Hull City v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough

Championship · Sat, 23 May 2026 15:30 BST · Wembley Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hull City · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough — Hull City won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Hull City beat Middlesbrough 1–0 at Wembley Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 23 May. Hull City are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Middlesbrough are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Hull City: Oliver McBurnie (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Oliver McBurnie’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Hull City 0.71, Middlesbrough 0.78, from 9 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Gillett showed one yellow card — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 23 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Hull City: Oliver McBurnie (90+6’).

What it changes

Hull City have scored 73 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game). Hull City have conceded 66 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough have scored 73 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded 50 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Hull City have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luke Ayling (Middlesbrough) 5.8, Riley McGree (Middlesbrough) 5.0 and Oliver McBurnie (Hull City) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Middlesbrough, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Hull City next host Brighton on 21 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hull City: Hull City v Brighton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough · Championship
Venue: Wembley Stadium · London
Referee: J. Gillett
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hull City 2 · draws 1 · Middlesbrough 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Hull City 2W 2D 1L · Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L

Hull City 1–0 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 8

Corners

against 7.13 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.25 / 6.57

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.75 / 1.57

Cards

against 2 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hull City for / against	Line	Middlesbrough for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	8 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.14 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.57 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: J. Gillett.

Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
I. Pandur	47	904230 min	1503.2 /90	651.4 /90	20 /90
D. Phillips	2	93185 min	62.9 /90	52.4 /90	00 /90

Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Pandur n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Egan	43	863686 min	551.3 /90	391 /90	451.1 /90	2305.6 /90	220.5 /90	90.2 /90
L. Coyle	42	823449 min	541.4 /90	270.7 /90	200.5 /90	1393.6 /90	381 /90	120.3 /90
C. Hughes	39	863366 min	491.3 /90	471.3 /90	581.6 /90	1895.1 /90	421.1 /90	70.2 /90
R. Giles	34	812753 min	290.9 /90	210.7 /90	90.3 /90	571.9 /90	160.5 /90	70.2 /90
S. Ajayi	21	831736 min	291.5 /90	291.5 /90	130.7 /90	1045.4 /90	60.3 /90	20.1 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Pandur n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
R. Slater n 8	64	0.5 3/0	1.4 4/2	M. Targett
J. Egan n 8	84.4	0.5 4/0	0.8 3/2	L. Ayling
L. Coyle n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.9 5/2	M. Targett
J. Gelhardt n 8	64.6	1.7 6/3	0.9 3/2	—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Slater n 8	64	2.1 7/3
J. Egan n 8	84.4	1.6 6/5
L. Coyle n 8	90	1.4 5/2
J. Gelhardt n 8	64.6	2.4 6/4
C. Hughes n 8	77.6	1.2 6/2
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie	39	793090 min	170.5 /90	70.2 /90	621.8 /90	401.2 /90	401.2 /90	190.6 /90
D. Akintola	15	33488 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	81.5 /90	30.6 /90	71.3 /90	20.4 /90
L. Koumas	14	48673 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	50.7 /90	91.2 /90
Joel Tshisanga Ndala	13	57739 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	30.4 /90	131.6 /90
Y. Hirakawa	9	42377 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	51.2 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	64	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Egan n 8	84.4	0.9 4/1	0.4 3/0
L. Coyle n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
J. Gelhardt n 8	64.6	1.2 4/2	0.5 3/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
I. Pandur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	64	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Egan n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Coyle n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Gelhardt n 8	64.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Brynn	48	904326 min	1092.3 /90	501 /90	10 /90

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	2.1 4/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Ayling	44	853738 min	872.1 /90	401 /90	330.8 /90	2475.9 /90	230.6 /90	80.2 /90
M. Targett	44	813549 min	551.4 /90	491.2 /90	80.2 /90	1162.9 /90	240.6 /90	50.1 /90
C. Brittain	43	883800 min	671.6 /90	471.1 /90	80.2 /90	1914.5 /90	350.8 /90	60.1 /90
D. Fry	26	741918 min	221 /90	200.9 /90	351.6 /90	1346.3 /90	120.6 /90	10 /90
A. Malanda	23	882014 min	180.8 /90	231 /90	170.8 /90	974.3 /90	221 /90	40.2 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Conway n 8	81.1	1 4/3	2.1 7/3	—
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0	—
L. Ayling n 8	84.8	0.5 4/0	2.3 7/4	J. Egan
M. Targett n 8	75	0.3 2/0	0.6 3/1	L. Coyle
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.6 3/2	—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	1 5/2
L. Ayling n 8	84.8	2.3 8/5
M. Targett n 8	75	1.3 5/3
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	1.6 7/5
A. Morris n 8	90.8	3.2 8/6
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Conway	49	783817 min	130.3 /90	50.1 /90	511.2 /90	330.8 /90	651.5 /90	421 /90
D. Strelec	32	601918 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	391.8 /90	231.1 /90	200.9 /90	130.6 /90
D. Burgzorg	21	551156 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	181.4 /90	90.7 /90	251.9 /90	100.8 /90
K. Sène	21	31652 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90
S. Hansen	13	37484 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.9 /90	40.7 /90	61.1 /90	71.3 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	1.4 5/4	1 5/2
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ayling n 8	84.8	1.5 7/4	0.3 2/0
M. Targett n 8	75	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 12 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 8	81.1	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
S. Brynn n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ayling n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Targett n 8	75	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
C. Brittain n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hull City		Middlesbrough
32%	Possession	68%
0.71	Expected goals (xG)	0.78
9	Shots	13
2	Shots on target	0
6	Shots off target	8
1	Blocked shots	5
6	Shots inside the box	7
1	Corners	3
1	Offsides	3
6	Fouls	2
1	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	1
293	Passes	608
72%	Pass accuracy	87%

Hull City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
I. Pandur	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Ajayi	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
J. Egan	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
C. Hughes	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
M. Crooks	90	0	1	0	0	5	0	7.2
Oliver McBurnie	90	1	2	1	0	0	Y	7.7
L. Coyle	89	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.5
R. Slater	89	0	0	0	2	3	0	6.7
R. Giles	76	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.2
M. Belloumi	76	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.7
L. Millar	63	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
J. Gelhardt sub	27	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
C. Drameh sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Y. Hirakawa sub	14	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
P. McNair sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
J. Lundstram sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Middlesbrough Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Rating
S. Brynn	90	0	0	0	6
L. Ayling	90	1	1	3	7.3
D. Fry	90	1	0	1	6.6
A. Malanda	90	0	1	0	6.6
C. Brittain	90	0	0	1	6.9
A. Morris	90	1	0	3	7.3
M. Whittaker	90	2	1	0	5.3
A. Browne	89	1	1	0	6.6
M. Targett	89	0	2	0	6.2
R. McGree	76	0	3	2	7.3
D. Strelec	70	2	1	0	6
H. Hackney sub	20	0	2	0	6.7
S. Hansen sub	14	0	0	0	6.5
J. Sarmiento sub	8	0	0	0	6.7
C. Ibeh sub	8	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hull CityDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

MiddlesbroughWWDDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hull City 2 · 1 draw · Middlesbrough 3 · 3 goals/game

2025-12-29 Middlesbrough 0–1 Hull City
2025-12-05 Hull City 1–4 Middlesbrough
2025-01-01 Hull City 0–1 Middlesbrough
2024-11-30 Middlesbrough 3–1 Hull City
2024-04-10 Hull City 2–2 Middlesbrough
2023-12-13 Middlesbrough 1–2 Hull City

League standing · 2025/26

Hull City#6 pos73 pts46 pl+4 GD

Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD

Goals per game

Hull City scored1.52

Middlesbrough scored1.57

Hull City conceded1.43

Middlesbrough conceded1.02

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hull City v Middlesbrough?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Middlesbrough was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Middlesbrough?: In their last 6 meetings, Hull City won 2, Middlesbrough won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hull City and Middlesbrough?: Recent form — Hull City 2W 2D 1L; Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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