Portsmouth v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough — Portsmouth won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Portsmouth beat Middlesbrough 1–0 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 4 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Portsmouth 12 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.00 xG to 0.48 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Portsmouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Yang Min-Hyeok (23’, assisted by Jordan Williams).

Discipline

Anthony Backhouse, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portsmouth: Marlon Pack (74’) and Josef Bursik (83’); Middlesbrough: Callum Brittain (68’).

What it changes

Portsmouth move up from 17th to 11th (nine league matches played).

Middlesbrough move down from first to second (nine league matches played).

Middlesbrough are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Ogilvie (Portsmouth) 5.4, Yang Min-Hyeok (Portsmouth) 5.4 and Jordan Williams (Portsmouth) 4.8 led the match.

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Wolves on 20 October 2026.

Middlesbrough next travel to Bolton on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Wolves v Portsmouth, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Bolton v Middlesbrough, Friday 23 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Portsmouth 1 · draws 1 · Middlesbrough 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 1W 2D 2L · Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L

Portsmouth 1–0 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.88
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.5
Cards
against 3 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.92 yellows
Referee · Anthony Backhouse, England
1.92 home / 2 away
over 12 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 October 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England — 3.92 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.17 fouls over 12 matches (1.92 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Waddingham n 822.8
2.55/0
0.51/0
—
L. Le Roux n 853.9
2.15/3
0.82/1
—
J. Farrell n 882.3
1.66/3
2.17/4
—
T. Devlin n 841
1.64/1
35/3
—
A. Dozzell n 882.5
1.47/3
0.54/0
H. Hackney
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yang Min-Hyeok n 862
2.26/4
1.35/2
J. Murphy n 886.6
1.96/4
0.63/2
C. Bishop n 888.1
1.87/5
0.95/1
C. Chaplin n 858.5
1.74/3
0.21/0
M. Pack n 831.8
1.43/1
0.72/0
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pack n 831.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
J. Murphy n 886.6
00/0
0.53/1
J. Farrell n 882.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
A. Segecic n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Yang Min-Hyeok n 862
0.42/0
00/0
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Z. Swanson n 863.1
3.68/7
J. Farrell n 882.3
37/6
J. Williams n 861.1
2.96/6
M. Pack n 831.8
1.83/2
C. Ogilvie n 884.4
1.77/5
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Killip n 886.8
4.47/7
N. Schmid n 882
2.77/4
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sène n 849.3
1.85/1
0.51/1
—
H. Hackney n 880.5
1.56/4
0.86/0
A. Dozzell
A. Kanté n 851.6
1.56/1
1.13/1
—
T. Conway n 871.6
1.35/3
1.66/3
—
D. Burgzorg n 833.9
1.33/1
23/1
—
Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Finn Azaz n 863.3
26/4
0.73/1
D. Burgzorg n 833.9
25/1
13/0
S. Nypan n 855.8
1.84/3
0.62/1
K. Sène n 849.3
1.85/2
0.94/0
S. Hansen n 839.5
1.74/2
1.44/1
Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sène n 849.3
0.73/0
00/0
S. Hansen n 839.5
0.62/0
00/0
T. Conway n 871.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
H. Hackney n 880.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Targett n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 October 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Morris n 877.1
3.68/6
A. Kanté n 851.6
2.86/4
Neto Borges n 836.6
2.84/3
L. Ayling n 888.5
2.77/5
S. Silvera n 869.6
2.37/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthMiddlesbrough
38%Possession62%
0.48Expected goals (xG)1.00
8Shots12
1Shots on target1
2Shots off target5
5Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box7
2Corners8
0Offsides2
13Fouls6
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves0
345Passes557
79%Pass accuracy84%

Portsmouth player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bursik90000000Y7.2
J. Knight9000000107.2
R. Poole9000000107.2
C. Ogilvie9000001207.3
M. Pack90000001Y6.7
A. Dozzell9000000006.9
C. Bishop9000000006.5
Yang Min-Hyeok7810112107.7
J. Williams6401001307.3
C. Chaplin6400200006.3
J. Swift5800001106.5
M. Kosznovszky sub3200001206.7
A. Segecic sub2600000006.5
T. Devlin sub2600000206.9
H. Blair sub1200001006.7

Middlesbrough player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9000000006.2
D. Fry9000000106.3
A. Jones9000000306.6
C. Brittain90001102Y6.9
A. Morris9000302207.3
T. Conway9000002106.7
H. Hackney8400001207
M. Targett8400002106.9
K. Sène7000000206.7
L. Ayling6900000106.3
S. Hansen5900102006.3
D. Strelec sub3100001006.3
A. Browne sub2100000106.6
S. Nypan sub2000000006.3
M. Whittaker sub1200100006.5
D. Burgzorg sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWDLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Portsmouth 1 · 1 draw · Middlesbrough 0 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-01-18 Portsmouth 2–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-08-24 Middlesbrough 2–2 Portsmouth
League standing · 2025/26
Portsmouth#18 pos55 pts46 pl-15 GD
Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.07
Middlesbrough scored1.57
Portsmouth conceded1.39
Middlesbrough conceded1.02

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Middlesbrough?
In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 1, Middlesbrough won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — Portsmouth 1W 2D 2L; Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →