Stoke City v Norwich result
Team pages: Stoke City · Norwich · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Stoke City 1–0 Norwich — Stoke City won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Stoke City beat Norwich 1–0 at Bet365 Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Norwich out-shot Stoke City 15 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.44 xG to 0.58 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
Stoke City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stoke City: Ethan Galbraith (13’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ethan Galbraith’s goal on 13 minutes.
Discipline
A. Kitchen showed four yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Bosun Lawal (47’) and Ethan Galbraith (49’); Norwich: J. Córdoba (61’) and Kenneth McLean (66’).
What it changes
Stoke City move up from 24th to 21st (four league matches played).
Norwich move down from 16th to 19th (four league matches played).
Stoke City have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eric-Junior Bocat (Stoke City) 5.8, Viktor Johansson (Stoke City) 5.0 and Ethan Galbraith (Stoke City) 4.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Stoke City or Norwich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.
Norwich next host Cardiff on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Norwich: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Stoke City 1–0 Norwich · Championship
- Venue: Bet365 Stadium · Stoke on Trent
- Referee: A. Kitchen
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 1 · draws 2 · Norwich 3 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Stoke City 1W 1D 3L · Norwich 3W 0D 2L
Stoke City 1–0 Norwich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stoke City for / against | Line | Norwich for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.29 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.86 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.71 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.29 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Kitchen — 2.55 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.64 fouls over 11 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Stoke City
Stoke City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson | 4 | 92367 min | 122.9 /90 | 92.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90.9 | 2.8 |
Stoke City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot | 4 | 92367 min | 41 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 143.4 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| E. Bocat | 4 | 90358 min | 51.3 /90 | 82 /90 | 00 /90 | 123 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Bosun Lawal | 3 | 73220 min | 20.8 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 104.1 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 20.8 /90 |
| Luke Graham | 2 | 94187 min | 21 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 125.8 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| Ben Johnson | 2 | 90180 min | 73.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 21 /90 | 168 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 89 | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Thomas n 8 | 90.9 | 0.4 | 1.5 | — |
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| E. Bocat n 8 | 84.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | P. Mattsson |
| E. Galbraith n 4 | 83.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | P. Mattsson |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 89 | 1.6 |
| S. Thomas n 8 | 90.9 | 0.4 |
| E. Bocat n 8 | 84.1 | 1.2 |
| E. Galbraith n 4 | 83.8 | 1.1 |
| S. Gallagher n 8 | 56.3 | 1.6 |
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Stoke City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Boženík | 4 | 2495 min | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 43.8 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Thomas | 4 | 92367 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 41 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 112.7 /90 | 61.5 /90 |
| E. Galbraith | 4 | 84335 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 30.8 /90 |
| S. Gallagher | 4 | 73291 min | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 72.2 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | 4 | 55218 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 90.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 89 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Bocat n 8 | 84.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| E. Galbraith n 4 | 83.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 89 | 0.3 | 0 |
| S. Thomas n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Bocat n 8 | 84.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| E. Galbraith n 4 | 83.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
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Norwich
Norwich Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kovačević | 4 | 92369 min | 112.7 /90 | 71.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| D. Grimshaw | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Kovačević n 8 | 91.1 | 3.2 |
| D. Grimshaw n 7 | 83.6 | 1.5 |
Norwich Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Chrisene | 4 | 92369 min | 92.2 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 184.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Córdoba | 4 | 86343 min | 10.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 112.9 /90 | 71.8 /90 | 41 /90 |
| J. Stacey | 4 | 77309 min | 61.7 /90 | 82.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 144.1 /90 | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| H. Darling | 4 | 75299 min | 30.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 133.9 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Ruairi McConville | 3 | 68205 min | 10.4 /90 | 62.6 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 125.3 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 10.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mattsson n 8 | 83.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 | E. Galbraith |
| A. Brooks n 5 | 66 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Ben Slimane n 8 | 57.6 | 1.6 | 1 | — |
| O. Schwartau n 8 | 51.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | — |
| V. Kovačević n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Mattsson n 8 | 83.1 | 1.8 |
| A. Brooks n 5 | 66 | 2.5 |
| A. Ben Slimane n 8 | 57.6 | 1.2 |
| O. Schwartau n 8 | 51.4 | 1.8 |
| B. Chrisene n 8 | 69.8 | 2.3 |
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Norwich Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Touré | 4 | 77308 min | 30.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 82.3 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| M. Kvistgaarden | 3 | 3296 min | 10.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 10.9 /90 | 21.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Diallo | 3 | 2576 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.6 /90 | 22.4 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 22.4 /90 |
| A. Crnac | 2 | 2448 min | 11.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 35.6 /90 | 11.9 /90 | 23.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| P. Mattsson | 5 | 79395 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.8 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mattsson n 8 | 83.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Brooks n 5 | 66 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| A. Ben Slimane n 8 | 57.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| O. Schwartau n 8 | 51.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| B. Chrisene n 8 | 69.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mattsson n 8 | 83.1 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Brooks n 5 | 66 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| A. Ben Slimane n 8 | 57.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| O. Schwartau n 8 | 51.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| B. Chrisene n 8 | 69.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Stoke City | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| 29% | Possession | 71% |
| 0.58 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.44 |
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Offsides | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 204 | Passes | 536 |
| 63% | Pass accuracy | 85% |
Stoke City Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| B. Lawal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6 |
| Ben Johnson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Luke Graham | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| E. Galbraith | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 8.2 |
| E. Bocat | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Bae Jun-Ho | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Bosun Lawal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| George Hirst | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Wilmot | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Manhoef | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Gallagher sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Luca Bombino sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Boženík sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| B. Pearson sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
Norwich Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Córdoba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| Ruairi McConville | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. McLean | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| O. Schwartau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Stacey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| V. Kovačević | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| P. Mattsson | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Brooks | 71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Touré | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Yongwa | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| A. Ben Slimane | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Musaba sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Chrisene sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Diallo sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Kvistgaarden sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Jacob Wright sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Stoke City v Norwich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-04 Norwich 0–2 Stoke City
- 2025-09-27 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
- 2025-02-22 Norwich 4–2 Stoke City
- 2024-10-19 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
- 2024-03-16 Stoke City 0–3 Norwich
- 2023-09-16 Norwich 1–0 Stoke City
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Stoke City v Norwich?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Norwich was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Norwich?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Norwich won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stoke City and Norwich?
- Recent form — Stoke City 1W 1D 3L; Norwich 3W 0D 2L.
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