WrexhamMiddlesbrough

Wrexham v Middlesbrough result

Full-time · Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wrexham · Middlesbrough

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham and Middlesbrough drew 2–2 in the Championship on Saturday 2 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Middlesbrough, from fewer shots (11 to 20), created the better chances, 2.12 xG to 1.70 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

It was 2–2 at half-time. The goals — Middlesbrough: Tommy Conway (4’) and David Strelec (44’, assisted by Matthew Targett); Wrexham: Joshua Windass (28’) and Samuel Smith (41’, assisted by Issa Kaboré).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with David Strelec’s goal on 44 minutes.

Discipline

O. Langford showed no yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Wrexham move down from sixth to seventh (46 league matches played). Wrexham have scored 69 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Wrexham have conceded 65 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough stay fourth after this result (46 league matches played). Middlesbrough have scored 73 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game). Middlesbrough have conceded 50 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matthew Targett (Middlesbrough) 6.9, Joshua Windass (Wrexham) 6.3 and David Strelec (Middlesbrough) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Wrexham next host Wolves on 7 November 2026.

Middlesbrough next travel to Watford on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Middlesbrough: Watford v Middlesbrough, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough · Championship
  • Referee: O. Langford
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Wrexham 0 · draws 1 · Middlesbrough 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 2W 0D 3L · Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L

Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 2 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.13 / 9.88
Corners
against 5.63 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · O. Langford
18.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineMiddlesbrough for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
9.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
9.88 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
20.63 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
2.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: O. Langford — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 18.92 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo40903606 min1162.9 /90531.3 /9010 /90
D. Ward790629 min233.3 /90101.4 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 890
3.67/7
D. Ward n 789.9
3.36/4

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Cleworth42903774 min771.8 /90360.9 /90290.7 /902014.8 /90290.7 /9060.1 /90
D. Hyam40903590 min381 /90451.1 /90250.6 /901924.8 /90350.9 /9040.1 /90
C. Doyle36843014 min551.6 /90401.2 /90200.6 /902006 /90300.9 /9060.2 /90
D. Scarr18811455 min60.4 /90161 /90161 /90845.2 /9080.5 /9040.2 /90
G. Dobson42733086 min982.9 /90341 /90180.5 /901825.3 /90401.2 /9080.2 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.53/1
0.11/0
—
G. Dobson n 887.6
1.48/3
0.11/0
M. Targett
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Hyam n 890
15/2
0.94/3
L. Ayling
L. O'Brien n 864.6
13/2
1.97/3
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
2.58/6
G. Dobson n 887.6
2.37/6
D. Hyam n 890
0.96/1
L. O'Brien n 864.6
2.47/4
J. Windass n 868.6
00/0
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Windass40612427 min140.5 /9040.1 /90491.8 /90291.1 /90381.4 /9060.2 /90
K. Moore39702730 min130.4 /9040.1 /90652.1 /90321.1 /90301 /90140.5 /90
N. Broadhead33591935 min90.4 /9040.2 /90351.6 /90140.7 /90321.5 /90291.3 /90
S. Smith26631647 min60.3 /9020.1 /90321.7 /90140.8 /90130.7 /9010.1 /90
B. Cadamarteri11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
G. Dobson n 887.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
L. O'Brien n 864.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Dobson n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 864.6
00/0
0.31/1
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Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough Goalkeeper

Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Brynn46904146 min1032.2 /90481 /9010 /90
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 890.8
1.53/2

Middlesbrough Defensive

Middlesbrough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Ayling42853561 min832.1 /90381 /90330.8 /902285.8 /90210.5 /9080.2 /90
M. Targett42803369 min521.4 /90471.3 /9070.2 /901133 /90240.6 /9050.1 /90
C. Brittain41883620 min651.6 /90451.1 /9070.2 /901854.6 /90350.9 /9060.1 /90
D. Fry24721738 min201 /90170.9 /90321.7 /901226.3 /90110.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Jones23861976 min351.6 /90221 /90200.9 /90853.9 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
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Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Conway n 881
1.46/4
2.26/4
—
S. Brynn n 890.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
—
L. Ayling n 882.4
0.32/0
1.45/2
D. Hyam
M. Targett n 874.9
0.32/0
0.63/1
G. Dobson
C. Brittain n 889.9
0.64/1
0.63/2
—
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Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Conway n 881
0.84/2
L. Ayling n 882.4
2.28/4
M. Targett n 874.9
0.94/2
C. Brittain n 889.9
1.68/4
A. Morris n 890.8
3.68/7
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Middlesbrough Attacking

Middlesbrough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Conway47773637 min120.3 /9050.1 /90461.1 /90300.7 /90631.6 /90370.9 /90
D. Strelec30591768 min70.4 /9010.1 /90351.8 /90211.1 /90170.9 /90120.6 /90
D. Burgzorg21551156 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.4 /9090.7 /90251.9 /90100.8 /90
K. Sène2131652 min20.3 /9000 /9081.1 /9020.3 /9030.4 /9040.6 /90
S. Hansen1337484 min00 /9000 /90101.9 /9040.7 /9061.1 /9071.3 /90
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Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Conway n 881
0.84/2
0.63/1
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
L. Ayling n 882.4
1.27/2
0.43/0
M. Targett n 874.9
0.63/1
0.21/0
C. Brittain n 889.9
0.64/1
0.42/1
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Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Middlesbrough before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Conway n 881
0.63/1
0.11/0
S. Brynn n 890.8
00/0
00/0
L. Ayling n 882.4
00/0
00/0
M. Targett n 874.9
00/0
00/0
C. Brittain n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamMiddlesbrough
48%Possession52%
1.70Expected goals (xG)2.12
20Shots11
8Shots on target5
5Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box8
6Corners3
1Offsides3
11Fouls5
2Saves6
449Passes489
82%Pass accuracy84%

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Ward9000000007.6
D. Hyam9000000106.2
C. Doyle9000003207.2
G. Thomason9000003407.6
J. Windass9010422007.6
S. Smith9010321007.7
M. James8300101207
D. Scarr7300000006.3
I. Kaboré7301001007
G. Dobson6300000006.6
O. Rathbone6300330006.2
B. Sheaf sub2700000006.9
N. Broadhead sub2700002007.5
R. Longman sub1700001006.9
K. Moore sub1700210006.5
D. Keillor-Dunn sub1300000006.3

Middlesbrough Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Brynn9000000007.7
D. Fry9000000106.9
A. Malanda9000001106.3
C. Brittain9000000006.7
A. Morris9000001107.3
M. Targett9001003308.2
T. Conway9010210007.3
L. Ayling8700202207.3
M. Whittaker7100100006.3
D. Strelec7110221008.3
A. Browne4500000106.2
R. McGree sub4500000207
Leo Castledine sub1900220107.2
J. Sarmiento sub1900000006.5
K. Sène sub900000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Middlesbrough — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
MiddlesbroughDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Wrexham 0 · 1 draw · Middlesbrough 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham
League standing · 2025/26
Wrexham#7 pos71 pts46 pl+4 GD
Middlesbrough#5 pos80 pts46 pl+25 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.5
Middlesbrough scored1.57
Wrexham conceded1.41
Middlesbrough conceded1.02

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Middlesbrough?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Middlesbrough was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Middlesbrough?
In their last 1 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Middlesbrough won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Middlesbrough?
Recent form — Wrexham 2W 0D 3L; Middlesbrough 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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