QPRMiddlesbrough

QPR v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough

Championship · · Loftus Road Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough — Middlesbrough won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.81 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Middlesbrough won 1–0 at Loftus Road Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 5 September. Middlesbrough have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Middlesbrough led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: William Lankshear (20’, assisted by Callum Brittain).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Lankshear’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 1.03, Middlesbrough 2.53, from 16 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Andy Madley, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — QPR: Glen Kamara (90+6’); Middlesbrough: Adilson Malanda (58’) and Callum Brittain (76’).

What it changes

QPR move down from second to third (five league matches played). QPR have scored seven goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). QPR have conceded four goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough move up from sixth to second (five league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored eight goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harvey Vale (QPR) 5.8, Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 5.6 and Paul Smyth (QPR) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last five meetings with QPR.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough · Championship
  • Venue: Loftus Road Stadium · London
  • Referee: Andy Madley, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 1 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 3W 2D 0L · Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L

QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.86 / 5.71
Corners
against 4.29 / 3.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.71 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 0.86
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.71 for · 3.29 against n 7
Shots
17 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
17.14 for · 10.14 against n 7
Shots on target
6.71 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.14 for · 3.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 9.14 against n 7
21.5standard
10.43 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.29 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
0.86 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Andy Madley, England.

QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Charles490360 min82 /9030.8 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 490
22/1

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne490360 min41 /9061.5 /9000 /90194.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Mbengue472288 min10.3 /9082.5 /9000 /90134.1 /9020.6 /9000 /90
J. Clarke-Salter472288 min20.6 /9030.9 /9030.9 /9061.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
K. Adamson350150 min31.8 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9074.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
T. Lamptey348145 min63.7 /9010.6 /9000 /90138.1 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Dunne n 890
16/1
0.43/0
—
R. Edwards n 890
15/1
0.11/0
Sebastian Berhalter
P. Charles n 490
00/0
0.51/1
—
A. Mbengue n 869.8
1.15/2
14/2
—
J. Clarke-Salter n 875.4
0.43/0
0.31/1
—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Edwards n 890
1.35/3
J. Dunne n 890
0.84/2
J. Clarke-Salter n 875.4
1.25/2
A. Mbengue n 869.8
0.84/1
R. Burrell n 854.9
0.63/0
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Burrell471282 min20.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90103.2 /9020.6 /90
A. Lloyd343130 min00 /9000 /9064.2 /9021.4 /9000 /9032.1 /90
R. Kone260119 min00 /9000 /9043 /9043 /9043 /9000 /90
R. Edwards490360 min00 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
H. Vale390270 min00 /9010.3 /9093 /9041.3 /9082.7 /9010.3 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Dunne n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
R. Edwards n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
P. Charles n 490
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 869.8
0.21/0
00/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 875.4
0.11/0
00/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Dunne n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Edwards n 890
00/0
0.11/0
P. Charles n 490
00/0
00/0
A. Mbengue n 869.8
00/0
0.21/0
J. Clarke-Salter n 875.4
00/0
00/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
S. Brynn290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 490
1.53/0
S. Brynn n 890
2.45/3

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ayling690540 min71.2 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90264.3 /9030.5 /9000 /90
C. Brittain681483 min81.5 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90285.2 /9091.7 /9000 /90
A. Malanda590450 min71.4 /9061.2 /9051 /90285.6 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Neto Borges585423 min40.9 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90224.7 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
Maximilian Arfsten556278 min154.9 /9020.6 /9000 /903310.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ayling n 890
0.53/1
1.37/1
—
C. Brittain n 882.9
1.26/2
0.32/0
—
W. Lankshear n 675.2
2.25/4
0.63/0
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 674.8
1.45/2
0.83/1
R. Edwards
K. Joseph n 646.3
2.34/2
2.34/2
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Ayling n 890
1.58/3
C. Brittain n 882.9
1.56/3
W. Lankshear n 675.2
0.42/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 674.8
2.25/3
K. Joseph n 646.3
12/1
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear675451 min61.2 /9000 /90153 /9081.6 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
K. Joseph646278 min10.3 /9000 /9082.6 /9041.3 /9051.6 /9031 /90
T. Conway12929 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.1 /90
Sebastian Berhalter675449 min00 /9020.4 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90132.6 /9000 /90
M. Whittaker584421 min00 /9010.2 /90112.4 /9051.1 /90102.1 /9071.5 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ayling n 890
0.84/2
00/0
C. Brittain n 882.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
W. Lankshear n 675.2
35/4
1.64/3
Sebastian Berhalter n 674.8
1.24/1
0.42/0
K. Joseph n 646.3
2.63/2
1.33/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Ayling n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Brittain n 882.9
00/0
00/0
W. Lankshear n 675.2
1.24/2
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 674.8
00/0
0.42/0
K. Joseph n 646.3
0.31/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRMiddlesbrough
52%Possession48%
1.03Expected goals (xG)2.53
16Shots16
5Shots on target6
9Shots off target3
2Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box9
12Corners3
1Offsides1
3Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves5
455Passes440
84%Pass accuracy86%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Vale9000303307.2
J. Dunne9000000107.3
R. Edwards9000100006.7
A. Mbengue9000210106.9
P. Smyth9000212407.6
P. Charles9000001007.7
Dennis Cirkin6700111107.2
J. Clarke-Salter6700000106.7
K. Poku6700111006.5
R. Kone3900000006.2
I. Chair1400001006.6
K. Saito sub7600200106.3
R. Burrell sub5100111006.3
Glen Kamara sub23000020Y7
T. Lamptey sub2300100206.9
N. Madsen sub2300000006.7

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brittain90011021Y7.5
K. Joseph9000001005.9
A. Malanda90000003Y7.7
A. Morris9000101607.3
Neto Borges9000000007.5
R. Vítek9000000008.2
Sebastian Berhalter8400105307.7
A. Phillips7200000207.5
Maximilian Arfsten7100002007.5
W. Lankshear5510330006.9
R. McGree5500111307.2
T. Conway sub3500111006.9
M. Peart-Harris sub3500000006.9
A. Jones sub1900000006.9
L. Ayling sub1800110006.9
R. Pukštas sub1300000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 1 · 0 draws · Middlesbrough 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-08 QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-12-13 Middlesbrough 3–1 QPR
  • 2025-03-11 Middlesbrough 2–1 QPR
  • 2024-11-05 QPR 1–4 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-03-09 QPR 0–2 Middlesbrough
  • 2023-09-02 Middlesbrough 0–2 QPR
League standing · 2026/27
QPR#8 pos24 pts15 pl+6 GD
Middlesbrough#2 pos29 pts15 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.6
Middlesbrough scored2
QPR conceded1.2
Middlesbrough conceded1.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Middlesbrough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Middlesbrough was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.81 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Middlesbrough?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 1, Middlesbrough won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — QPR 3W 2D 0L; Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L.

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