This Matchweek

DerbySwansea

Derby v Swansea result

Full-time · Derby 0–3 Swansea

Championship · · Pride Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Swansea · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Derby 0–3 Swansea — Swansea won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.34 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swansea won 3–0 at Pride Park in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Derby are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Swansea are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Swansea led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Swansea: Joseph Opoku (2’, assisted by Eom Ji-Sung), Eom Ji-Sung (44’) and Ronald (90’, assisted by Stephen Eustaquio).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Eom Ji-Sung’s goal on 44 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Derby 0.70, Swansea 3.00, from 8 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

David Webb, England showed five yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derby: Sondre Langås (69’), Dion Sanderson (79’) and Lewis Travis (81’); Swansea: Marko Stamenić (73’) and Elijah Just (84’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eom Ji-Sung (Swansea) 9.8, Joshua Key (Swansea) 8.0 and Alex Mowatt (Derby) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Derby or Swansea (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Swansea next travel to Birmingham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Swansea: Birmingham v Swansea, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Derby 0–3 Swansea · Championship
  • Venue: Pride Park · Derby
  • Referee: David Webb, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Swansea 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Swansea 2W 2D 1L

Derby 0–3 Swansea (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Corners
against 5.5 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.9 yellows
Referee · David Webb, England
20.3 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDerby for / againstLineSwansea for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: David Webb, England — 2.9 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström392275 min82.6 /9062 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
4.18/5

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Langås392275 min62 /9031 /9010.3 /90175.6 /9031 /9010.3 /90
C. Taylor381243 min41.5 /9031.1 /9031.1 /90124.4 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Sanderson377230 min31.2 /9000 /9020.8 /90176.7 /9052 /9010.4 /90
M. Johnston345135 min32 /9000 /9010.7 /9032 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
J. Ward290179 min10.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9063 /9010.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Clark n 882.3
1.98/4
0.85/1
Joseph Opoku
S. Langås n 873.4
1.46/3
0.63/1
J. Tymon
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
0.22/0
—
C. Morris n 890.4
2.15/5
1.46/4
—
L. Travis n 886.9
15/2
1.96/6
M. Stamenić
See more players · Pro
Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Langås n 873.4
2.17/6
B. Clark n 882.3
1.45/3
C. Morris n 890.4
0.75/1
L. Travis n 886.9
3.17/6
C. Taylor n 381
1.52/1
See more players · Pro

Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Morris391273 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9031 /9031 /9010.3 /90
S. Szmodics267134 min21.3 /9000 /9053.4 /9042.7 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Salvesen21530 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013 /9000 /90
B. Clark392275 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9020.7 /9082.6 /9072.3 /90
L. Travis390269 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9020.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 882.3
1.25/2
0.42/1
S. Langås n 873.4
0.63/1
0.32/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
C. Morris n 890.4
1.47/4
16/2
L. Travis n 886.9
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 882.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
S. Langås n 873.4
0.21/0
00/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
C. Morris n 890.4
0.22/0
0.22/0
L. Travis n 886.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Vigouroux392276 min31 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
3.36/5

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tymon392276 min51.6 /9020.7 /9000 /90113.6 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
B. Cabango384253 min31.1 /9020.7 /9031.1 /90165.7 /9000 /9000 /90
F. Lissah370210 min52.1 /9073 /9000 /90187.7 /9062.6 /9020.9 /90
J. Key33089 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
Stephen Welsh290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /90115.5 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Opoku n 392
2.92/2
0.31/0
B. Clark
J. Tymon n 890.8
0.22/0
0.53/1
S. Langås
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
M. Stamenić n 874.3
1.46/1
0.84/1
L. Travis
B. Cabango n 887.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joseph Opoku n 392
1.63/2
J. Tymon n 890.8
1.45/3
M. Stamenić n 874.3
1.75/4
B. Cabango n 887.9
0.86/0
E. Just n 376
1.62/1
See more players · Pro

Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Idah350149 min10.6 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9031.8 /9010.6 /90
Z. Vipotnik342127 min00 /9010.7 /9032.1 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
Eom Ji-Sung22754 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.7 /9000 /90
Joseph Opoku392276 min10.3 /9000 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
M. Stamenić387262 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Opoku n 392
1.33/1
0.31/0
J. Tymon n 890.8
0.22/0
0.22/0
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 874.3
0.84/1
0.32/0
B. Cabango n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joseph Opoku n 392
0.31/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
L. Vigouroux n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 874.3
0.21/0
00/0
B. Cabango n 887.9
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DerbySwansea
47%Possession53%
0.70Expected goals (xG)3.00
8Shots23
0Shots on target12
2Shots off target5
6Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box15
5Corners6
5Offsides4
16Fouls7
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
9Saves0
404Passes475
76%Pass accuracy83%

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Widell Zetterström9000000007.9
C. Taylor9000000106.2
D. Sanderson90000000Y6.9
S. Langås90001000Y5.9
B. Clark9000000306.7
L. Travis86000014Y6.6
A. Mowatt7800002607.2
L. Salvesen6900001006.3
M. Johnston4500100005.9
R. Hedges4500000206.3
C. Blackett-Taylor4500000005.9
J. Ward sub4500000006.3
S. Szmodics sub4500000106.7
R. Brewster sub4500000006.7
F. Bilbija sub2100000006.2
Owen Eames sub1200000006.3

Swansea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Vigouroux9000001006.6
Stephen Welsh9000102108.3
J. Tymon9000001107
M. Stamenić90001001Y7.3
F. Lissah9000000107.3
J. Key9000005507.6
Eom Ji-Sung8511222108.2
M. Widell6500110306.9
A. Idah6500310006.2
J. Fulton6500000407.2
Joseph Opoku2410211007.8
Joseph Opoku2410211007
M. Yeo sub6600222307.2
Z. Vipotnik sub2500332006.9
E. Just sub25001110Y6.5
S. Eustaquio sub2501002107.2
Ronald sub1010110107.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DerbyWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
SwanseaDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Derby 2 · 1 draw · Swansea 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Derby 2–0 Swansea
  • 2025-11-25 Swansea 1–2 Derby
  • 2025-04-05 Swansea 1–0 Derby
  • 2024-11-27 Derby 1–2 Swansea
  • 2022-04-09 Swansea 2–1 Derby
  • 2021-10-02 Derby 0–0 Swansea
League standing · 2026/27
Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD
Swansea#5 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Derby scored0.93
Swansea scored1.5
Derby conceded2
Swansea conceded1.14

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Derby v Swansea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Swansea was Home or Away (best price 1.34 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Swansea?
In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Swansea won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Swansea?
Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Swansea 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+