Watford v Middlesbrough result
Team pages: Watford · Middlesbrough · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.
The result
Watford and Middlesbrough drew 0–0 at Vicarage Road in the Championship on Saturday 7 November. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough out-shot Watford 18 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.05 xG to 0.44 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time.
Discipline
The bookings — Watford: Omar Traoré (71’); Middlesbrough: Callum Brittain (21’), Samuel Byram (43’) and Sebastian Berhalter (59’).
What it changes
Watford stay 20th after this result (15 league matches played). Watford have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Middlesbrough stay second after this result (15 league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored 30 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs.
It was the only goalless draw of round 15, across 12 matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aidan Morris (Middlesbrough) 8.7, Martín Payero (Watford) 4.9 and J. Sarmiento (Middlesbrough) 4.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Middlesbrough to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.4% of the time in the last 90 days (108 of 128).
Next up
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Middlesbrough next host Bristol City on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough v Bristol City, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough · Championship
- Venue: Vicarage Road · Watford
- Referee: Gavin Ward
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 3 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 3 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Watford 2W 0D 3L · Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L
Watford 0–0 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Watford for / against | Line | Middlesbrough for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Gavin Ward.
Watford
Watford Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | 15 | 911362 min | 513.4 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| D. Bachmann | 1 | 9090 min | 66 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Watford Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock | 15 | 911362 min | 181.2 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 654.3 /90 | 171.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| K. Keben | 15 | 881317 min | 201.4 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 141 /90 | 483.3 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| J. Zemura | 12 | 57681 min | 162.1 /90 | 141.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 445.8 /90 | 121.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
| O. Traoré | 11 | 66722 min | 111.4 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 222.7 /90 | 81 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| M. Bola | 7 | 59416 min | 81.7 /90 | 71.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 296.3 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90 | 1 | 1.6 | — |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | A. Malanda |
| F. Ravaglia n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| K. Keben n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.5 | A. Malanda |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.8 | Sebastian Berhalter |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| K. Keben n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Iker Bravo n 8 | 70.5 | 0.8 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Doumbia | 14 | 55771 min | 20.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 172 /90 | 101.2 /90 | 80.9 /90 | 40.5 /90 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 9 | 65581 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 121.9 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 71.1 /90 | 20.3 /90 |
| Rocco Vata | 9 | 33295 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 113.4 /90 | 51.5 /90 | 72.1 /90 | 41.2 /90 |
| M. Boadu | 7 | 54379 min | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 81.9 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 16 | 871395 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 70.5 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Ravaglia n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Keben n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| F. Ravaglia n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Keben n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
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Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vítek | 14 | 901260 min | 282 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Brynn | 3 | 90270 min | 82.7 /90 | 41.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Vítek n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| S. Brynn n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
Middlesbrough Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain | 17 | 871473 min | 322 /90 | 140.9 /90 | 40.2 /90 | 855.2 /90 | 150.9 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| A. Malanda | 15 | 891337 min | 161.1 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 734.9 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Neto Borges | 15 | 791188 min | 171.3 /90 | 90.7 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 554.2 /90 | 120.9 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| L. Ayling | 14 | 751043 min | 181.6 /90 | 141.2 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 564.8 /90 | 60.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Phillips | 12 | 72867 min | 121.2 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 444.6 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| W. Lankshear n 8 | 80 | 1.1 | 1.4 | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter n 8 | 60.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | E. Kayembe |
| A. Malanda n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 | K. Keben |
| A. Morris n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 1.5 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| W. Lankshear n 8 | 80 | 0 |
| Sebastian Berhalter n 8 | 60.9 | 2 |
| A. Malanda n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| A. Morris n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
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Middlesbrough Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Lankshear | 16 | 731169 min | 151.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 423.2 /90 | 282.2 /90 | 131 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| K. Joseph | 11 | 50545 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 142.3 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 50.8 /90 |
| J. Sarmiento | 8 | 50401 min | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 71.6 /90 |
| D. Strelec | 2 | 4385 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 33.2 /90 | 22.1 /90 |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 16 | 691110 min | 30.2 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 201.6 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 423.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| W. Lankshear n 8 | 80 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Sebastian Berhalter n 8 | 60.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| A. Malanda n 8 | 90 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| A. Morris n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| W. Lankshear n 8 | 80 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Sebastian Berhalter n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| A. Malanda n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| A. Morris n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Watford | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 26% | Possession | 74% |
| 0.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.05 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 4 | Shots inside the box | 13 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 227 | Passes | 669 |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iker Bravo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Kayembe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Keben | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Branimir Mlačić | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Payero | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Ravaglia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| O. Traoré | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.1 |
| J. Zemura | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
| M. Doumbia | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Amin Nabizada | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Bola | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.8 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Mavididi | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Diatta | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Middlesbrough Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brittain | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Malanda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| R. McGree | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Morris | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Phillips | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Vítek | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| J. Sarmiento | 86 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 |
| S. Byram | 76 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| D. Strelec | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.8 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Maximilian Arfsten | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| K. Joseph | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Peart-Harris | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 |
| T. Conway | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Leo Castledine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Watford v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-25 Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford
- 2025-11-01 Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough
- 2025-02-15 Middlesbrough 0–1 Watford
- 2024-10-05 Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough
- 2024-05-04 Middlesbrough 3–1 Watford
- 2023-09-30 Watford 2–3 Middlesbrough
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Watford v Middlesbrough?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Middlesbrough was Away win (best price 1.47 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Middlesbrough?
- In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 3, Middlesbrough won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Watford and Middlesbrough?
- Recent form — Watford 2W 0D 3L; Middlesbrough 3W 1D 1L.
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