PortsmouthDerby

Portsmouth v Derby result

Full-time · Portsmouth 0–2 Derby

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Derby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 0–2 Derby — Derby won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.05 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Derby won 2–0 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September. Derby are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Portsmouth, every meeting checked.

The goals

Derby led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Derby: Samuel Szmodics (16’, assisted by Bobby Clark) and Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (62’, assisted by Oscar Fraulo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Samuel Szmodics’s goal on 16 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portsmouth 0.84, Derby 0.55, from 21 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Allison showed three yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portsmouth: Terry Devlin (69’); Derby: Sondre Langås (51’) and Charles Taylor (83’).

What it changes

Portsmouth move down from 14th to 19th (four league matches played).

Derby move up from 20th to 14th (four league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (Derby) 5.5, Samuel Szmodics (Derby) 4.8 and Oscar Fraulo (Derby) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Bolton on 21 November 2026.

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 0–2 Derby · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: S. Allison
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portsmouth 0 · draws 4 · Derby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 1W 1D 3L · Derby 0W 1D 4L

Portsmouth 0–2 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.25
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 6.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 3.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · S. Allison
23.7 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 13 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.5 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: S. Allison — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid492369 min122.9 /9092.2 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 891.1
3.37/5

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Shaughnessy492369 min20.5 /9010.2 /9000 /90215.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
T. Devlin492369 min92.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90256.1 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Z. Swanson478312 min51.4 /9061.7 /9030.9 /90154.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Benjamin Arthur359177 min31.5 /9021 /9021 /90126.1 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Poole286171 min00 /9000 /9000 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Devlin n 882
1.16/2
1.86/4
C. Taylor
A. Segecic n 888.5
13/3
2.27/5
B. Clark
C. Shaughnessy n 876.6
0.32/0
0.73/1
—
N. Schmid n 891.1
00/0
0.52/2
—
C. Bishop n 883.5
1.87/4
1.35/3
—
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Devlin n 882
2.68/7
C. Shaughnessy n 876.6
14/2
A. Segecic n 888.5
0.96/1
C. Bishop n 883.5
0.53/1
Z. Swanson n 873.1
2.28/5
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop481325 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9030.8 /9051.4 /9000 /90
M. Milovanović32884 min11.1 /9000 /9055.4 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Blair12727 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /9013.3 /90
A. Segecic492369 min20.5 /9000 /90112.7 /9051.2 /9061.5 /9071.7 /90
Rocco Robert Shein473292 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
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Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 888.5
2.58/6
1.35/3
C. Shaughnessy n 876.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 882
0.42/1
0.11/0
N. Schmid n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Bishop n 883.5
0.73/1
0.52/1
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 888.5
0.95/1
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 882
0.11/0
00/0
C. Shaughnessy n 876.6
0.11/0
00/0
N. Schmid n 891.1
00/0
00/0
C. Bishop n 883.5
0.11/0
00/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström491365 min174.2 /9092.2 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
4.88/5

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Langås491365 min61.5 /9041 /9020.5 /90174.2 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
C. Taylor483333 min51.4 /9051.4 /9051.4 /90143.8 /9010.3 /9000 /90
D. Sanderson480320 min30.8 /9010.3 /9041.1 /90226.2 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
M. Johnston445180 min31.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Ward375224 min10.4 /9041.6 /9000 /9083.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Clark n 882.3
2.18/5
15/2
A. Segecic
S. Langås n 881.8
1.57/4
0.63/1
—
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Travis n 887.1
1.46/3
2.16/6
—
C. Taylor n 483.3
0.31/0
0.83/0
T. Devlin
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Langås n 881.8
1.76/5
B. Clark n 882.3
1.45/3
L. Travis n 887.1
37/6
C. Taylor n 483.3
1.43/1
D. Sanderson n 879
13/3
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Morris391273 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9031 /9031 /9010.3 /90
S. Szmodics360179 min21 /9000 /9052.5 /9042 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Salvesen33399 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.8 /9021.8 /90
B. Clark491365 min10.2 /9010.2 /9061.5 /9020.5 /9082 /90102.5 /90
L. Travis489355 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9020.5 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 882.3
1.14/2
0.42/1
S. Langås n 881.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
L. Travis n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
C. Taylor n 483.3
00/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 882.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
S. Langås n 881.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
L. Travis n 887.1
00/0
00/0
C. Taylor n 483.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthDerby
66%Possession34%
0.84Expected goals (xG)0.55
21Shots8
3Shots on target5
9Shots off target2
9Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box7
11Corners2
0Offsides3
12Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
500Passes265
85%Pass accuracy69%

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bielica9000000006
T. Devlin90000012Y6.9
Benjamin Arthur9000003106.6
A. Kamara9000202106.3
A. Segecic9000112206.9
M. Dia9000401106.3
Z. Swanson8500102106.5
M. Pack7200001106.7
E. Adams7200100207
M. Milovanović6600220006.3
R. Kavuma McQueen6500103306.6
Luke Brooke-Smith sub2500000006.6
C. Bishop sub2400000006.5
Rocco Robert Shein sub1800001006.6
I. Mohamed sub1800001106.7
O. Bailey sub1200000006.6

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Mowatt9000001206.9
O. Fraulo9001002006.9
C. Taylor90000006Y7.3
D. Sanderson9000000107.9
S. Langås90000004Y7
J. Widell Zetterström9000000007.2
S. Szmodics8610111007.2
R. Hedges8600001307.5
B. Clark8101101006.9
C. Forsyth8000000207.2
R. Brewster5900100006.2
L. Salvesen sub3110330007.2
M. Johnston sub1100000006.7
F. Bilbija sub1100000006.7
R. Nyambe sub1000000106.3
J. Ward sub900111006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
DerbyLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portsmouth 0 · 4 draws · Derby 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-16 Portsmouth 0–1 Derby
  • 2025-12-20 Derby 1–1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-04-12 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby
  • 2024-12-13 Derby 4–0 Portsmouth
  • 2024-04-02 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby
  • 2023-09-16 Derby 1–1 Portsmouth
League standing · 2026/27
Portsmouth#11 pos22 pts15 pl+2 GD
Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.33
Derby scored0.93
Portsmouth conceded1.2
Derby conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Derby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Derby was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.05 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, Portsmouth won 0, Derby won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Derby?
Recent form — Portsmouth 1W 1D 3L; Derby 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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