This Matchweek

NorwichPortsmouth

Norwich v Portsmouth result

Full-time · Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth

Championship · · Carrow Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth — Portsmouth won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth won 1–0 at Carrow Road in the Championship on Saturday 17 October. Norwich have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Marko Milovanović (51’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marko Milovanović’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Norwich 0.29, Portsmouth 1.19, from 9 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Gavin Ward, England showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Norwich: Oscar Schwartau (66’), Mathias Kvistgaarden (90’) and D. Yongwa (90+3’); Portsmouth: Marko Milovanović (55’) and R. Kavuma McQueen (64’).

What it changes

Norwich move down from 19th to 21st (11 league matches played). Norwich have scored 27 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Norwich have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Portsmouth move up from 16th to 13th (10 league matches played). Portsmouth have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Portsmouth have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Stacey (Norwich) 8.6, Abu Kamara (Portsmouth) 5.5 and Pelle Mattsson (Norwich) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Norwich or Portsmouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Norwich next travel to Bristol City on 7 November 2026.

Portsmouth next host Stoke City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Norwich: Bristol City v Norwich, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Portsmouth: Portsmouth v Stoke City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth · Championship
  • Venue: Carrow Road · Norwich, Norfolk
  • Referee: Gavin Ward, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Norwich 1 · draws 2 · Portsmouth 2 · 2.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 0W 0D 5L · Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L

Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 7.13
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Gavin Ward, England
19.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLinePortsmouth for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
12.5 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
16.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Gavin Ward, England — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 19.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Kovačević1091909 min252.5 /90202 /9010.1 /90
D. Grimshaw390270 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.66/4
D. Grimshaw n 884.4
1.74/2

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Córdoba1188973 min100.9 /9070.6 /9070.6 /90363.3 /90131.2 /9060.6 /90
Ruairi McConville1177849 min80.8 /90111.2 /9050.5 /90424.5 /9030.3 /9020.2 /90
B. Chrisene1085852 min242.5 /90101.1 /9040.4 /90505.3 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
J. Stacey1079787 min222.5 /90182.1 /9020.2 /90424.8 /9091 /9030.3 /90
K. Fisher670421 min132.8 /9081.7 /9010.2 /90306.4 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.87/7
1.16/2
—
A. Brooks n 873.8
1.14/1
0.94/2
A. Segecic
J. Córdoba n 890
0.95/2
0.64/1
Z. Swanson
Ruairi McConville n 880.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
Z. Swanson
A. Musaba n 846.8
0.52/0
1.23/2
—
See more players · Pro
Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.68/6
A. Brooks n 873.8
0.53/0
J. Córdoba n 890
1.36/2
Ruairi McConville n 880.5
15/2
A. Musaba n 846.8
1.45/1
See more players · Pro

Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Musaba1145498 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.8 /9061.1 /9081.4 /90122.2 /90
M. Touré960536 min61 /9010.2 /90132.2 /9081.3 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
M. Kvistgaarden948431 min20.4 /9010.2 /9051 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
P. Diallo729205 min10.4 /9000 /9041.8 /9031.3 /9031.3 /9083.5 /90
J. Makama534171 min10.5 /9000 /9042.1 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9031.6 /90
See more players · Pro
Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 889.4
0.42/1
0.31/1
A. Brooks n 873.8
26/4
1.24/3
J. Córdoba n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
Ruairi McConville n 880.5
0.75/0
0.32/0
A. Musaba n 846.8
2.27/2
1.45/1
See more players · Pro
Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 889.4
00/0
0.11/0
A. Brooks n 873.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
J. Córdoba n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Ruairi McConville n 880.5
0.11/0
00/0
A. Musaba n 846.8
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid692549 min162.6 /90101.6 /9000 /90
D. Bielica490360 min143.5 /9041 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 891.1
2.67/4
D. Bielica n 490
3.54/4

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Z. Swanson1067674 min131.7 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90293.9 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
T. Devlin976680 min182.4 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90476.2 /90101.3 /9020.3 /90
C. Shaughnessy787612 min60.9 /9040.6 /9000 /90324.7 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Benjamin Arthur675447 min61.2 /9040.8 /9040.8 /90255 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Meghoma577384 min71.6 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90102.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Segecic n 882
1.23/3
1.25/2
A. Brooks
Z. Swanson n 867.8
15/1
0.74/0
Ruairi McConville
C. Bishop n 850
1.35/1
0.93/1
—
E. Adams n 840.8
2.26/2
3.67/3
—
A. Kamara n 886.8
1.26/2
1.76/3
—
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Segecic n 882
0.85/1
Z. Swanson n 867.8
1.77/2
C. Bishop n 850
0.93/1
E. Adams n 840.8
4.78/6
A. Kamara n 886.8
0.64/1
See more players · Pro

Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop1057572 min10.2 /9000 /9060.9 /9050.8 /9081.3 /9000 /90
M. Milovanović744306 min20.6 /9000 /90123.5 /9051.5 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Blair12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /90
A. Segecic1085845 min30.3 /9010.1 /90202.1 /9080.9 /90171.8 /90111.2 /90
E. Adams1051508 min20.4 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9030.5 /9081.4 /9040.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 882
1.98/5
0.74/1
Z. Swanson n 867.8
0.74/0
0.32/0
C. Bishop n 850
1.34/1
1.13/1
E. Adams n 840.8
1.96/1
0.83/0
A. Kamara n 886.8
1.24/4
0.42/1
See more players · Pro
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 882
0.32/0
0.11/0
Z. Swanson n 867.8
0.32/0
00/0
C. Bishop n 850
0.21/0
00/0
E. Adams n 840.8
0.62/0
00/0
A. Kamara n 886.8
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NorwichPortsmouth
50%Possession50%
0.29Expected goals (xG)1.19
9Shots9
2Shots on target2
6Shots off target2
1Blocked shots5
3Shots inside the box4
1Corners1
4Offsides5
13Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
407Passes412
72%Pass accuracy75%

Norwich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Grimshaw9000000006.3
J. Stacey9000000807
Ruairi McConville9000211106.6
P. Mattsson9000102206.6
J. Makama9000100106.7
J. Córdoba9000000207.2
Jacob Wright9000001005.9
O. Schwartau73000000Y6.3
A. Brooks5700001106.2
A. Ben Slimane5700210206.3
B. Chrisene4500000006.9
D. Yongwa sub45000003Y6.2
L. Mahovo sub3300101006.6
P. Maghoma sub3300002006.6
M. Kvistgaarden sub17001000Y6.3

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Swanson9000100307.5
A. Segecic9000110006.2
R. Poole9000000107.6
J. Meghoma9000000106.6
A. Kamara9000102107.3
M. Dia9000000207.2
N. Schmid9000000007
M. Pack8000000207.2
M. Milovanović71101100Y6.9
R. Kavuma McQueen70000001Y6.5
I. Mohamed6000001306.9
E. Adams sub3000000407.2
O. Bailey sub2000000006.2
T. Shade sub1900000006.5
T. Devlin sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Portsmouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
PortsmouthWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Norwich 1 · 2 draws · Portsmouth 2 · 2.8 goals/game
  • 2026-04-03 Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-08-16 Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich
  • 2025-04-18 Norwich 3–5 Portsmouth
  • 2024-12-10 Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich
  • 2019-01-05 Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth
League standing · 2026/27
Norwich#12 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Portsmouth#10 pos22 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Norwich scored1.93
Portsmouth scored1.36
Norwich conceded1.71
Portsmouth conceded1.14

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Norwich v Portsmouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Portsmouth was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Portsmouth?
In their last 5 meetings, Norwich won 1, Portsmouth won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Portsmouth?
Recent form — Norwich 0W 0D 5L; Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+