West Ham v Burnley prediction

Championship · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Burnley, Championship on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

West Ham host Burnley in the Championship on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

West Ham have scored 30 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

West Ham have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Burnley have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. West Ham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Burnley, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

12 of West Ham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 10 of West Ham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, West Ham have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.13. West Ham have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Eight of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 12 of Burnley’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Burnley have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Burnley have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Burnley have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Ham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. West Ham (second) and Burnley (22nd) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have West Ham the stronger side, 357 rating points above Burnley (West Ham 1773, Burnley 1416, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Burnley 2–2 West Ham.

Team news

Predicted West Ham XI (4-4-2): M. Hermansen, M. Kilman, K. Mavropanos, Morato, J. Veltman, J. Bowen, A. Engels, M. Solomon, D. Mukasa, V. Castellanos, J. Piroe — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jarrod Bowen (6.6 per match over 14 appearances, eight goals and six assists) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been West Ham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for West Ham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jarrod Bowen averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1231 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Konstantinos Mavropanos averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1474 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Burnley XI (4-2-3-1): G. Coudert, K. Walker, Igor, L. Pires, A. Ahmedhodžić, J. Laurent, M. Alleyne, L. Ramazani, R. Hatate, U. Raghouber, Z. Amdouni — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lucas Pires (4.3 per match over nine appearances, three assists) and Zian Flemming (4.0 per match over four appearances, three goals) have been Burnley’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burnley (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lucas Pires averages 3.9 tackles per 90 over 532 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last nine appearances. Zian Flemming averages 5.0 shots per 90 over 428 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · London Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 3 · draws 3 · Burnley 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 2W 2D 1L · Burnley 1W 2D 2L

West Ham v Burnley (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 2.88 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineBurnley for / against
Goals scored
3 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 9.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 14.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
West Ham
West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pablo n 860.6
2.67/4
1.35/2
—
M. Kanté n 853.9
2.55/4
0.62/1
—
V. Castellanos n 856.8
26/3
0.83/1
—
K. Walker-Peters n 857.9
1.75/3
0.83/1
—
J. Ajala n 430
1.52/0
1.51/1
—
West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bowen n 882.4
3.38/7
1.97/6
Edvin Austbø n 838
36/3
2.15/2
V. Castellanos n 856.8
2.87/3
13/2
J. Piroe n 844.6
2.56/4
0.83/0
J. Ajala n 430
2.32/1
1.51/1
West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Edvin Austbø n 838
0.93/0
0.62/0
J. Ajala n 430
1.51/1
00/0
J. Bowen n 882.4
0.74/1
0.42/1
M. Kanté n 853.9
0.63/0
0.21/0
J. Piroe n 844.6
0.52/0
0.31/0
West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Morato n 859.6
3.25/4
J. Ajala n 430
33/1
A. Boiro n 843.6
2.84/3
O. Scarles n 855.8
2.65/4
L. Orford n 835
2.34/2
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Herrick n 360.3
32/2
M. Hermansen n 890
2.14/3
Burnley
Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ramazani n 868.6
1.86/4
0.84/1
—
R. Hatate n 857
1.85/3
23/3
—
H. Mejbri n 856
1.85/2
2.64/3
—
J. Laurent n 888.4
1.37/3
1.37/2
—
Zeki Amdouni n 878.3
1.24/2
1.23/2
—
Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zeki Amdouni n 878.3
3.78/6
2.37/5
Marcus Edwards n 855.1
3.56/5
1.86/3
D. Satpaev n 859.5
2.15/5
0.83/1
A. Ramsey n 865.5
1.96/2
0.53/0
A. Hountondji n 831.8
1.84/1
1.12/1
Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Zeki Amdouni n 878.3
0.95/1
0.11/0
J. Bruun Larsen n 856.1
0.42/0
0.42/0
R. Hatate n 857
0.21/0
0.42/0
J. Vardy n 856.4
0.63/0
00/0
Marcus Edwards n 855.1
0.63/0
00/0
Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Pires n 864.8
47/7
R. Hatate n 857
2.26/4
H. Ekdal n 847.8
2.16/3
H. Mejbri n 856
24/3
D. Satpaev n 859.5
1.97/1
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Coudert n 890
3.57/5
M. Weiß n 890.9
25/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BurnleyLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Ham 3 · 3 draws · Burnley 0 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-08-16 Burnley 2–2 West Ham
  • 2026-02-07 Burnley 0–2 West Ham
  • 2025-11-08 West Ham 3–2 Burnley
  • 2024-03-10 West Ham 2–2 Burnley
  • 2023-11-25 Burnley 1–2 West Ham
  • 2022-04-17 West Ham 1–1 Burnley
League standing · 2026/27
West Ham#2 pos22 pts11 pl+18 GD
Burnley#22 pos8 pts11 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
West Ham scored2.73
Burnley scored1.45
West Ham conceded1.09
Burnley conceded1.91

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Burnley?
In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 3, Burnley won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Burnley?
Recent form — West Ham 2W 2D 1L; Burnley 1W 2D 2L.

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