Stoke CityNorwich

Stoke City v Norwich result

Full-time · Stoke City 1–0 Norwich

Championship · · Bet365 Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stoke City 1–0 Norwich — Stoke City won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stoke City beat Norwich 1–0 at Bet365 Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Norwich out-shot Stoke City 15 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.44 xG to 0.58 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Stoke City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stoke City: Ethan Galbraith (13’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ethan Galbraith’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

A. Kitchen showed four yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Bosun Lawal (47’) and Ethan Galbraith (49’); Norwich: J. Córdoba (61’) and Kenneth McLean (66’).

What it changes

Stoke City move up from 24th to 21st (four league matches played).

Norwich move down from 16th to 19th (four league matches played).

Stoke City have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Eric-Junior Bocat (Stoke City) 5.8, Viktor Johansson (Stoke City) 5.0 and Ethan Galbraith (Stoke City) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stoke City or Norwich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Norwich next host Cardiff on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Norwich: Norwich v Cardiff, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stoke City 1–0 Norwich · Championship
  • Venue: Bet365 Stadium · Stoke on Trent
  • Referee: A. Kitchen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 1 · draws 2 · Norwich 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stoke City 1W 1D 3L · Norwich 3W 0D 2L

Stoke City 1–0 Norwich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.29 / 4.88
Corners
against 3.29 / 3.75 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.14 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.55 yellows
Referee · A. Kitchen
20.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameStoke City for / againstLineNorwich for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.29 for · 3.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
11.86 for · 12.43 against n 7
19.5standard
15.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
2.71 for · 5.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.43 for · 10.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Kitchen — 2.55 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson492367 min122.9 /9092.2 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890.9
2.86/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Wilmot492367 min41 /9061.5 /9061.5 /90143.4 /9030.7 /9000 /90
E. Bocat490358 min51.3 /9082 /9000 /90123 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Bosun Lawal373220 min20.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90104.1 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90
Luke Graham294187 min21 /9031.4 /9000 /90125.8 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Ben Johnson290180 min73.5 /9042 /9021 /90168 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Wilmot n 889
0.65/0
0.62/1
—
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.43/0
1.57/4
—
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
0.11/0
—
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
P. Mattsson
E. Galbraith n 483.8
2.14/3
1.13/1
P. Mattsson
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 889
1.66/3
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.43/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
1.25/3
E. Galbraith n 483.8
1.12/2
S. Gallagher n 856.3
1.65/1
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Boženík42495 min10.9 /9000 /9043.8 /9021.9 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Thomas492367 min00 /9000 /9041 /9010.2 /90112.7 /9061.5 /90
E. Galbraith484335 min10.3 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
S. Gallagher473291 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072.2 /9041.2 /9020.6 /9000 /90
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré455218 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.63/2
0.11/0
B. Wilmot n 889
0.52/1
0.31/1
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
00/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.84/2
0.32/0
E. Galbraith n 483.8
0.52/0
0.31/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 889
0.31/1
00/0
S. Thomas n 890.9
00/0
0.11/0
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
00/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.11/0
00/0
E. Galbraith n 483.8
0.31/0
00/0
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Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Kovačević492369 min112.7 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90
D. Grimshaw19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 891.1
3.26/6
D. Grimshaw n 783.6
1.53/1

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Chrisene492369 min92.2 /9041 /9020.5 /90184.4 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Córdoba486343 min10.3 /9020.5 /9051.3 /90112.9 /9071.8 /9041 /90
J. Stacey477309 min61.7 /9082.3 /9010.3 /90144.1 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
H. Darling475299 min30.9 /9000 /9051.5 /90133.9 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
Ruairi McConville368205 min10.4 /9062.6 /9020.9 /90125.3 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 883.1
2.36/6
1.86/4
E. Galbraith
A. Brooks n 566
1.94/1
0.52/0
—
A. Ben Slimane n 857.6
1.65/3
14/1
—
O. Schwartau n 851.4
0.93/1
1.34/2
—
V. Kovačević n 891.1
00/0
00/0
—
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 883.1
1.85/5
A. Brooks n 566
2.54/3
A. Ben Slimane n 857.6
1.26/0
O. Schwartau n 851.4
1.86/2
B. Chrisene n 869.8
2.36/5
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Touré477308 min30.9 /9010.3 /9082.3 /9051.5 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
M. Kvistgaarden33296 min10.9 /9000 /9021.9 /9010.9 /9021.9 /9000 /90
P. Diallo32576 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9022.4 /9011.2 /9022.4 /90
A. Crnac22448 min11.9 /9000 /9035.6 /9011.9 /9023.8 /9000 /90
P. Mattsson579395 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9081.8 /9020.5 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 883.1
0.31/1
0.11/0
A. Brooks n 566
1.64/2
0.82/1
A. Ben Slimane n 857.6
1.45/2
0.83/1
O. Schwartau n 851.4
1.15/0
0.73/0
B. Chrisene n 869.8
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Mattsson n 883.1
00/0
00/0
A. Brooks n 566
0.82/1
0.31/0
A. Ben Slimane n 857.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
O. Schwartau n 851.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
B. Chrisene n 869.8
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stoke CityNorwich
29%Possession71%
0.58Expected goals (xG)1.44
7Shots15
2Shots on target6
4Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box6
3Corners5
6Offsides4
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
204Passes536
63%Pass accuracy85%

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Johansson9000000008.5
B. Lawal90000000Y6
Ben Johnson9000001407.2
Luke Graham9000000307.7
E. Galbraith90101110Y8.2
E. Bocat9000100507
Bae Jun-Ho9000000006.3
Bosun Lawal90000000Y7.5
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré8700000207
George Hirst5900000006.2
B. Wilmot4500000006.6
M. Manhoef4500110206.6
S. Gallagher sub4500101206.9
Luca Bombino sub4500100306.9
R. Boženík sub3100100106
B. Pearson sub800001007.2

Norwich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Córdoba90000004Y7.2
Ruairi McConville9000001207.3
K. McLean90002122Y7.2
O. Schwartau9000301206.2
J. Stacey9000001206.2
V. Kovačević9000000006.3
P. Mattsson8500001106.9
A. Brooks7100220006.3
M. Touré7100001006.3
D. Yongwa5600110206.5
A. Ben Slimane4500002206.3
A. Musaba sub4500111006.7
B. Chrisene sub3400001107.2
P. Diallo sub1900000106.3
M. Kvistgaarden sub1900110006.3
Jacob Wright sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Norwich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stoke CityWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
NorwichWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stoke City 1 · 2 draws · Norwich 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-04 Norwich 0–2 Stoke City
  • 2025-09-27 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
  • 2025-02-22 Norwich 4–2 Stoke City
  • 2024-10-19 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
  • 2024-03-16 Stoke City 0–3 Norwich
  • 2023-09-16 Norwich 1–0 Stoke City
League standing · 2026/27
Stoke City#3 pos29 pts15 pl+6 GD
Norwich#12 pos21 pts15 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Stoke City scored1.6
Norwich scored2.13
Stoke City conceded1.2
Norwich conceded1.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stoke City v Norwich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Norwich was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Norwich?
In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Norwich won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Norwich?
Recent form — Stoke City 1W 1D 3L; Norwich 3W 0D 2L.

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