This Matchweek

WolvesBolton

Wolves v Bolton result

Full-time · Wolves 1–3 Bolton

Championship · · Molineux Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Bolton

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 1–3 Bolton — Bolton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.42 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bolton won 3–1 at Molineux Stadium in the Championship on Tuesday 13 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wolves out-shot Bolton 19 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.23 xG to 1.62 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Bolton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bolton: Atsuki Ito (28’), Samuel Dalby (72’, assisted by Gaizka Larrazabal) and Joshua Sheehan (82’); Wolves: Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (50’, assisted by Ladislav Krejčí).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Samuel Dalby’s goal on 72 minutes.

Discipline

Tim Robinson, England showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wolves: Mateus Mane (26’), Kieran Trippier (89’) and Sean Neave (90+3’); Bolton: Gaizka Larrazabal (45+1’) and Ethan Erhahon (76’).

What it changes

Wolves have scored 25 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wolves have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bolton have scored 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Bolton have conceded 26 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bolton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ladislav Krejčí (Wolves) 6.6, Hugo Bueno (Wolves) 5.8 and Samuel Dalby (Bolton) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (215 of 274).

Next up

Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.

Bolton next travel to Derby on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bolton: Derby v Bolton, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wolves 1–3 Bolton · Championship
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
  • Referee: Tim Robinson, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Wolves 2 · draws 0 · Bolton 0 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 2W 1D 2L · Bolton 2W 0D 3L

Wolves 1–3 Bolton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.13 / 6
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 5.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.13 yellows
Referee · Tim Robinson, England
26 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Tim Robinson, England — 5.13 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá890720 min202.5 /9091.1 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min63 /9021 /9010.5 /90
João Virgínia19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
2.57/3
D. Bentley n 890
2.66/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Djiga1076764 min50.6 /90111.3 /9070.8 /90313.7 /9030.4 /9010.1 /90
Hugo Bueno981733 min111.4 /9081 /9020.2 /90323.9 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Toti Gomes980721 min20.2 /9091.1 /9000 /90334.1 /9030.4 /9000 /90
J. Tchatchoua775527 min71.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90193.2 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
K. Trippier662373 min112.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90163.9 /9041 /9010.2 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Armstrong n 868
1.35/2
0.21/0
—
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.31/1
0.43/0
Gaizka Larrazabal
M. Mane n 868
16/0
2.68/4
—
Rodrigo Gomes n 864.9
1.45/3
2.17/3
—
M. Munetsi n 863.4
27/2
0.73/1
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 868
0.72/1
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.75/0
M. Mane n 868
1.34/2
Rodrigo Gomes n 864.9
0.73/1
M. Munetsi n 863.4
2.37/5
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong1168747 min20.2 /9000 /9091.1 /9050.6 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90
R. Jiménez948435 min30.6 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9051 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Rafiki Saïd13939 min00 /9000 /9024.6 /9000 /9000 /9012.3 /90
M. Mane1068675 min00 /9000 /90121.6 /9050.7 /90192.5 /90131.7 /90
Rodrigo Gomes1067670 min20.3 /9020.3 /90111.5 /9050.7 /90101.3 /90101.3 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 868
0.84/1
0.53/0
N. Djiga n 881.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Mane n 868
1.23/2
0.83/1
Rodrigo Gomes n 864.9
1.67/2
0.94/1
M. Munetsi n 863.4
1.85/2
0.94/1
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 868
00/0
00/0
N. Djiga n 881.9
00/0
00/0
M. Mane n 868
00/0
00/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 864.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
M. Munetsi n 863.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Bolton

Bolton Goalkeeper

Bolton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bonham691547 min172.8 /90101.6 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu490360 min174.3 /9082 /9000 /90
Bolton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bonham n 890.9
2.75/2
Gavin Bazunu n 490
4.33/2

Bolton Defensive

Bolton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Conway975672 min222.9 /90111.5 /9060.8 /90537.1 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
Gaizka Larrazabal970631 min60.9 /90142 /9000 /90213 /90101.4 /9010.1 /90
C. Forino-Joseph788616 min182.6 /90142 /9081.2 /90527.6 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90
B. Davies780563 min40.6 /9061 /9010.2 /90264.2 /9020.3 /9010.2 /90
A. Famewo675449 min112.2 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90377.4 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
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Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.14/3
1.67/3
—
S. Dalby n 879.8
1.16/1
0.84/1
—
T. Gale n 864.4
0.73/1
0.52/1
—
M. Conway n 879.6
0.64/0
1.45/3
—
Gaizka Larrazabal n 871.1
1.45/3
0.84/1
N. Djiga
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Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
1.36/2
S. Dalby n 879.8
0.83/2
T. Gale n 864.4
14/2
M. Conway n 879.6
3.17/4
Gaizka Larrazabal n 871.1
0.94/1
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Bolton Attacking

Bolton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Dalby1083825 min30.3 /9000 /90161.7 /9060.7 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
R. Hardie42391 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
J. Nelson42185 min00 /9000 /9066.4 /9033.2 /9033.2 /9033.2 /90
Thelonius Bair23875 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
J. Sheehan1090903 min00 /9000 /90121.2 /9050.5 /90141.4 /9040.4 /90
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Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
16/2
0.54/0
S. Dalby n 879.8
1.86/2
0.64/0
T. Gale n 864.4
1.45/3
0.74/0
M. Conway n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 871.1
0.95/1
0.31/1
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Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bolton before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Sheehan n 889.5
00/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 879.8
0.32/0
00/0
T. Gale n 864.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Conway n 879.6
00/0
0.11/0
Gaizka Larrazabal n 871.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesBolton
61%Possession39%
2.23Expected goals (xG)1.62
19Shots10
3Shots on target6
12Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box7
9Corners3
6Offsides1
11Fouls14
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
515Passes342
89%Pass accuracy76%

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
José Sá9000000005.2
K. Trippier90000030Y8.7
Fer López9000213306.2
L. Krejčí9001103107
N. Djiga9000101207.2
J. Bellegarde9010110007.7
A. Armstrong9000310006
André8500000106.7
J. James8000102006.6
Hugo Bueno8000101607
M. Mane63003010Y6.3
Rafiki Saïd sub2700201006.9
S. Neave sub10000001Y6.3
M. Munetsi sub1000000106.2
G. Konan sub1000000006.3

Bolton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gavin Bazunu9000000006.5
E. Toal9000000107.3
J. Sheehan9010221007.6
Gaizka Larrazabal90010010Y7.5
A. Famewo9000100106.3
L. Brunt9000101506.9
T. Gale7800000106.3
E. Erhahon78000003Y6.7
A. Ito6610110007.7
Thelonius Bair6600000106.5
S. Iling-Junior6300111107.2
J. Nelson sub2700000206.9
Ruben Rodrigues sub2400111006.5
S. Dalby sub2410110107.2
X. Simons sub1200000106.9
M. Conway sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BoltonLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Wolves 2 · 0 draws · Bolton 0 · 5 goals/game
  • 2018-04-21 Bolton 0–4 Wolves
  • 2017-11-25 Wolves 5–1 Bolton
League standing · 2026/27
Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD
Bolton#17 pos17 pts14 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Wolves scored1.79
Bolton scored1.36
Wolves conceded1.21
Bolton conceded1.86

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Bolton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Bolton was Home win (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Bolton?
In their last 2 meetings, Wolves won 2, Bolton won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Bolton?
Recent form — Wolves 2W 1D 2L; Bolton 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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