Stoke City v Blackburn result

Full-time · Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn

Championship · Sat, 11 Apr 2026 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stoke City · Blackburn · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Stoke City and Blackburn drew 1–1 in the Championship on Saturday 11 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Stoke City, from fewer shots (10 to 11), created the better chances, 1.74 xG to 0.67 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Blackburn led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Blackburn: Adam Forshaw (21’, assisted by Ryan Alebiosu) and an own goal by Yuri Ribeiro (56’). Ashley Phillips (87’) was sent off.

Discipline

R. Madley showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Ashley Phillips (47’), J. Rak-Sakyi (62’), Ashley Phillips (87’), L. Baker (88’) and Benjamin Pearson (88’); Blackburn: Moussa Baradji (31’), Yuki Ohashi (33’) and Ryan Alebiosu (45’).

What it changes

Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn have scored 42 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Blackburn have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adam Forshaw (Blackburn) 7.5, Million Manhoef (Stoke City) 6.0 and J. Rak-Sakyi (Stoke City) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Stoke City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Blackburn.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stoke City or Blackburn (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Blackburn next host West Ham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Blackburn: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn · Championship
Referee: R. Madley
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 3 · draws 1 · Blackburn 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Stoke City 2W 1D 2L · Blackburn 2W 2D 1L

Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.75 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.13

Corners

against 7 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · R. Madley

23.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Stoke City for / against	Line	Blackburn for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: R. Madley — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
V. Johansson	24	902160 min	702.9 /90	220.9 /90
Tommy Simkin	16	901440 min	422.6 /90	221.4 /90
Gavin Bazunu	3	92277 min	51.6 /90	20.6 /90

Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	3.4 7/6
Tommy Simkin n 8	90	3 6/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Phillips	39	843264 min	210.6 /90	300.8 /90	361 /90	1544.2 /90	250.7 /90	50.1 /90
B. Wilmot	36	873134 min	351 /90	200.6 /90	210.6 /90	1644.7 /90	150.4 /90	50.1 /90
Bosun Lawal	27	782100 min	462 /90	140.6 /90	120.5 /90	1536.6 /90	220.9 /90	70.3 /90
J. Tchamadeu	23	841935 min	512.4 /90	241.1 /90	50.2 /90	1044.8 /90	221 /90	100.5 /90
A. Cresswell	23	821897 min	221 /90	180.9 /90	50.2 /90	562.7 /90	50.2 /90	10 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Thomas n 8	84.1	0.8 4/2	1.1 5/1	R. Morishita
Bae Jun-Ho n 8	60.8	0.4 2/0	1.5 5/2	—
A. Phillips n 8	90.9	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0	S. McLoughlin
M. Manhoef n 8	63.1	2.3 6/5	1.2 5/2	R. Morishita
B. Wilmot n 8	82.5	0.5 4/0	0.7 4/1	—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Thomas n 8	84.1	0.7 4/1
Bae Jun-Ho n 8	60.8	1.7 4/3
A. Phillips n 8	90.9	0.7 3/2
M. Manhoef n 8	63.1	1.2 4/3
B. Wilmot n 8	82.5	1.5 4/3
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Mubama	24	701688 min	50.3 /90	10.1 /90	251.3 /90	140.7 /90	70.4 /90	120.6 /90
L. Cissé	24	641538 min	30.2 /90	30.2 /90	221.3 /90	120.7 /90	221.3 /90	150.9 /90
R. Boženík	13	54708 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	162 /90	81 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Gallagher	11	37406 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	40.9 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90
M. Smit	10	56563 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 8	84.1	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 8	60.8	0.9 5/0	0.2 1/0
A. Phillips n 8	90.9	0.4 3/0	0.2 2/0
M. Manhoef n 8	63.1	2.1 5/4	1.1 2/1
B. Wilmot n 8	82.5	0.5 2/1	0.3 1/1
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 8	84.1	0.1 1/0	0.5 4/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 8	60.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Phillips n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Manhoef n 8	63.1	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0
B. Wilmot n 8	82.5	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Tóth	29	902609 min	802.8 /90	361.2 /90	00 /90
A. Pears	12	901080 min	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	00 /90

Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 8	90	3.1 7/6
A. Pears n 8	90	1.6 4/2

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. McLoughlin	39	893461 min	551.4 /90	731.9 /90	340.9 /90	2757.2 /90	230.6 /90	90.2 /90
L. Miller	28	792223 min	562.3 /90	431.7 /90	220.9 /90	1837.4 /90	261.1 /90	30.1 /90
D. De Neve	22	461015 min	282.5 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	474.2 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
E. Cashin	13	901170 min	503.8 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	14811.4 /90	151.2 /90	60.5 /90
S. Wharton	11	80882 min	80.8 /90	151.5 /90	70.7 /90	636.4 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Y. Ohashi n 8	69.9	1.3 5/1	1 3/2	—
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.5 4/0	1 6/1	A. Phillips
R. Alebiosu n 8	90	1 6/2	0 0/0	—
R. Morishita n 8	88.4	0.9 5/2	1.1 5/3	M. Manhoef
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 8	69.9	1 3/2
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.9 5/2
R. Alebiosu n 8	90	1.8 7/4
R. Morishita n 8	88.4	1.3 5/2
S. Tronstad n 8	84.4	2.8 6/5
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Ohashi	41	743027 min	80.2 /90	10 /90	581.7 /90	310.9 /90	250.7 /90	280.8 /90
R. Morishita	31	732251 min	20.1 /90	80.3 /90	261 /90	110.4 /90	381.5 /90	261 /90
T. Cantwell	26	751953 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	261.2 /90	140.6 /90	442 /90	251.2 /90
A. Guðjohnsen	24	641539 min	70.4 /90	00 /90	271.6 /90	130.8 /90	160.9 /90	50.3 /90
M. Jørgensen	15	65979 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	100.9 /90	70.6 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 8	69.9	1.3 5/2	0.5 2/1
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Alebiosu n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0.1 1/0
R. Morishita n 8	88.4	1 4/3	0.5 3/1
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Ohashi n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
S. McLoughlin n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Alebiosu n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Morishita n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
B. Tóth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stoke City		Blackburn
59%	Possession	41%
1.74	Expected goals (xG)	0.67
10	Shots	11
3	Shots on target	3
4	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	3
9	Shots inside the box	6
4	Corners	3
1	Offsides	2
11	Fouls	8
5	Yellow cards	3
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	1
475	Passes	321
84%	Pass accuracy	71%

Stoke City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Gavin Bazunu	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Bosun Lawal	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
E. Bocat	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
B. Pearson	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	7.2
L. Baker	90	0	0	1	0	2	0	Y	6.6
M. Manhoef	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	7.9
S. Thomas	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
A. Phillips	87	0	0	0	0	0	1	RY	6.3
J. Rak-Sakyi	86	1	0	2	1	2	1	Y	7
S. Gallagher	72	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
B. Gibson	24	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
A. Cresswell sub	66	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
L. Cissé sub	18	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
Bae Jun-Ho sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Blackburn Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Tóth	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Tom Atcheson	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
S. McLoughlin	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
E. Cashin	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.3
R. Alebiosu	90	0	1	0	0	2	2	Y	6.7
Y. Ohashi	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	Y	6.2
Yuri Ribeiro	89	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
R. Morishita	89	0	0	2	0	0	3	0	6.7
A. Forshaw	77	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	8.2
T. Cantwell	77	0	0	2	0	2	3	0	7.2
M. Baradji	63	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.3
T. Gardner-Hickman sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
M. Jørgensen sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Kristi Montgomery sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
D. De Neve sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
N. Redmond sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Stoke CityDWLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BlackburnLWDWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Stoke City 3 · 1 draw · Blackburn 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2025-10-04 Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City
2025-03-12 Stoke City 1–0 Blackburn
2024-11-06 Blackburn 0–2 Stoke City
2024-02-10 Blackburn 3–1 Stoke City
2023-11-25 Stoke City 0–3 Blackburn
2023-03-10 Stoke City 3–2 Blackburn

League standing · 2025/26

Stoke City#17 pos55 pts46 pl-5 GD

Blackburn#20 pos52 pts46 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Stoke City scored1.11

Blackburn scored0.91

Stoke City conceded1.22

Blackburn conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stoke City v Blackburn?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Blackburn was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Blackburn?: In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 3, Blackburn won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Blackburn?: Recent form — Stoke City 2W 1D 2L; Blackburn 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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