson n 890
00/0
00/0
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson24902160 min702.9 /90220.9 /9000 /90
Tommy Simkin16901440 min422.6 /90221.4 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu294187 min41.9 /9000 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.47/6
Tommy Simkin n 890
36/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Phillips38843174 min180.5 /90290.8 /90320.9 /901444.1 /90230.7 /9050.1 /90
B. Wilmot36873134 min351 /90200.6 /90210.6 /901644.7 /90150.4 /9050.1 /90
Bosun Lawal26772010 min421.9 /90140.6 /90110.5 /901446.4 /90210.9 /9070.3 /90
J. Tchamadeu23841935 min512.4 /90241.1 /9050.2 /901044.8 /90221 /90100.5 /90
A. Cresswell23821897 min221 /90180.9 /9050.2 /90562.7 /9050.2 /9010 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.73/2
1.15/1
—
Bae Jun-Ho n 865.3
0.32/0
14/1
—
A. Phillips n 890.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
D. Sanderson
M. Manhoef n 862.1
25/4
1.14/2
—
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.54/0
0.74/1
—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.43/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 865.3
1.44/2
A. Phillips n 890.9
0.53/1
M. Manhoef n 862.1
0.93/2
B. Wilmot n 882.5
1.54/3
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Mubama24701688 min50.3 /9010.1 /90251.3 /90140.7 /9070.4 /90120.6 /90
L. Cissé23651493 min30.2 /9030.2 /90221.3 /90120.7 /90221.3 /90150.9 /90
R. Boženík1354708 min10.1 /9000 /90162 /9081 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
M. Smit1056563 min20.3 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
S. Gallagher1036361 min20.5 /9000 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9041 /9020.5 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.53/1
0.43/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 865.3
0.95/0
0.21/0
A. Phillips n 890.9
0.43/0
0.22/0
M. Manhoef n 862.1
1.84/3
1.12/1
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.11/0
0.54/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 865.3
0.21/0
00/0
A. Phillips n 890.9
00/0
00/0
M. Manhoef n 862.1
0.41/1
0.21/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DerbyStoke City
52%Possession48%
2.39Expected goals (xG)0.30
20Shots7
3Shots on target0
8Shots off target6
9Blocked shots1
16Shots inside the box5
5Corners3
0Offsides1
18Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves1
376Passes352
79%Pass accuracy76%

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. O'Donnell9000000006.3
J. Ward9000102007.2
D. Sanderson9000100006.7
M. Clarke9000000007.3
D. Murkin9000101307.7
L. Travis90000002Y6.9
B. Brereton8900212107.3
B. Clark8901106107.9
C. Morris8911314108.3
D. Ozoh8000000307.7
P. Agyemang4100001006.3
J. Banel sub49102100Y7.2
O. Fraulo sub1000001006.9
Cruz Allen sub10000000–
M. Johnston sub10000000–
L. Salvesen sub10000000–

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gavin Bazunu9000000007.2
A. Phillips9000000307
Bosun Lawal9000000406.9
S. Thomas9000000206.9
T. Seko9000201207.2
E. Bocat9000100206.9
J. Rak-Sakyi9000002106.3
Sydney Agina63000002Y6.3
S. Nzonzi6300000106.3
L. Cissé4500000106.7
T. Rigo3500000006.5
S. Gallagher sub4500100006.5
Bae Jun-Ho sub4300000206.6
M. Manhoef sub2700201206.7
L. Baker sub2700000006.5
M. Smit sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DerbyWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Stoke CityLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Derby 2 · 1 draw · Stoke City 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Stoke City 3–1 Derby
  • 2025-05-03 Derby 0–0 Stoke City
  • 2024-11-02 Stoke City 2–1 Derby
  • 2021-12-30 Stoke City 1–2 Derby
  • 2021-09-18 Derby 2–1 Stoke City
  • 2021-03-20 Stoke City 1–0 Derby
League standing · 2025/26
Derby#8 pos69 pts46 pl+8 GD
Stoke City#17 pos55 pts46 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Derby scored1.46
Stoke City scored1.11
Derby conceded1.28
Stoke City conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Derby v Stoke City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Stoke City was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Stoke City?
In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Stoke City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Stoke City?
Recent form — Derby 3W 0D 2L; Stoke City 2W 1D 2L.

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