This Matchweek

WolvesStoke City

Wolves v Stoke City result

Full-time · Wolves 4–1 Stoke City

Championship · · Molineux Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Stoke City

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 4–1 Stoke City — Wolves won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wolves beat Stoke City 4–1 at Molineux Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 29 August. Wolves are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Stoke City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wolves led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Stoke City: Samuel Gallagher (2’); Wolves: Rodrigo Gomes (19’, 23’), R. Jiménez (55’ pen) and Jordan James (84’, assisted by Fer López).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rodrigo Gomes’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wolves 2.66, Stoke City 0.83, from 18 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tom Nield, England showed five yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wolves: Mateus Mane (39’); Stoke City: Bae Jun-Ho (15’), Bosun Lawal (31’), Samuel Gallagher (45’) and S. Thomas (90+3’).

What it changes

Wolves have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Stoke City have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, R. Jiménez (Wolves) 10.1, Rodrigo Gomes (Wolves) 10.0 and Fer López (Wolves) 8.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Wolves next host Charlton on 21 November 2026.

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wolves 4–1 Stoke City · Championship
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton
  • Referee: Tom Nield, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Wolves 0 · draws 0 · Stoke City 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 3W 2D 0L · Stoke City 1W 1D 3L

Wolves 4–1 Stoke City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 7
Corners
against 5 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 2.29
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.86
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.54 yellows
Referee · Tom Nield, England
21.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineStoke City for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
14.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.29 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
2.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.43 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: Tom Nield, England — 2.54 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.38 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Bentley290180 min63 /9021 /9010.5 /90
José Sá290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
35/5
D. Bentley n 890
2.66/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Toti Gomes384251 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9093.2 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Djiga366199 min10.5 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9041.8 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Hugo Bueno364193 min41.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90104.7 /9020.9 /9000 /90
Y. Mosquera287174 min42.1 /9042.1 /9010.5 /90147.2 /9052.6 /9000 /90
K. Trippier279157 min52.9 /9021.1 /9000 /9074 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Armstrong n 877.4
0.95/1
0.11/0
—
M. Mane n 875.4
0.63/1
2.18/5
S. Thomas
Rodrigo Gomes n 862.3
0.94/1
0.42/0
S. Thomas
M. Munetsi n 859
1.55/3
1.14/2
E. Galbraith
T. Doyle n 834
1.34/0
12/1
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 877.4
0.63/1
M. Mane n 875.4
0.94/1
Rodrigo Gomes n 862.3
1.35/1
M. Munetsi n 859
1.97/2
T. Doyle n 834
34/3
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong473293 min20.6 /9000 /9061.8 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
M. Mane467266 min00 /9000 /9072.4 /9010.3 /9093 /9041.4 /90
R. Jiménez439156 min10.6 /9010.6 /9063.5 /9021.2 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
Rodrigo Gomes466263 min00 /9010.3 /9041.4 /9010.3 /9031 /9041.4 /90
M. Munetsi463251 min10.4 /9000 /9062.2 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 877.4
1.57/3
0.95/1
M. Mane n 875.4
2.27/6
0.95/1
Rodrigo Gomes n 862.3
1.46/1
0.21/0
M. Munetsi n 859
1.97/1
0.83/1
T. Doyle n 834
0.72/0
00/0
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Armstrong n 877.4
0.43/0
00/0
M. Mane n 875.4
0.11/0
00/0
Rodrigo Gomes n 862.3
00/0
0.21/0
M. Munetsi n 859
0.21/0
00/0
T. Doyle n 834
00/0
0.72/0
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson392277 min82.6 /9051.6 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890.9
2.86/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Wilmot392277 min31 /9020.6 /9041.3 /90123.9 /9020.6 /9000 /90
E. Bocat389268 min41.3 /9062 /9000 /9072.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Luke Graham294187 min21 /9031.4 /9000 /90125.8 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Bosun Lawal265130 min10.7 /9021.4 /9000 /9064.2 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
B. Gibson19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9044 /9000 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Wilmot n 889
0.65/0
0.62/1
—
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.22/0
1.46/4
Rodrigo Gomes
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
0.22/0
—
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
E. Galbraith n 381.7
2.23/2
1.12/1
M. Munetsi
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 889
1.55/3
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.43/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
1.14/3
E. Galbraith n 381.7
0.71/1
S. Gallagher n 854.6
0.84/0
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Gallagher369206 min00 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /90
R. Boženík32679 min11.1 /9000 /9044.6 /9022.3 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Thomas392277 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9082.6 /9061.9 /90
E. Galbraith382245 min10.4 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9000 /90
S. Ingelsson363190 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9020.9 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 889
0.52/1
0.31/1
S. Thomas n 890.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
00/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.73/2
0.32/0
E. Galbraith n 381.7
0.72/0
0.41/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 889
0.31/1
00/0
S. Thomas n 890.9
00/0
0.11/0
V. Johansson n 890.9
00/0
00/0
E. Bocat n 884.1
0.11/0
00/0
E. Galbraith n 381.7
0.41/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesStoke City
53%Possession47%
2.66Expected goals (xG)0.83
18Shots10
8Shots on target3
3Shots off target5
7Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box6
7Corners1
2Offsides3
13Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves4
407Passes362
84%Pass accuracy86%

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Tchatchoua9000000407.3
José Sá9000000007.7
Fer López9001003508.6
Hugo Bueno9000100206.5
Toti Gomes9000000006.7
N. Djiga9000000107
M. Mane83004310Y6.2
Rodrigo Gomes7720221207.6
M. Munetsi7700001206.3
André7300002106.6
R. Jiménez7310221307.9
A. Armstrong sub1700002006.2
B. Traoré sub1700100106.3
J. James sub1310110007.7
T. Doyle sub1300001007.2
T. Chirewa sub1100000006.3

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Thomas90002031Y6.3
E. Galbraith9000000206.2
E. Bocat9000100105.3
B. Lawal90001011Y5.8
B. Wilmot9000000106.5
Ben Johnson9000001606.5
V. Johansson9000000006.6
Bosun Lawal90001011Y6.5
S. Gallagher85103314Y7.2
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré8500000206.6
George Hirst7400000006.2
Bae Jun-Ho62000012Y6.2
M. Manhoef sub2800000006.5
R. Boženík sub1600000006.3
T. Rigo sub900100006.7
T. Martin sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Stoke CityLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Wolves 0 · 0 draws · Stoke City 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2020-09-17 Wolves 0–1 Stoke City
League standing · 2026/27
Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD
Stoke City#4 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Wolves scored1.79
Stoke City scored1.57
Wolves conceded1.21
Stoke City conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Stoke City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Stoke City was Home win (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Stoke City?
In their last 1 meetings, Wolves won 0, Stoke City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Stoke City?
Recent form — Wolves 3W 2D 0L; Stoke City 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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