Millwall v Burnley prediction

Championship · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · The Den

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Millwall · Burnley · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v Burnley, Championship on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Millwall host Burnley in the Championship on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Burnley have conceded 31 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Burnley are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Millwall have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Millwall have scored 23 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Millwall have conceded 27 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Burnley have one win, three draws and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 2.33. Burnley have scored 22 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

Millwall (16th) and Burnley (22nd) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Millwall the stronger side, 74 rating points above Burnley (Millwall 1426, Burnley 1352, after at least 107 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 January 2026, finished Burnley 5–1 Millwall.

Team news

Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, J. Cooper, C. Taylor, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, D. Mazou-Sacko, J. Metcalfe, K. Lisbie, L. Cundle, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Jenson Metcalfe (3.8 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1535 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jenson Metcalfe averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1312 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, Igor, L. Pires, K. Walker, H. Ekdal, J. Laurent, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, M. Edwards, M. Alleyne, J. Vardy — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.7 per match over 13 appearances, five assists) and Largie Ramazani (4.6 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 866 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Largie Ramazani averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 909 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · The Den
Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 1 · draws 1 · Burnley 4 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Millwall 1W 1D 3L · Burnley 0W 2D 3L

Millwall v Burnley (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.13

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Millwall for / against	Line	Burnley for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Crocombe	11	86945 min	282.7 /90	151.4 /90
F. Marschall	5	81405 min	112.4 /90	30.7 /90
L. Jensen	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90

Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 8	84.4	3.2 5/5
F. Marschall n 5	81	2.4 2/2

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Cooper	17	901522 min	150.9 /90	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	995.9 /90	191.1 /90	20.1 /90
C. Taylor	16	901440 min	171.1 /90	402.5 /90	120.8 /90	1016.3 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90
Zak Norton Sturge	16	801280 min	221.5 /90	191.3 /90	90.6 /90	694.9 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
J. Osei-Tutu	10	71707 min	91.1 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	344.3 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
E. Baggott	6	53317 min	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	185.1 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cooper n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 4/2	—
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1.4 6/4	1.4 5/5	—
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	1.4 6/2	1.9 7/5	—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 4/2
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.5 7/4
C. Taylor n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1 4/2
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	3.5 8/7
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Dykes	14	791106 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	242 /90	80.7 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
T. Arconte	9	69619 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90
J. Coburn	6	63377 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90
Z. Lovelace	6	35212 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Y. Issoufou	4	31123 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 5/3	0.5 4/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.4 7/3	0.4 2/1
C. Taylor n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Coudert	8	90720 min	273.4 /90	91.1 /90	00 /90
M. Weiß	7	90630 min	152.1 /90	162.3 /90	00 /90

Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 8	90	3.4 7/6
M. Weiß n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Walker	13	871125 min	241.9 /90	151.2 /90	90.7 /90	504 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90
Igor	10	88878 min	111.1 /90	101 /90	80.8 /90	293 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90
Lucas Pires	10	75750 min	293.5 /90	182.2 /90	10.1 /90	556.6 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90
H. Ekdal	8	76607 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	71 /90	324.7 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
Connor Roberts	8	71566 min	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	172.7 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Laurent n 8	90	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/1	—
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0	—
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1	0.7 3/2	—
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	1.6 5/4	1.3 5/2	—
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	0.5 2/0	1.1 4/0	—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	2 7/6
K. Walker n 8	84.4	2.7 8/5
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	1.2 6/2
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	1.6 7/4
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	1.3 3/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni	9	55497 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	162.9 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	71.3 /90
A. Hountondji	7	59412 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	92 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
J. Vardy	7	50351 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	71.8 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Broja	4	38150 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90
Z. Flemming	2	84168 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	126.4 /90	42.1 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	2.3 6/4	1 4/2
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	3.4 5/4	1.3 4/1
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Laurent n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Walker n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Max Alleyne n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Ramazani n 8	77.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Marcus Edwards n 8	42.5	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MillwallDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

BurnleyLLDDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Millwall 1 · 1 draw · Burnley 4 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-01-10 Burnley 5–1 Millwall
2025-05-03 Burnley 3–1 Millwall
2024-11-03 Millwall 1–0 Burnley
2023-02-21 Millwall 1–1 Burnley
2022-08-30 Burnley 2–0 Millwall
2020-09-23 Millwall 0–2 Burnley

League standing · 2026/27

Millwall#16 pos18 pts15 pl-4 GD

Burnley#22 pos10 pts15 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Millwall scored1.53

Burnley scored1.47

Millwall conceded1.8

Burnley conceded2.07

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Burnley?: In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 1, Burnley won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Burnley?: Recent form — Millwall 1W 1D 3L; Burnley 0W 2D 3L.

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