This Matchweek

West HamDerby

West Ham v Derby result

Full-time · West Ham 3–0 Derby

Championship · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

West Ham 3–0 Derby — West Ham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

West Ham beat Derby 3–0 at London Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 5 September. West Ham have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

West Ham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — West Ham: Joël Piroe (6’, assisted by V. Castellanos), Edvin Austbø (87’) and Mohamadou Kanté (90’, assisted by Edvin Austbø).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joël Piroe’s goal on 6 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: West Ham 3.79, Derby 0.11, from 20 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Oliver Langford, England showed two yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Derby: Alex Mowatt (21’) and Mohammed Fuseini (77’).

What it changes

West Ham move up from 11th to ninth (five league matches played). West Ham have scored 11 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). West Ham have conceded seven goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby move down from 14th to 20th (five league matches played). Derby have scored five goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Derby have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Ham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Edvin Austbø (West Ham) 6.8, Manor Solomon (West Ham) 6.5 and Arne Engels (West Ham) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Derby next travel to Southampton on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Derby: Southampton v Derby, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Ham 3–0 Derby · Championship
  • Venue: London Stadium · London
  • Referee: Oliver Langford, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): West Ham 1 · draws 0 · Derby 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 2W 2D 1L · Derby 1W 1D 3L

West Ham 3–0 Derby (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 3
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.8 yellows
Referee · Oliver Langford, England
21.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 13.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 7 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.63 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Oliver Langford, England — 3.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hermansen592459 min152.9 /9081.6 /9000 /90
F. Herrick19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 891.1
2.87/6

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Kilman692549 min81.3 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90203.3 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
K. Walker-Peters584421 min81.7 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90183.8 /9020.4 /9000 /90
K. Mavropanos487349 min41 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90205.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
O. Scarles487346 min61.6 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90123.1 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Veltman459234 min83.1 /9051.9 /9041.5 /90176.5 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kilman n 882.9
0.43/0
00/0
C. Taylor
J. Bowen n 883.6
0.43/0
1.36/4
—
V. Castellanos n 871.9
2.78/6
24/4
—
M. Kanté n 754.6
1.65/2
0.73/0
—
M. Hermansen n 891.1
00/0
0.22/0
—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Kilman n 882.9
1.26/2
J. Bowen n 883.6
1.36/2
V. Castellanos n 871.9
0.84/1
M. Kanté n 754.6
2.16/3
K. Walker-Peters n 883.3
1.67/5
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
V. Castellanos671423 min30.6 /9000 /90132.8 /9061.3 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
J. Piroe458230 min10.4 /9000 /9072.7 /9062.3 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
Pablo371213 min00 /9010.4 /9031.3 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
J. Bowen682489 min30.6 /9030.6 /9091.7 /9071.3 /90183.3 /9071.3 /90
M. Kanté659355 min00 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9000 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kilman n 882.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
J. Bowen n 883.6
1.57/3
1.27/2
V. Castellanos n 871.9
3.67/4
1.95/4
M. Kanté n 754.6
0.72/1
00/0
M. Hermansen n 891.1
00/0
00/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kilman n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bowen n 883.6
0.54/0
0.54/0
V. Castellanos n 871.9
0.84/1
00/0
M. Kanté n 754.6
00/0
0.21/0
M. Hermansen n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström591455 min204 /9091.8 /9000 /90
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
58/6

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Langås591455 min102 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90234.5 /9051 /9030.6 /90
C. Taylor585423 min112.3 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90214.5 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
D. Sanderson582410 min40.9 /9010.2 /9061.3 /90265.7 /9061.3 /9020.4 /90
M. Johnston445180 min31.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Ward375224 min10.4 /9041.6 /9000 /9083.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Langås n 890.6
1.26/4
0.64/1
—
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Clark n 881.9
1.97/5
1.26/3
—
C. Taylor n 584.6
0.92/1
0.94/0
M. Kilman
D. Sanderson n 879
1.66/3
0.74/1
—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Langås n 890.6
27/6
B. Clark n 881.9
14/2
C. Taylor n 584.6
2.34/2
D. Sanderson n 879
1.14/3
L. Travis n 887.1
37/6
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Szmodics466265 min31 /9000 /9062 /9051.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
R. Brewster436145 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Salvesen433130 min10.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9021.4 /90
C. Morris391273 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9031 /9031 /9010.3 /90
B. Clark589446 min10.2 /9020.4 /9071.4 /9020.4 /9091.8 /90102 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Langås n 890.6
0.64/1
0.22/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
B. Clark n 881.9
1.14/2
0.31/1
C. Taylor n 584.6
00/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 879
0.11/0
00/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Langås n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
00/0
00/0
B. Clark n 881.9
0.11/0
0.43/0
C. Taylor n 584.6
00/0
00/0
D. Sanderson n 879
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West HamDerby
52%Possession48%
3.79Expected goals (xG)0.11
20Shots4
7Shots on target0
10Shots off target3
3Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box2
5Corners6
1Offsides0
6Fouls16
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves4
458Passes421
85%Pass accuracy81%

West Ham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hermansen9000000006.9
J. Piroe9010210006.6
K. Mavropanos9000310107.9
M. Kilman9000100108
A. Engels9000005208.9
J. Veltman9000000307.3
J. Bowen8900524007.9
D. Mukasa8900003307.2
M. Solomon7700112407.2
O. Scarles7700000307.5
V. Castellanos6401203008.2
L. Orford sub2600000206.9
A. Boiro sub1300000106.9
Edvin Austbø sub1311211008
M. Kanté sub510110007.6
Morato sub10000000–

Derby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Taylor9000000105.9
S. Szmodics9000000006.7
D. Sanderson9000000206.5
S. Langås9000000006.3
J. Widell Zetterström9000000006.9
A. Mowatt86001001Y6.3
R. Nyambe7100000005.9
R. Hedges7100000006.2
H. Meister6200000105.3
O. Fraulo6200000006.2
R. Brewster2200000006.5
D. Ozoh sub6800001206.5
B. Clark sub2800000006.2
L. Salvesen sub2800200106.5
M. Fuseini sub19000000Y6.5
M. Johnston sub1900001006.3
C. Blackett-Taylor sub1000001006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
DerbyLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
West Ham 1 · 0 draws · Derby 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-01-30 Derby 0–2 West Ham
League standing · 2026/27
West Ham#8 pos23 pts14 pl+15 GD
Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD
Goals per game
West Ham scored2.57
Derby scored0.93
West Ham conceded1.5
Derby conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Derby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Derby was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Derby?
In their last 1 meetings, West Ham won 1, Derby won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Derby?
Recent form — West Ham 2W 2D 1L; Derby 1W 1D 3L.

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