QPRWatford

QPR v Watford result

Full-time · QPR 2–1 Watford

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Watford · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 2–1 Watford — QPR won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR beat Watford 2–1 in the Championship on Friday 3 April.

The goals

QPR led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — QPR: Rayan Jawad Kolli (26’, assisted by Paul Smyth) and Paul Smyth (63’); Watford: Imrân Louza (85’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rayan Jawad Kolli’s goal on 26 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 2.40, Watford 0.34, from 15 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Ricardo showed 10 yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Rayan Jawad Kolli (29’), James Dunne (30’), Paul Smyth (61’), Richard Kone (84’), Amadou Mbengue (87’) and Kwame Poku (90+1’); Watford: Edoardo Bove (23’), P. Ekwah (49’), Saba Goglichidze (62’) and Imrân Louza (90+1’).

What it changes

QPR move up from 12th to 10th (40 league matches played). QPR have scored 61 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). QPR have conceded 73 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Watford stay ninth after this result (40 league matches played). Watford have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Watford have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

QPR have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Paul Smyth (QPR) 9.1, Rayan Jawad Kolli (QPR) 4.5 and Imrân Louza (Watford) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, QPR or Watford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: QPR 2–1 Watford · Championship
  • Referee: R. Ricardo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 2 · draws 1 · Watford 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 2W 0D 3L · Watford 2W 2D 1L

QPR 2–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.63
Corners
against 6 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 yellows
Referee · R. Ricardo
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.75 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: R. Ricardo — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Walsh17901530 min452.6 /90331.9 /9000 /90
P. Nardi17891511 min442.6 /90251.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Hamer780559 min111.8 /9061 /9000 /90
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Walsh n 890
3.15/4
P. Nardi n 887.6
2.45/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dunne37893302 min471.3 /90330.9 /90250.7 /902506.8 /90320.9 /9050.1 /90
A. Mbengue34792674 min592 /90291 /90200.7 /901595.4 /90441.5 /90100.3 /90
R. Norrington-Davies31762347 min592.3 /90200.8 /9090.3 /901545.9 /90261 /9070.3 /90
S. Cook25812019 min150.7 /90231 /90190.8 /901125 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90
Kieran Morgan1557862 min131.4 /90101 /9030.3 /90252.6 /90121.3 /9020.2 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Dunne n 890
1.16/2
0.43/0
—
R. Kone n 887.1
1.56/5
1.47/3
I. Louza
N. Madsen n 880
0.32/0
0.73/1
—
A. Mbengue n 868.5
1.85/4
0.74/0
—
R. Norrington-Davies n 876.3
0.64/0
0.74/1
—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Dunne n 890
0.63/2
R. Kone n 887.1
0.53/1
N. Madsen n 880
2.17/5
A. Mbengue n 868.5
2.55/5
R. Norrington-Davies n 876.3
2.15/4
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Kone37782896 min90.3 /9020.1 /90551.7 /90290.9 /90311 /90220.7 /90
R. Burrell27701889 min100.5 /9030.1 /90331.6 /90221 /90211 /90150.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli1751862 min50.5 /9000 /90151.6 /9060.6 /9010.1 /9050.5 /90
D. Bennie952472 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /9051 /9010.2 /90
M. Frey739273 min00 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /9031 /9000 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Dunne n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Kone n 887.1
1.85/5
1.55/4
N. Madsen n 880
0.84/2
0.63/1
A. Mbengue n 868.5
0.73/1
0.21/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 876.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Dunne n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Kone n 887.1
0.42/1
00/0
N. Madsen n 880
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Mbengue n 868.5
00/0
00/0
R. Norrington-Davies n 876.3
00/0
00/0
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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Selvik34893015 min912.7 /90391.2 /9010 /90
N. Baxter884675 min131.7 /90141.9 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 890
2.84/3
N. Baxter n 884.4
1.75/2

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bola34852880 min331 /90461.4 /9080.3 /901153.6 /90140.4 /9020.1 /90
J. Ngakia31802477 min1104 /90341.2 /9060.2 /901826.6 /90281 /9040.1 /90
M. Pollock28832324 min230.9 /90240.9 /90220.9 /901475.7 /90190.7 /9050.2 /90
J. Abankwah27842261 min371.5 /90261 /90100.4 /901265 /90351.4 /9040.2 /90
K. Keben25751865 min201 /90201 /9090.4 /90884.2 /90140.7 /9030.1 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Louza n 884.8
1.96/5
0.32/0
R. Kone
L. Kjerrumgaard n 872.3
0.63/1
0.21/0
—
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
M. Bola n 887.1
0.53/1
0.95/2
—
J. Ngakia n 880.8
1.14/2
0.63/1
—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Louza n 884.8
1.65/4
L. Kjerrumgaard n 872.3
0.53/0
M. Bola n 887.1
1.47/2
J. Ngakia n 880.8
4.97/7
E. Kayembe n 886
0.42/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Kjerrumgaard36692487 min90.3 /9010 /90461.7 /90291 /90250.9 /9070.3 /90
M. Doumbia22621372 min50.3 /9000 /90241.6 /90120.8 /90201.3 /9090.6 /90
K. Baah1940753 min20.2 /9010.1 /90131.6 /9060.7 /90131.6 /90131.6 /90
Vivaldo Semedo1747807 min30.3 /9020.2 /90212.3 /90121.3 /9060.7 /9040.4 /90
J. Grieves33090 min11 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Louza n 884.8
0.96/1
0.32/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 872.3
1.77/3
1.16/1
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bola n 887.1
0.84/2
0.32/0
J. Ngakia n 880.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Louza n 884.8
00/0
0.32/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 872.3
0.32/0
00/0
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bola n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
J. Ngakia n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRWatford
46%Possession54%
2.40Expected goals (xG)0.34
15Shots7
8Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
3Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box1
2Corners3
1Offsides2
20Fouls15
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves6
335Passes391
75%Pass accuracy77%

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walsh9000000006.5
A. Mbengue90000010Y6.2
J. Dunne90001100Y7
R. Edwards9000000106.9
R. Norrington-Davies9000000207.3
Kieran Morgan9000001206.9
J. Varane9000001207
R. Kone90001032Y6
H. Vale7900312107.2
P. Smyth72112131Y9.7
Rayan Jawad Kolli45104400Y7
D. Bennie sub4500110005.9
K. Saito sub1800000006.7
K. Poku sub11000000Y6.2

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Selvik9000000007.5
K. Keben9000001306.9
M. Pollock9000000106.3
J. Pétris9000000106.6
L. Kjerrumgaard9000210006.2
I. Louza90102200Y8
S. Goglichidze85000002Y6.3
G. Chakvetadze7200001106.7
N. Irankunda5700101106.5
E. Bove57000002Y5.9
P. Ekwah57000001Y6.3
M. Doumbia sub3300001006.7
N. Mendy sub3300000207
Amin Nabizada sub3300000006.5
K. Baah sub1800000006.3
Vivaldo Semedo sub1200001006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
WatfordWDLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 2 · 1 draw · Watford 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-08-16 Watford 2–1 QPR
  • 2025-01-01 QPR 3–1 Watford
  • 2024-11-30 Watford 0–0 QPR
  • 2024-01-14 QPR 1–2 Watford
  • 2023-08-05 Watford 4–0 QPR
  • 2023-03-11 QPR 1–0 Watford
League standing · 2025/26
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Watford#16 pos57 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.33
Watford scored1.15
QPR conceded1.59
Watford conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Watford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Watford was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 2, Watford won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Watford?
Recent form — QPR 2W 0D 3L; Watford 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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