MiddlesbroughSheffield Wednesday

Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday result

Full-time · Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday — Middlesbrough won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough beat Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 at Riverside Stadium in the Championship on Wednesday 22 April. Sheffield Wednesday are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Middlesbrough led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: Morgan Whittaker (11’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Morgan Whittaker’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Middlesbrough 1.82, Sheffield Wednesday 0.51, from 18 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Webb showed four yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Middlesbrough: Morgan Whittaker (30’) and Adilson Malanda (52’); Sheffield Wednesday: Jarvis Thornton (51’) and Max Lowe (70’).

What it changes

Middlesbrough stay fifth after this result (44 league matches played).

Sheffield Wednesday stay 24th after this result (44 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 5.9, Morgan Whittaker (Middlesbrough) 5.3 and T. Adaramola (Sheffield Wednesday) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Sheffield Wednesday next travel to Oldham on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Sheffield Wednesday: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday · Championship
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium · Middlesbrough
  • Referee: D. Webb
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Middlesbrough 3 · draws 2 · Sheffield Wednesday 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 0W 3D 2L · Sheffield Wednesday 0W 3D 2L

Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
10.38 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 2.13
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · D. Webb
21.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineSheffield Wednesday for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
10.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
22.13 for · 8.25 against n 8
19.5standard
8.63 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: D. Webb — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Brynn44903966 min1002.3 /90471.1 /9010 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890.8
1.63/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ayling40853381 min782.1 /90381 /90330.9 /902155.7 /90210.6 /9080.2 /90
M. Targett40813243 min511.4 /90451.2 /9070.2 /901113.1 /90240.7 /9050.1 /90
C. Brittain39883440 min621.6 /90451.2 /9060.2 /901784.7 /90350.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Jones23861976 min351.6 /90221 /90200.9 /90853.9 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
D. Fry22741622 min201.1 /90150.8 /90301.7 /901166.4 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Conway n 882.1
1.15/3
1.85/3
C. McNeill
S. Brynn n 890.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.68/3
1.46/4
—
L. Ayling n 882.4
0.43/0
0.84/1
L. Palmer
M. Targett n 881.6
0.63/1
0.84/2
L. Palmer
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 882.1
0.53/1
H. Hackney n 886.8
1.96/5
L. Ayling n 882.4
1.87/3
M. Targett n 881.6
0.84/2
C. Brittain n 889.9
1.88/4
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Conway45783532 min100.3 /9050.1 /90441.1 /90280.7 /90611.6 /90340.9 /90
D. Strelec28571600 min60.3 /9000 /90331.9 /90191.1 /90160.9 /90120.7 /90
D. Burgzorg21551156 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.4 /9090.7 /90251.9 /90100.8 /90
K. Sène2131652 min20.3 /9000 /9081.1 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9040.6 /90
S. Hansen1235420 min00 /9000 /9091.9 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9071.5 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 882.1
0.85/1
0.43/0
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
2.18/6
0.84/1
L. Ayling n 882.4
1.47/3
0.32/0
M. Targett n 881.6
0.84/2
0.42/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 882.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
H. Hackney n 886.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Ayling n 882.4
00/0
00/0
M. Targett n 881.6
0.31/1
00/0
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Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday Goalkeeper

Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles18891597 min794.5 /90331.9 /9000 /90
Ethan Horvath15901350 min563.7 /90291.9 /9000 /90
M. Mahoney790630 min294.1 /90131.9 /9000 /90
S. Dieng390270 min93 /9072.3 /9000 /90
Logan Stretch13030 min39 /9013 /9000 /90
Sheffield Wednesday — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 890.9
3.88/5
Ethan Horvath n 890
3.98/6

Sheffield Wednesday Defensive

Sheffield Wednesday — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Palmer41853475 min531.4 /90330.9 /90170.4 /901203.1 /90371 /9040.1 /90
D. Iorfa32802544 min562 /90271 /90180.6 /902007.1 /90260.9 /9060.2 /90
G. Otegbayo29852478 min371.3 /90271 /90220.8 /901415.1 /90371.3 /9050.2 /90
M. Lowe25852130 min411.7 /90401.7 /90210.9 /90913.8 /90170.7 /9020.1 /90
L. Cooper1369898 min101 /90202 /90161.6 /90676.7 /9090.9 /9030.3 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Palmer n 888.9
0.96/1
0.94/3
M. Targett
S. Ingelsson n 886.5
1.86/5
0.95/2
—
J. Lowe n 884.1
1.97/4
0.95/2
—
D. Iorfa n 874
0.83/2
0.94/1
—
C. McNeill n 855.4
1.44/2
0.63/0
T. Conway
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Sheffield Wednesday — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Palmer n 888.9
1.15/2
S. Ingelsson n 886.5
1.86/4
J. Lowe n 884.1
0.85/1
D. Iorfa n 874
26/3
C. McNeill n 855.4
1.85/3
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Sheffield Wednesday Attacking

Sheffield Wednesday — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Lowe41763103 min40.1 /9030.1 /90310.9 /90140.4 /90220.6 /90270.8 /90
C. McNeill31621924 min40.2 /9010 /90261.2 /90120.6 /90140.7 /90200.9 /90
B. Cadamarteri29752172 min20.1 /9000 /90341.4 /90140.6 /90150.6 /90220.9 /90
J. Yates15821226 min40.3 /9000 /90161.2 /9060.4 /9060.4 /9060.4 /90
I. Ugbo1346597 min00 /9000 /9060.9 /9040.6 /9010.2 /9050.8 /90
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Sheffield Wednesday — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Palmer n 888.9
0.32/0
00/0
S. Ingelsson n 886.5
0.54/0
00/0
J. Lowe n 884.1
0.95/2
0.53/1
D. Iorfa n 874
0.32/0
00/0
C. McNeill n 855.4
1.45/1
0.63/0
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Sheffield Wednesday — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Wednesday before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Palmer n 888.9
00/0
00/0
S. Ingelsson n 886.5
00/0
00/0
J. Lowe n 884.1
0.11/0
0.43/0
D. Iorfa n 874
00/0
00/0
C. McNeill n 855.4
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MiddlesbroughSheffield Wednesday
61%Possession39%
1.82Expected goals (xG)0.51
18Shots8
4Shots on target1
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots2
15Shots inside the box4
9Corners1
10Fouls19
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
578Passes364
86%Pass accuracy79%

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9000000007.2
C. Brittain9000003208.5
D. Fry9000200007.7
L. Ayling9000110208.3
A. Malanda90000012Y6.9
A. Morris9000102308
A. Browne9000201006.9
M. Targett8100103007.3
T. Conway7800001206.9
D. Strelec7800000006.2
M. Whittaker60103211Y7.2
J. Sarmiento sub3000110106.6
S. Silvera sub1200100006.2
K. Sène sub1200000006.5
A. Bangura sub900000006.7

Sheffield Wednesday Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Mahoney9000000006.9
L. Palmer9000001106.6
G. Otegbayo9000100407
M. Lowe90000011Y6.2
S. Fusire9000000306.6
Jaden Heskey9000000206.7
T. Adaramola9000002207.7
J. Yates8300000306.6
Jarvis Thornton68001011Y6.6
M. Nakamba6200000007
C. McNeill6200201106.6
N. Chalobah sub2800100106.5
J. Lowe sub2800000006.5
W. Grainger sub2200110006.9
O. Kobacki sub1500000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughDLDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Sheffield WednesdayLLDDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Middlesbrough 3 · 2 draws · Sheffield Wednesday 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-22 Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-04-21 Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-12-26 Middlesbrough 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2024-04-01 Middlesbrough 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday
  • 2023-09-19 Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2021-04-24 Middlesbrough 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday
League standing · 2025/26
Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD
Sheffield Wednesday#24 pos0 pts46 pl-60 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored1.57
Sheffield Wednesday scored0.63
Middlesbrough conceded1.02
Sheffield Wednesday conceded1.93

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday?
In their last 6 meetings, Middlesbrough won 3, Sheffield Wednesday won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 0W 3D 2L; Sheffield Wednesday 0W 3D 2L.

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