WatfordMiddlesbrough

Watford v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough

Championship · · Vicarage Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.4% of 128 landed (95% range 77.1–89.7%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Watford and Middlesbrough drew 0–0 at Vicarage Road in the Championship on Saturday 7 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Watford 18 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.05 xG to 0.44 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

The bookings — Watford: Omar Traoré (71’); Middlesbrough: Callum Brittain (21’), Samuel Byram (43’) and Sebastian Berhalter (59’).

What it changes

Watford stay 20th after this result (15 league matches played). Watford have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough stay second after this result (15 league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

It was the only goalless draw of round 15, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 8.7, Martín Payero (Watford) 4.9 and J. Sarmiento (Middlesbrough) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.4% of the time in the last 90 days (108 of 128).

Next up

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough · Championship
  • Venue: Vicarage Road · Watford
  • Referee: Gavin Ward
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 3 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Watford 2W 0D 3L · Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L

Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.25
Goals
against 2 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4 / 7.13
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 7.25
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWatford for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 17.38 against n 8
19.5standard
20.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
7.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
8.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Gavin Ward.

Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Ravaglia15911362 min513.4 /90201.3 /9010.1 /90
D. Bachmann19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 890
3.87/7

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pollock15911362 min181.2 /90201.3 /90201.3 /90654.3 /90171.1 /9030.2 /90
K. Keben15881317 min201.4 /90110.8 /90141 /90483.3 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90
J. Zemura1257681 min162.1 /90141.9 /9010.1 /90445.8 /90121.6 /9030.4 /90
O. Traoré1166722 min111.4 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90222.7 /9081 /9010.1 /90
M. Bola759416 min81.7 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90296.3 /9020.4 /9000 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hector Kyprianou n 890
16/2
1.67/5
—
M. Pollock n 890
16/2
0.53/1
A. Malanda
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
K. Keben n 890
15/2
0.53/1
A. Malanda
E. Kayembe n 890
1.15/4
0.85/1
Sebastian Berhalter
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
1.86/6
M. Pollock n 890
16/2
K. Keben n 890
15/2
E. Kayembe n 890
1.87/5
Iker Bravo n 870.5
0.83/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Doumbia1455771 min20.2 /9000 /90172 /90101.2 /9080.9 /9040.5 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard965581 min20.3 /9000 /90121.9 /9040.6 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
Rocco Vata933295 min00 /9000 /90113.4 /9051.5 /9072.1 /9041.2 /90
M. Boadu754379 min20.5 /9010.2 /9081.9 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
Hector Kyprianou16871395 min10.1 /9000 /90110.7 /9050.3 /90110.7 /9070.5 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
M. Pollock n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 890
0.42/1
00/0
E. Kayembe n 890
1.46/3
0.31/1
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Pollock n 890
00/0
0.11/0
F. Ravaglia n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Kayembe n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Vítek14901260 min282 /90171.2 /9000 /90
S. Brynn390270 min82.7 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Vítek n 890
1.95/2
S. Brynn n 890
2.35/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Brittain17871473 min322 /90140.9 /9040.2 /90855.2 /90150.9 /9010.1 /90
A. Malanda15891337 min161.1 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90734.9 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90
Neto Borges15791188 min171.3 /9090.7 /9060.5 /90554.2 /90120.9 /9020.2 /90
L. Ayling14751043 min181.6 /90141.2 /9050.4 /90564.8 /9060.5 /9000 /90
A. Phillips1272867 min121.2 /9060.6 /9050.5 /90444.6 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Brittain n 890
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
W. Lankshear n 880
1.15/2
1.46/3
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 860.9
1.14/2
1.35/2
E. Kayembe
A. Malanda n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Keben
A. Morris n 890
0.84/1
1.56/4
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
27/4
W. Lankshear n 880
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 860.9
25/2
A. Malanda n 890
0.83/3
A. Morris n 890
3.58/6
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Lankshear16731169 min151.2 /9000 /90423.2 /90282.2 /90131 /9020.2 /90
K. Joseph1150545 min10.2 /9000 /90142.3 /9071.2 /9071.2 /9050.8 /90
J. Sarmiento850401 min20.4 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9051.1 /9071.6 /90
D. Strelec24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9033.2 /9022.1 /90
Sebastian Berhalter16691110 min30.2 /9030.2 /90201.6 /9080.6 /90423.4 /9010.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
0.84/2
0.53/1
W. Lankshear n 880
3.47/7
2.47/5
Sebastian Berhalter n 860.9
1.85/2
0.73/1
A. Malanda n 890
0.94/2
0.43/0
A. Morris n 890
1.35/4
0.84/2
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Brittain n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
W. Lankshear n 880
1.16/2
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 860.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
A. Malanda n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Morris n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WatfordMiddlesbrough
26%Possession74%
0.44Expected goals (xG)2.05
8Shots18
1Shots on target4
3Shots off target8
4Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box13
5Corners6
4Offsides1
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves1
227Passes669

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Iker Bravo9000210106.9
E. Kayembe9000200106.6
K. Keben9000000106.7
Branimir Mlačić9000000106.6
M. Payero9000101306.7
M. Pollock9000001107
F. Ravaglia9000000007
O. Traoré76001000Y6.1
J. Zemura7300101006.4
M. Doumbia7300102106.4
Amin Nabizada7300001006.2
M. Bola1700000206.8
L. Kjerrumgaard1700000006.5
S. Mavididi1700000006.3
K. Diatta1400000006.5

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brittain90001111Y6.3
A. Malanda9000000007
R. McGree9000301106.9
A. Morris9000203607.2
A. Phillips9000000107
R. Vítek9000000006.8
J. Sarmiento8600622107.1
S. Byram76003002Y6.3
D. Strelec6600101106.4
Sebastian Berhalter66000022Y6.8
A. Cozier-Duberry4500100106.5
Maximilian Arfsten4500003006.9
K. Joseph2400110006.6
M. Peart-Harris2400000107.4
T. Conway1400000106.7
Leo Castledine400000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Watford v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WatfordLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Watford 3 · 0 draws · Middlesbrough 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford
  • 2025-11-01 Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough 0–1 Watford
  • 2024-10-05 Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-05-04 Middlesbrough 3–1 Watford
  • 2023-09-30 Watford 2–3 Middlesbrough
League standing · 2026/27
Watford#20 pos15 pts15 pl-10 GD
Middlesbrough#2 pos29 pts15 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Watford scored0.87
Middlesbrough scored2
Watford conceded1.53
Middlesbrough conceded1.27

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Watford v Middlesbrough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Middlesbrough was Away win (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Middlesbrough?
In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 3, Middlesbrough won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — Watford 2W 0D 3L; Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L.

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