Norwich v Burnley result

Full-time · Norwich 4–1 Burnley

Championship · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:00 BST · Carrow Road

Updated 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Norwich · Burnley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Norwich 4–1 Burnley — Norwich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Norwich beat Burnley 4–1 at Carrow Road in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Burnley are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Norwich led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Norwich: Mohamed Touré (2’, assisted by J. Córdoba; 21’) and Andre Brooks (5’, assisted by Anthony Musaba; 67’, assisted by Jack Stacey); Burnley: J. Laurent (27’, assisted by Jacob Bruun Larsen). J. Laurent (77’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mohamed Touré’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Norwich 2.30, Burnley 1.38, from 20 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Elliot Bell, England showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Norwich: Ruairi McConville (16’), J. Córdoba (29’), Andre Brooks (63’) and Anis Ben Slimane (65’); Burnley: J. Laurent (28’), Zian Flemming (71’) and J. Laurent (77’).

What it changes

Norwich move up from 24th to 16th (shared) (three league matches played). Norwich have scored 27 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Norwich have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Burnley move down from 19th to 22nd (three league matches played). Burnley have scored 18 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Burnley have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

It is Norwich’s first win over Burnley since 10 April 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mohamed Touré (Norwich) 8.5, Andre Brooks (Norwich) 8.3 and Anel Ahmedhodžić (Burnley) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Burnley are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Norwich.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Norwich or Burnley (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Norwich next travel to Bristol City on 7 November 2026.

Burnley next travel to Cardiff on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norwich: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Burnley: Cardiff v Burnley, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Norwich 4–1 Burnley · Championship
Venue: Carrow Road · Norwich
Referee: Elliot Bell, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 1 · draws 1 · Burnley 4 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Norwich 2W 0D 3L · Burnley 0W 4D 1L

Norwich 4–1 Burnley (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.67

Corners

against 3.38 / 5.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

5.5 / 4.33

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 5.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.17 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.38 yellows

Referee · Elliot Bell, England

21.25 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Norwich for / against	Line	Burnley for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.67 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	15.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.33 for · 14.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.33 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.5 for · 9.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Elliot Bell, England — 4.38 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.25 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Kovačević	3	93279 min	82.6 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90
D. Grimshaw	1	9090 min	22 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 8	91.1	3.2 6/6
D. Grimshaw n 7	83.6	1.5 3/1

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Darling	4	75299 min	30.9 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	133.9 /90	51.5 /90	10.3 /90
B. Chrisene	3	93279 min	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	10.3 /90	144.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
J. Córdoba	3	84253 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	41.4 /90	82.8 /90	62.1 /90	31.1 /90
J. Stacey	3	73219 min	41.6 /90	52.1 /90	10.4 /90	104.1 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90
K. Fisher	3	60179 min	73.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	147 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 8	83.1	2.2 6/5	1.9 7/4	—
H. Darling n 8	82.4	0.7 2/2	0.8 4/1	—
A. Brooks n 4	64.8	1 3/0	0.3 1/0	A. Ramsey
A. Ben Slimane n 8	62.6	1.3 4/3	0.7 3/1	—
O. Schwartau n 8	51.5	1.3 4/2	1.3 4/2	A. Ramsey
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	83.1	1.8 5/5
H. Darling n 8	82.4	0.8 4/2
A. Brooks n 4	64.8	2.8 3/3
A. Ben Slimane n 8	62.6	0.9 5/0
O. Schwartau n 8	51.5	1.7 6/2
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Schwartau	4	50198 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	62.7 /90	10.5 /90
M. Touré	3	79237 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	51.9 /90	31.1 /90	51.9 /90	10.4 /90
M. Kvistgaarden	2	3977 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
P. Diallo	2	2448 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.9 /90	11.9 /90	00 /90	11.9 /90
A. Crnac	1	2929 min	13.1 /90	00 /90	26.2 /90	13.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	83.1	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
H. Darling n 8	82.4	1 4/2	0.1 1/0
A. Brooks n 4	64.8	1.4 3/1	0.3 1/0
A. Ben Slimane n 8	62.6	1.3 5/2	0.7 3/1
O. Schwartau n 8	51.5	0.9 4/0	0.7 3/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Darling n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Brooks n 4	64.8	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
A. Ben Slimane n 8	62.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
O. Schwartau n 8	51.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Weiß	2	90180 min	42 /90	52.5 /90	00 /90

Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Weiß n 8	90	2.8 5/4

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Walker	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	73.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
Max Alleyne	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
B. Humphreys	2	77154 min	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	74.1 /90	42.3 /90	00 /90
O. Sonne	2	68135 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90
Connor Roberts	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Walker n 8	90	1 7/1	0.6 4/1	—
Marcus Edwards n 8	59	0.8 3/1	1.7 5/3	—
M. Weiß n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Bruun Larsen n 8	53.1	0.2 1/0	0.6 2/1	—
A. Ramsey n 8	70.1	1.3 6/2	0.5 2/1	O. Schwartau
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Walker n 8	90	1.8 7/5
Marcus Edwards n 8	59	1 3/1
J. Bruun Larsen n 8	53.1	0.6 3/0
A. Ramsey n 8	70.1	2.4 7/5
B. Humphreys n 8	83	0.8 5/1
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Zeki Amdouni	2	3366 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.7 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90
Z. Flemming	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	99 /90	44 /90	11 /90	11 /90
A. Broja	1	5757 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90
Marcus Edwards	2	90180 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	10.5 /90
J. Bruun Larsen	2	86172 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	31.6 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marcus Edwards n 8	59	1 4/1	0.4 2/0
K. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Weiß n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 8	53.1	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0
A. Ramsey n 8	70.1	1.4 6/2	0.5 3/0
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 26 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Walker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Weiß n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marcus Edwards n 8	59	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 8	53.1	0 0/0	0.4 1/1
A. Ramsey n 8	70.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Norwich		Burnley
37%	Possession	63%
2.30	Expected goals (xG)	1.38
20	Shots	16
6	Shots on target	4
6	Shots off target	7
8	Blocked shots	5
12	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	5
3	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	5
4	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	2
323	Passes	558
81%	Pass accuracy	86%

Norwich Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
V. Kovačević	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Stacey	90	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7
Ruairi McConville	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.9
P. Mattsson	90	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	7.2
J. Córdoba	90	0	1	0	0	1	1	Y	7.2
B. Chrisene	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.5
K. McLean	80	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
A. Brooks	71	2	0	2	2	2	1	Y	9.5
M. Touré	71	2	0	3	2	0	1	0	8.5
O. Schwartau	62	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.9
A. Musaba	62	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
A. Ben Slimane sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
P. Diallo sub	28	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.6
M. Kvistgaarden sub	19	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
A. Crnac sub	19	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.6
Jacob Wright sub	10	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	7.5

Burnley Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Walker	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
D. Satpaev	90	0	0	2	1	3	0	0	6.3
Connor Roberts	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Max Alleyne	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
A. Ahmedhodžić	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.5
M. Weiß	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
H. Mejbri	82	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	6.3
Z. Flemming	78	0	0	3	0	0	0	Y	6.3
J. Laurent	77	1	0	3	2	0	0	RY	7.2
A. Ramsey	64	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
J. Bruun Larsen	63	0	1	0	0	5	0	0	6.2
Marcus Edwards sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Zeki Amdouni sub	26	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Hountondji sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
U. Raghouber sub	8	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NorwichLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BurnleyDDDLD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Norwich 1 · 1 draw · Burnley 4 · 2 goals/game

2025-04-11 Burnley 2–1 Norwich
2024-12-15 Norwich 1–2 Burnley
2023-02-04 Norwich 0–3 Burnley
2022-10-25 Burnley 1–0 Norwich
2022-04-10 Norwich 2–0 Burnley
2021-10-02 Burnley 0–0 Norwich

League standing · 2026/27

Norwich#12 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD

Burnley#22 pos10 pts14 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Norwich scored1.93

Burnley scored1.29

Norwich conceded1.71

Burnley conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Norwich v Burnley?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Burnley was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Burnley?: In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 1, Burnley won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Burnley?: Recent form — Norwich 2W 0D 3L; Burnley 0W 4D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 12 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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