IpswichQPR

Ipswich v QPR result

Full-time · Ipswich 3–0 QPR

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 3–0 QPR — Ipswich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ipswich beat QPR 3–0 in the Championship on Saturday 2 May. Ipswich are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. QPR are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ipswich led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ipswich: George Hirst (3’), Jaden Philogene-Bidace (9’, assisted by George Hirst) and Kasey McAteer (85’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with George Hirst’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ipswich 2.53, QPR 0.84, from 14 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Ward showed three yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ipswich: Darnell Furlong (46’) and Leif Davis (76’); QPR: Paul Smyth (79’).

What it changes

Ipswich stay second after this result (46 league matches played).

QPR move down from 14th to 15th (46 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Hirst (Ipswich) 7.8, Jaden Philogene-Bidace (Ipswich) 6.4 and Kasey McAteer (Ipswich) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ipswich are unbeaten in the last three meetings with QPR.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ipswich 3–0 QPR · Championship
  • Referee: G. Ward
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ipswich 2 · draws 2 · QPR 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ipswich 1W 3D 1L · QPR 0W 2D 3L

Ipswich 3–0 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 3.38
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.92 yellows
Referee · G. Ward
21.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIpswich for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: G. Ward — 2.92 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Christian Walton36893216 min942.6 /90371 /9010 /90
Alex Palmer12851014 min232 /90121.1 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Christian Walton n 890
3.17/4
Alex Palmer n 881.8
2.67/3

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea46894095 min260.6 /90430.9 /90471 /902355.2 /90190.4 /9000 /90
Darnell Furlong39883435 min401 /90501.3 /90100.3 /901694.4 /90491.3 /90100.3 /90
Leif Davis36853077 min290.8 /90310.9 /9050.1 /901524.4 /90210.6 /9040.1 /90
Cédric Kipré31872711 min321.1 /90321.1 /90150.5 /901324.4 /90200.7 /90100.3 /90
Jacob Greaves24892127 min331.4 /90281.2 /90160.7 /901747.4 /90241 /9050.2 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.54/0
1.16/3
R. Norrington-Davies
Azor Matusiwa n 877.6
0.94/2
1.45/3
—
Jack Clarke n 848.1
1.64/3
1.95/2
—
Darnell Furlong n 886
1.47/3
0.74/1
R. Norrington-Davies
George Hirst n 845.1
0.72/1
1.56/0
—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.95/2
Azor Matusiwa n 877.6
1.67/2
Jack Clarke n 848.1
1.96/2
Darnell Furlong n 886
0.93/2
George Hirst n 845.1
0.52/0
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
George Hirst37562073 min100.4 /9020.1 /90502.2 /90271.2 /90200.9 /90100.4 /90
Ivan Azón34521760 min50.3 /9040.2 /90502.6 /90241.2 /90150.8 /9080.4 /90
Chuba Akpom2145935 min20.2 /9000 /90141.3 /9060.6 /90131.3 /9060.6 /90
S. Szmodics1351665 min00 /9000 /90111.5 /9070.9 /9050.7 /9060.8 /90
Azor Matusiwa45863861 min10 /9030.1 /9050.1 /9020 /90340.8 /90170.4 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
Azor Matusiwa n 877.6
00/0
00/0
Jack Clarke n 848.1
2.15/2
0.93/1
Darnell Furlong n 886
0.95/2
0.43/0
George Hirst n 845.1
2.25/2
1.23/1
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Azor Matusiwa n 877.6
00/0
0.32/0
Jack Clarke n 848.1
0.73/0
00/0
Darnell Furlong n 886
0.11/0
0.11/0
George Hirst n 845.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walsh22901980 min642.9 /90391.8 /9000 /90
P. Nardi18891601 min442.5 /90281.6 /9010.1 /90
B. Hamer780559 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 890
46/4
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.14/4

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne39893482 min491.3 /90330.9 /90270.7 /902586.7 /90340.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Mbengue39783029 min651.9 /90310.9 /90210.6 /901775.3 /90501.5 /90130.4 /90
R. Norrington-Davies37782887 min682.1 /90250.8 /90120.4 /901785.5 /90351.1 /9090.3 /90
S. Cook27792125 min160.7 /90241 /90200.8 /901185 /9090.4 /9020.1 /90
R. Edwards16901440 min191.2 /90231.4 /90110.7 /90543.4 /90100.6 /9020.1 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kone n 876.9
2.67/6
0.74/1
—
J. Dunne n 890
16/1
0.54/0
—
A. Mbengue n 875.1
1.65/4
0.63/1
—
N. Madsen n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
—
R. Norrington-Davies n 889.1
1.47/3
0.95/2
Darnell Furlong
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kone n 876.9
0.73/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
A. Mbengue n 875.1
1.85/4
N. Madsen n 859
1.95/3
R. Norrington-Davies n 889.1
1.95/5
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kone43773331 min100.3 /9020.1 /90611.6 /90340.9 /90411.1 /90230.6 /90
R. Burrell31662046 min100.4 /9030.1 /90341.5 /90221 /90221 /90150.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli21531107 min60.5 /9000 /90211.7 /90100.8 /9040.3 /9050.4 /90
D. Bennie1348618 min10.1 /9010.1 /90101.5 /9071 /90101.5 /9020.3 /90
M. Frey739273 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kone n 876.9
1.35/2
1.24/2
J. Dunne n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Mbengue n 875.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
N. Madsen n 859
1.14/2
14/1
R. Norrington-Davies n 889.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 28 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kone n 876.9
0.42/1
00/0
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 875.1
00/0
00/0
N. Madsen n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IpswichQPR
52%Possession48%
2.53Expected goals (xG)0.84
14Shots13
7Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box8
4Corners2
3Offsides1
8Fouls16
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves4
434Passes398
82%Pass accuracy79%

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Christian Walton9000000007
Darnell Furlong90001000Y7
Dara O'Shea9000100007.7
Jacob Greaves9000000207.9
Leif Davis90001112Y7.3
Azor Matusiwa9000001307.7
J. Taylor8600002207
Marcelino Núñez7100003006.9
George Hirst7011221007.9
Wes Burns6300001006.9
Jaden Philogene-Bidace6210330007.9
Jack Clarke sub2800101107.2
Kasey McAteer sub2710110207.7
Ivan Azón sub2000001106.6
Anis Mehmeti sub1900100006.9
Dan Neil sub900100006.3

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walsh9000000004.9
A. Mbengue9000000106.3
R. Edwards9000001005.3
R. Norrington-Davies9000000206.3
H. Vale9000202306.3
J. Varane9000000106.2
D. Bennie8500103006.2
Kieran Morgan8000001006.2
I. Chair6200101106.2
J. Clarke-Salter4500000006.2
N. Madsen4500221006.5
T. Smith sub4500000106.5
P. Smyth sub45002211Y7.2
K. Saito sub2800000006.5
I. Alemayehu sub1000000006.3
L. Scarlett sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IpswichLDWDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
QPRDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ipswich 2 · 2 draws · QPR 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-01 QPR 1–4 Ipswich
  • 2023-12-29 Ipswich 0–0 QPR
  • 2023-08-19 QPR 0–1 Ipswich
  • 2018-12-26 QPR 3–0 Ipswich
  • 2018-10-20 Ipswich 0–2 QPR
  • 2017-12-26 Ipswich 0–0 QPR
League standing · 2025/26
Ipswich#2 pos84 pts46 pl+33 GD
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Ipswich scored1.74
QPR scored1.33
Ipswich conceded1.02
QPR conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v QPR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v QPR was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and QPR?
In their last 6 meetings, Ipswich won 2, QPR won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and QPR?
Recent form — Ipswich 1W 3D 1L; QPR 0W 2D 3L.

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