Stoke City v Watford result
Team pages: Stoke City · Watford · Head-to-head
Stoke City 3–1 Watford — Stoke City won this Championship match.
The result
Stoke City beat Watford 3–1 in the Championship on Saturday 14 March. It is Stoke City’s first win over Watford since 19 August 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Stoke City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stoke City: Million Manhoef (28’, assisted by Milan Smit; 77’) and Samuel Gallagher (85’, assisted by S. Thomas); Watford: Nestory Irankunda (81’, assisted by Giorgi Chakvetadze).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Stoke City 1.66, Watford 1.83, from 19 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
L. Doughty showed six yellow cards — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Tomáš Rigo (17’), S. Thomas (50’), Maksym Talovierov (60’) and Tommy Simkin (72’); Watford: N. Mendy (51’) and Nestory Irankunda (90+3’).
What it changes
Stoke City move up from 15th to 13th (38 league matches played). Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford move down from ninth to 10th (37 league matches played). Watford have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Watford have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Million Manhoef (Stoke City) 10.0, Samuel Gallagher (Stoke City) 5.6 and Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford) 5.5 led the match.
Head-to-head
Watford are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Stoke City.
Next up
Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Stoke City 3–1 Watford · Championship
- Referee: L. Doughty
- Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 1 · draws 2 · Watford 3 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Stoke City 1W 2D 2L · Watford 2W 2D 1L
Stoke City 3–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Stoke City for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.38 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.38 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: L. Doughty — 6.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Stoke City
Stoke City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson | 24 | 902160 min | 702.9 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Tommy Simkin | 14 | 901260 min | 392.8 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Gavin Bazunu | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Johansson n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
| Tommy Simkin n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Stoke City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot | 36 | 873134 min | 351 /90 | 200.6 /90 | 210.6 /90 | 1644.7 /90 | 150.4 /90 | 50.1 /90 |
| A. Phillips | 35 | 832897 min | 180.6 /90 | 270.8 /90 | 280.9 /90 | 1354.2 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| Bosun Lawal | 25 | 771926 min | 381.8 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 1316.1 /90 | 200.9 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| A. Cresswell | 22 | 821800 min | 221.1 /90 | 180.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 552.8 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| J. Tchamadeu | 21 | 861800 min | 482.4 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 995 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 100.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 81.4 | 0.4 | 1 | — |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 66.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.4 | M. Bola |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 60.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 81.4 | 0.6 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 1.5 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 66.3 | 1.5 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90 | 0.6 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 60.6 | 0.7 |
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Stoke City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mubama | 23 | 721663 min | 50.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 251.4 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 70.4 /90 | 120.6 /90 |
| L. Cissé | 22 | 651419 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 151 /90 |
| R. Boženík | 13 | 54708 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 162 /90 | 81 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| M. Smit | 8 | 56447 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Gallagher | 7 | 37258 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 31 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 81.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 66.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 60.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 81.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| B. Wilmot n 8 | 82.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Bae Jun-Ho n 8 | 66.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| A. Phillips n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Manhoef n 8 | 60.6 | 0 | 0.2 |
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Watford
Watford Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | 31 | 892745 min | 772.5 /90 | 351.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| N. Baxter | 8 | 84675 min | 131.7 /90 | 141.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| N. Baxter n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 |
Watford Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bola | 31 | 842610 min | 291 /90 | 411.4 /90 | 80.3 /90 | 1033.6 /90 | 120.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| J. Ngakia | 31 | 802477 min | 1104 /90 | 341.2 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 1826.6 /90 | 281 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| M. Pollock | 26 | 822144 min | 231 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 1395.8 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| J. Abankwah | 24 | 831992 min | 341.5 /90 | 241.1 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 1145.2 /90 | 311.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| K. Keben | 24 | 761820 min | 201 /90 | 201 /90 | 90.4 /90 | 884.4 /90 | 140.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 86.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | — |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 64.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | A. Phillips |
| J. Ngakia n 8 | 80.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 86.5 | 1 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 64.6 | 0.3 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 1.3 |
| J. Ngakia n 8 | 80.8 | 4.9 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 86.9 | 0.5 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 34 | 682321 min | 90.3 /90 | 10 /90 | 431.7 /90 | 271 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| N. Irankunda | 28 | 541504 min | 20.1 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 352.1 /90 | 140.8 /90 | 261.6 /90 | 392.3 /90 |
| M. Doumbia | 21 | 641354 min | 50.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 231.5 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 80.5 /90 |
| K. Baah | 19 | 40753 min | 20.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 131.6 /90 |
| Vivaldo Semedo | 16 | 47745 min | 30.4 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 212.5 /90 | 121.4 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 86.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 64.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| J. Ngakia n 8 | 80.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Louza n 8 | 86.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard n 8 | 64.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| E. Selvik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Bola n 8 | 87.1 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Ngakia n 8 | 80.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Stoke City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.83 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 12 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 7 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 9 |
| 318 | Passes | 391 |
| 71% | Pass accuracy | 78% |
Stoke City Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Simkin | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 5.9 |
| J. Tchamadeu | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Talovierov | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| A. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Rigo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| S. Thomas | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | Y | 8.3 |
| S. Nzonzi | 83 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Manhoef | 79 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Bae Jun-Ho | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Smit | 71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Bocat | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| B. Gibson sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Gallagher sub | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| T. Seko sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Pearson sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Rak-Sakyi sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Selvik | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Abankwah | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| S. Goglichidze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Bola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| G. Chakvetadze | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| E. Kayembe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Mfuni | 86 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| I. Louza | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| T. Ince | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.9 |
| N. Mendy | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| Vivaldo Semedo | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Irankunda sub | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.5 |
| P. Ekwah sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Lawson sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Bove sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Stoke City v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-12-20 Watford 1–0 Stoke City
- 2025-03-01 Stoke City 0–0 Watford
- 2024-08-17 Watford 3–0 Stoke City
- 2023-12-29 Watford 1–1 Stoke City
- 2023-08-19 Stoke City 1–0 Watford
- 2023-05-08 Watford 2–0 Stoke City
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Watford won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Stoke City and Watford?
- Recent form — Stoke City 1W 2D 2L; Watford 2W 2D 1L.
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