Derby v Stoke City result
Team pages: Derby · Stoke City · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Derby 2–0 Stoke City — Derby won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
The result
Derby beat Stoke City 2–0 at Pride Park in the Championship on Monday 6 April. It is Derby’s first win over Stoke City since 30 December 2021, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: J. Banel (54’, assisted by Carlton Morris) and Carlton Morris (89’, assisted by Bobby Clark).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Banel’s goal on 54 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 2.39, Stoke City 0.30, from 20 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
E. Bell showed three yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 20 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Derby: Lewis Travis (69’) and J. Banel (85’); Stoke City: Sydney Agina (3’).
What it changes
Derby stay eighth after this result (41 league matches played). Derby have scored 67 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Derby have conceded 59 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Stoke City stay 12th after this result (41 league matches played). Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Carlton Morris (Derby) 10.4, Bobby Clark (Derby) 7.5 and Ashley Phillips (Stoke City) 5.8 led the match.
Head-to-head
Stoke City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Derby.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.
Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Derby 2–0 Stoke City · Championship
- Venue: Pride Park · Derby
- Referee: E. Bell
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Stoke City 3 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Derby 3W 0D 2L · Stoke City 2W 1D 2L
Derby 2–0 Stoke City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Derby for / against | Line | Stoke City for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.75 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.13 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: E. Bell.
Derby
Derby Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | 29 | 902610 min | 913.1 /90 | 391.3 /90 | 10 /90 |
| J. Vickers | 8 | 90716 min | 232.9 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. O'Donnell | 5 | 90450 min | 173.4 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
| J. Vickers n 8 | 89.5 | 2.9 |
Derby Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clarke | 40 | 893550 min | 651.6 /90 | 551.4 /90 | 431.1 /90 | 2446.2 /90 | 381 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
| D. Sanderson | 33 | 892937 min | 300.9 /90 | 461.4 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 1273.9 /90 | 331 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| J. Ward | 31 | 822527 min | 421.5 /90 | 301.1 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 973.5 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| C. Elder | 27 | 832229 min | 512.1 /90 | 261 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 1315.3 /90 | 261 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| S. Langås | 20 | 871746 min | 271.4 /90 | 241.2 /90 | 120.6 /90 | 894.6 /90 | 90.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clarke n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 1.1 | A. Phillips |
| B. Clark n 8 | 75.4 | 1.3 | 1 | — |
| P. Agyemang n 8 | 76.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | — |
| B. Brereton n 8 | 82.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | — |
| D. Sanderson n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.8 | A. Phillips |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Clarke n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| B. Clark n 8 | 75.4 | 2.7 |
| P. Agyemang n 8 | 76.9 | 0.6 |
| B. Brereton n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 |
| D. Sanderson n 8 | 90 | 0.5 |
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Derby Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Agyemang | 37 | 742736 min | 100.3 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 602 /90 | 311 /90 | 280.9 /90 | 371.2 /90 |
| R. Brewster | 30 | 521547 min | 70.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 171 /90 | 211.2 /90 |
| C. Morris | 22 | 711566 min | 100.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 271.6 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| A. Weimann | 16 | 41648 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 |
| L. Salvesen | 10 | 41414 min | 20.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 71.5 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clarke n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| B. Clark n 8 | 75.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| P. Agyemang n 8 | 76.9 | 2 | 0.9 |
| B. Brereton n 8 | 82.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| D. Sanderson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Clarke n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| B. Clark n 8 | 75.4 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Agyemang n 8 | 76.9 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Brereton n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| D. Sanderson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Stoke City
Stoke City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson | 24 | 902160 min | 702.9 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Tommy Simkin | 16 | 901440 min | 422.6 /90 | 221.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Gavin Bazunu | 2 | 94187 min | 41.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| Tommy Simkin n 8 | 90 | 3 |
Stoke City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Phillips | 38 | 843174 min | 180.5 /90 | 290.8 /90 | 320.9 /90 | 1444.1 /90 | 230.7 /90 | 50.1 /90 |
| B. Wilmot | 36 | 873134 min | 351 /90 | 200.6 /90 | 210.6 /90 | 1644.7 /90 | 150.4 /90 | 50.1 /90 |
| Bosun Lawal | 26 | 772010 min | 421.9 /90 | 140.6 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 1446.4 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| J. Tchamadeu | 23 | 841935 min | 512.4 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 1044.8 /90 | 221 /90 | 100.5 /90 |
| A. Cresswell | 23 | 821897 min | 221 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 562.7 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 10 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 84.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 65.3 | 0.3 | 1 | — |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | D. Sanderson |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 62.1 | 2 | 1.1 | — |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 84.1 | 0.4 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 65.3 | 1.4 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90.9 | 0.5 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 62.1 | 0.9 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 1.5 |
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Stoke City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mubama | 24 | 701688 min | 50.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 251.3 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 120.6 /90 |
| L. Cissé | 23 | 651493 min | 30.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 221.3 /90 | 150.9 /90 |
| R. Boženík | 13 | 54708 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 162 /90 | 81 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| M. Smit | 10 | 56563 min | 20.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| S. Gallagher | 10 | 36361 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 84.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 65.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 62.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 84.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 65.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 62.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Derby | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 2.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.30 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 16 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 376 | Passes | 352 |
| 79% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
Derby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. O'Donnell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ward | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| D. Sanderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Clarke | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Murkin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| L. Travis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| B. Brereton | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| B. Clark | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| C. Morris | 89 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| D. Ozoh | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| P. Agyemang | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Banel sub | 49 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| O. Fraulo sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Cruz Allen sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| M. Johnston sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| L. Salvesen sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Stoke City Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Bazunu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| Bosun Lawal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Thomas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Seko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| E. Bocat | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Rak-Sakyi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Sydney Agina | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| S. Nzonzi | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Cissé | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Rigo | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Gallagher sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Bae Jun-Ho sub | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Manhoef sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Baker sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Smit sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Derby v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-09 Stoke City 3–1 Derby
- 2025-05-03 Derby 0–0 Stoke City
- 2024-11-02 Stoke City 2–1 Derby
- 2021-12-30 Stoke City 1–2 Derby
- 2021-09-18 Derby 2–1 Stoke City
- 2021-03-20 Stoke City 1–0 Derby
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Derby v Stoke City?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Stoke City was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Stoke City?
- In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Stoke City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Derby and Stoke City?
- Recent form — Derby 3W 0D 2L; Stoke City 2W 1D 2L.
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