Stoke CityWatford

Stoke City v Watford result

Full-time · Stoke City 3–1 Watford

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Stoke City 3–1 Watford — Stoke City won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Stoke City beat Watford 3–1 in the Championship on Saturday 14 March. It is Stoke City’s first win over Watford since 19 August 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Stoke City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stoke City: Million Manhoef (28’, assisted by Milan Smit; 77’) and Samuel Gallagher (85’, assisted by S. Thomas); Watford: Nestory Irankunda (81’, assisted by Giorgi Chakvetadze).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Stoke City 1.66, Watford 1.83, from 19 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

L. Doughty showed six yellow cards — against 6.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Tomáš Rigo (17’), S. Thomas (50’), Maksym Talovierov (60’) and Tommy Simkin (72’); Watford: N. Mendy (51’) and Nestory Irankunda (90+3’).

What it changes

Stoke City move up from 15th to 13th (38 league matches played). Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford move down from ninth to 10th (37 league matches played). Watford have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Watford have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Million Manhoef (Stoke City) 10.0, Samuel Gallagher (Stoke City) 5.6 and Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Watford are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Stoke City.

Next up

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stoke City 3–1 Watford · Championship
  • Referee: L. Doughty
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 1 · draws 2 · Watford 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stoke City 1W 2D 2L · Watford 2W 2D 1L

Stoke City 3–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.88
Corners
against 7.25 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.29 yellows
Referee · L. Doughty
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStoke City for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.38 for · 7.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: L. Doughty — 6.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson24902160 min702.9 /90220.9 /9000 /90
Tommy Simkin14901260 min392.8 /90181.3 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.47/6
Tommy Simkin n 890
3.17/4

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Wilmot36873134 min351 /90200.6 /90210.6 /901644.7 /90150.4 /9050.1 /90
A. Phillips35832897 min180.6 /90270.8 /90280.9 /901354.2 /90220.7 /9050.2 /90
Bosun Lawal25771926 min381.8 /90140.7 /90110.5 /901316.1 /90200.9 /9070.3 /90
A. Cresswell22821800 min221.1 /90180.9 /9030.2 /90552.8 /9050.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Tchamadeu21861800 min482.4 /90231.2 /9040.2 /90995 /90221.1 /90100.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Thomas n 881.4
0.42/1
15/1
—
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.54/0
0.74/1
—
Bae Jun-Ho n 866.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
—
A. Phillips n 890
0.94/1
0.43/0
M. Bola
M. Manhoef n 860.6
1.54/3
0.41/1
—
See more players · Pro
Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Thomas n 881.4
0.63/1
B. Wilmot n 882.5
1.54/3
Bae Jun-Ho n 866.3
1.55/2
A. Phillips n 890
0.64/1
M. Manhoef n 860.6
0.73/1
See more players · Pro

Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Mubama23721663 min50.3 /9010.1 /90251.4 /90140.8 /9070.4 /90120.6 /90
L. Cissé22651419 min20.1 /9030.2 /90201.3 /90110.7 /90201.3 /90151 /90
R. Boženík1354708 min10.1 /9000 /90162 /9081 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
M. Smit856447 min20.4 /9000 /9040.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9000 /90
S. Gallagher737258 min10.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 881.4
0.84/2
0.43/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
Bae Jun-Ho n 866.3
0.74/0
0.32/0
A. Phillips n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Manhoef n 860.6
1.34/3
0.63/0
See more players · Pro
Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 881.4
00/0
0.32/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 866.3
0.32/0
00/0
A. Phillips n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Manhoef n 860.6
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Selvik31892745 min772.5 /90351.1 /9000 /90
N. Baxter884675 min131.7 /90141.9 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 890
2.45/4
N. Baxter n 884.4
1.75/2

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bola31842610 min291 /90411.4 /9080.3 /901033.6 /90120.4 /9020.1 /90
J. Ngakia31802477 min1104 /90341.2 /9060.2 /901826.6 /90281 /9040.1 /90
M. Pollock26822144 min231 /90200.8 /90210.9 /901395.8 /90170.7 /9050.2 /90
J. Abankwah24831992 min341.5 /90241.1 /9080.4 /901145.2 /90311.4 /9040.2 /90
K. Keben24761820 min201 /90201 /9090.4 /90884.4 /90140.7 /9030.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Louza n 886.5
1.24/3
0.43/0
—
L. Kjerrumgaard n 864.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
—
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Bola n 887.1
0.42/1
0.94/3
A. Phillips
J. Ngakia n 880.8
1.14/2
0.63/1
—
See more players · Pro
Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Louza n 886.5
15/3
L. Kjerrumgaard n 864.6
0.32/0
M. Bola n 887.1
1.36/2
J. Ngakia n 880.8
4.97/7
E. Kayembe n 886.9
0.53/1
See more players · Pro

Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Kjerrumgaard34682321 min90.3 /9010 /90431.7 /90271 /90220.9 /9070.3 /90
N. Irankunda28541504 min20.1 /9020.1 /90352.1 /90140.8 /90261.6 /90392.3 /90
M. Doumbia21641354 min50.3 /9000 /90231.5 /90110.7 /90201.3 /9080.5 /90
K. Baah1940753 min20.2 /9010.1 /90131.6 /9060.7 /90131.6 /90131.6 /90
Vivaldo Semedo1647745 min30.4 /9020.2 /90212.5 /90121.4 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Louza n 886.5
1.36/2
0.43/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 864.6
1.96/3
1.25/2
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bola n 887.1
0.95/2
0.54/0
J. Ngakia n 880.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro
Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 10 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Louza n 886.5
00/0
0.32/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 864.6
0.32/0
00/0
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Bola n 887.1
00/0
00/0
J. Ngakia n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stoke CityWatford
45%Possession55%
1.66Expected goals (xG)1.83
19Shots15
12Shots on target4
4Shots off target7
3Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box9
6Corners7
2Offsides0
11Fouls13
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves9
318Passes391
71%Pass accuracy78%

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tommy Simkin90000000Y5.9
J. Tchamadeu9000001106.6
M. Talovierov90001003Y6.9
A. Phillips9000110006.3
T. Rigo90003322Y7.3
S. Thomas90010041Y8.3
S. Nzonzi8300210107
M. Manhoef7920551008.3
Bae Jun-Ho7900001006.6
M. Smit7101103106.3
E. Bocat7000101107.3
B. Gibson sub2000000006.3
S. Gallagher sub1910220008
T. Seko sub1400000006.7
B. Pearson sub1100000106.5
J. Rak-Sakyi sub1100001006.3

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Selvik9000000007.2
J. Abankwah9000001105.6
S. Goglichidze9000100106.2
M. Bola9000101106.2
G. Chakvetadze9001103007.5
E. Kayembe9000321206.2
S. Mfuni8600201106.7
I. Louza8600100206
T. Ince7100110205.9
N. Mendy71000002Y7.3
Vivaldo Semedo6200001006.2
N. Irankunda sub28101100Y7.5
P. Ekwah sub1900001106.2
J. Lawson sub1900000006.2
E. Bove sub1100000006.5
L. Kjerrumgaard sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stoke CityDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
WatfordDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stoke City 1 · 2 draws · Watford 3 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 Watford 1–0 Stoke City
  • 2025-03-01 Stoke City 0–0 Watford
  • 2024-08-17 Watford 3–0 Stoke City
  • 2023-12-29 Watford 1–1 Stoke City
  • 2023-08-19 Stoke City 1–0 Watford
  • 2023-05-08 Watford 2–0 Stoke City
League standing · 2025/26
Stoke City#17 pos55 pts46 pl-5 GD
Watford#16 pos57 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Stoke City scored1.11
Watford scored1.15
Stoke City conceded1.22
Watford conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Watford won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Watford?
Recent form — Stoke City 1W 2D 2L; Watford 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+