Preston v Southampton prediction

Championship · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Deepdale

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Preston · Southampton

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Preston v Southampton, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Away win

Best price: 1.70 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.9% of 126 landed (95% range 77.6–90.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Preston host Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Southampton to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Preston have conceded 30 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Both teams scored in 12 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Preston are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Southampton are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Preston’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Preston have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 2.13. Preston have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games).

Nine of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Southampton have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Southampton have conceded 14 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Preston (24th) and Southampton (seventh) are 19 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 581 rating points above Preston (Southampton 1794, Preston 1213, after at least 111 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Preston 1–3 Southampton.

Team news

Predicted Preston XI (3-4-1-2): D. Iversen, A. Hughes, J. Storey, O. Offiah, L. Leroy, J. Thompson, A. Vukčević, S. Mills, A. Moran, C. Lang, J. Kenny — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Léo Leroy (3.3 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Andrew Hughes (3.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Preston’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Preston (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Léo Leroy averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1310 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Andrew Hughes averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 907 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, K. Schlotterbeck, J. Bree, J. Stephens, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Keven Schlotterbeck (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Finn Azaz (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and six assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Keven Schlotterbeck averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1167 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Finn Azaz averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1474 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · Deepdale
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Preston 1 · draws 1 · Southampton 2 · 3.25 goals/game
Recent form: Preston 0W 1D 4L · Southampton 3W 2D 0L

Preston v Southampton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.5 / 4.38

Corners

against 6.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Preston for / against	Line	Southampton for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.25 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	1.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.75 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.13 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Preston

Preston Goalkeeper

Preston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Iversen	14	901260 min	433.1 /90	221.6 /90	00 /90
L. Nicholls	1	9090 min	66 /90	44 /90	00 /90

Preston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Iversen n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Preston Defensive

Preston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Storey	13	871125 min	121 /90	362.9 /90	70.6 /90	796.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
A. Vukčević	12	71847 min	171.8 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	333.5 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
O. Offiah	11	76837 min	262.8 /90	161.7 /90	20.2 /90	576.1 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
A. Hughes	9	89799 min	192.1 /90	151.7 /90	10.1 /90	586.5 /90	111.2 /90	30.3 /90
H. Clarke	9	78705 min	91.1 /90	131.7 /90	50.6 /90	405.1 /90	101.3 /90	40.5 /90
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Preston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.1 4/3	0.9 4/2	—
C. Lang n 8	61	1.5 4/3	0.9 4/1	—
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Devine n 8	70.4	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	1.3 3/1	1.6 4/1	—
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Preston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	1.8 7/3
C. Lang n 8	61	1.1 5/1
A. Devine n 8	70.4	2.4 6/6
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	0.6 2/0
Jordan Thompson n 8	90	1.1 7/2
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Preston Attacking

Preston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Lang	15	59885 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	191.9 /90	90.9 /90	80.8 /90	40.4 /90
J. Erabi	14	40555 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90	50.8 /90
D. Burgzorg	13	61789 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	40.5 /90	121.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Kenny	7	65453 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	183.6 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
M. Osmajić	1	9090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90
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Preston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lang n 8	61	1.5 4/2	0.4 2/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Devine n 8	70.4	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	1.6 4/1	0.3 1/0
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Preston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Preston before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Leroy n 8	79.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
C. Lang n 8	61	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
D. Iversen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Devine n 8	70.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
J. Erabi n 8	35.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	16	901446 min	563.5 /90	161 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	4.1 8/7

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
James Bree	16	881400 min	171.1 /90	161 /90	90.6 /90	442.8 /90	90.6 /90	20.1 /90
Ryan Manning	14	821146 min	70.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90	362.8 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	12	901077 min	141.2 /90	161.3 /90	151.3 /90	635.3 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Stephens	11	91996 min	70.6 /90	111 /90	151.4 /90	252.3 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
Nathan Wood	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
James Bree n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
Finn Azaz n 8	89.8	0.8 5/1	1.5 6/3	—
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.4 6/2	1.7 6/3	—
Ryan Manning n 8	75	0.9 5/1	1.3 4/3	—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
James Bree n 8	84.3	1.1 5/3
Finn Azaz n 8	89.8	0.9 6/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.5 3/3
Ryan Manning n 8	75	0.6 3/1
Leo Scienza n 8	70.4	1 5/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cyle Larin	12	64765 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	313.6 /90	151.8 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
L. Dobbin	8	67537 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	111.8 /90	40.7 /90	20.3 /90	61 /90
D. Mubama	6	42250 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
B. Brereton	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Cameron Archer	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	84.3	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
Finn Azaz n 8	89.8	1.3 6/4	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	2 7/4	1.1 5/2
Ryan Manning n 8	75	0.8 3/2	0.2 1/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Finn Azaz n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	75	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Preston v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PrestonLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

SouthamptonWDWWD

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Preston 1 · 1 draw · Southampton 2 · 3.25 goals/game

2026-05-02 Preston 1–3 Southampton
2025-11-01 Southampton 0–2 Preston
2024-04-16 Southampton 3–0 Preston
2023-10-25 Preston 2–2 Southampton

League standing · 2026/27

Preston#24 pos5 pts14 pl-18 GD

Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

Preston scored0.86

Southampton scored2.07

Preston conceded2.14

Southampton conceded1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Preston v Southampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Preston v Southampton is Away win (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Southampton?: In their last 4 meetings, Preston won 1, Southampton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Preston and Southampton?: Recent form — Preston 0W 1D 4L; Southampton 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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