WrexhamSouthampton

Wrexham v Southampton result

Full-time · Wrexham 1–5 Southampton

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wrexham · Southampton

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 1–5 Southampton — Southampton won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Southampton won 5–1 at Wrexham in the Championship on Tuesday 7 April. Southampton are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Southampton led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Southampton: Kuryu Matsuki (12’, assisted by Finn Azaz), Flynn Downes (22’), Cyle Larin (61’), Ross Stewart (81’, assisted by Welington) and Finn Azaz (83’, assisted by Shea Charles); Wrexham: Joshua Windass (34’, assisted by Kieffer Moore).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kuryu Matsuki’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wrexham 1.28, Southampton 2.61, from 11 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Ward showed five yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wrexham: Callum Doyle (37’) and Ryan Longman (81’); Southampton: Jack Stephens (66’), Welington (72’) and Finn Azaz (79’).

What it changes

Wrexham move down from sixth to seventh (41 league matches played). Wrexham have scored 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Wrexham have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton move down from fifth to sixth (40 league matches played). Southampton have scored 82 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Southampton have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 41, across 12 matches. Wrexham have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions. Southampton have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Finn Azaz (Southampton) 7.6, Flynn Downes (Southampton) 7.1 and Shea Charles (Southampton) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wrexham or Southampton (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 1–5 Southampton · Championship
  • Referee: G. Ward
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Wrexham 0 · draws 0 · Southampton 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 2W 1D 2L · Southampton 4W 1D 0L

Wrexham 1–5 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.86 / 5
Corners
against 6.14 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.86 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.92 yellows
Referee · G. Ward
21.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.86 for · 6.14 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 12.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.43 for · 8.43 against n 7
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: G. Ward — 2.92 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo38903426 min1062.8 /90461.2 /9010 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 890
2.86/6

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Cleworth40903594 min721.8 /90360.9 /90290.7 /901914.8 /90270.7 /9050.1 /90
D. Hyam36903230 min340.9 /90401.1 /90240.7 /901704.7 /90290.8 /9040.1 /90
C. Doyle31832564 min481.7 /90351.2 /90170.6 /901675.9 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
D. Scarr14781095 min50.4 /90121 /90110.9 /90594.8 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
G. Dobson37722654 min903.1 /90280.9 /90170.6 /901675.7 /90331.1 /9070.2 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.63/2
0.32/0
Ryan Manning
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
G. Dobson n 874.6
1.26/2
0.21/0
F. Downes
D. Hyam n 890
0.96/1
15/3
Ryan Manning
L. O'Brien n 890
14/3
1.57/3
F. Downes
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
2.37/6
G. Dobson n 874.6
2.97/6
D. Hyam n 890
1.16/1
L. O'Brien n 890
28/6
K. Moore n 854.6
0.21/0
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore35722535 min130.5 /9030.1 /90622.2 /90321.1 /90260.9 /90120.4 /90
J. Windass35592078 min110.5 /9040.2 /90411.8 /90261.1 /90331.4 /9050.2 /90
N. Broadhead30611817 min90.4 /9040.2 /90341.7 /90140.7 /90301.5 /90271.3 /90
S. Smith22641409 min60.4 /9010.1 /90281.8 /90120.8 /90110.7 /9000 /90
B. Cadamarteri11515 min00 /9000 /9016 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Dobson n 874.6
0.84/1
0.21/0
D. Hyam n 890
0.43/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.32/0
00/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Dobson n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 890
00/0
0.52/2
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gavin Bazunu19901710 min432.3 /90281.5 /9000 /90
Daniel Peretz16901440 min503.1 /90130.8 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 890
37/7
Daniel Peretz n 890
4.16/5

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Taylor Harwood-Bellis38893393 min310.8 /90350.9 /90320.8 /902165.7 /90300.8 /90100.3 /90
Nathan Wood30852542 min291 /90240.8 /90281 /901083.8 /90230.8 /9050.2 /90
J. Stephens28872436 min261 /90291.1 /90250.9 /90752.8 /90110.4 /9040.1 /90
Welington1563938 min323.1 /90161.5 /9030.3 /90696.6 /90201.9 /9010.1 /90
Joshua Quarshie14861210 min151.1 /90120.9 /9070.5 /90574.2 /90141 /9030.2 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ryan Manning n 889.8
16/2
16/2
D. Hyam
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.53/1
1.35/4
—
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.53/1
1.46/4
—
F. Downes n 882.3
1.86/4
1.14/3
L. O'Brien
Caspar Jander n 871.9
1.77/2
1.15/2
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.8
2.58/6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.83/3
Finn Azaz n 887.1
1.57/2
F. Downes n 882.3
1.47/2
Caspar Jander n 871.9
2.55/5
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Armstrong29732115 min110.5 /9040.2 /90672.9 /90381.6 /90251.1 /90130.6 /90
Cameron Archer22461016 min40.4 /9020.2 /90211.9 /90111 /90111 /90131.2 /90
Jay Robinson2143911 min20.2 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /90101 /90272.7 /90
Ross Stewart2044885 min70.7 /9030.3 /90202 /90151.5 /90111.1 /9010.1 /90
Cyle Larin1054536 min30.5 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9050.8 /9050.8 /9030.5 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.8
0.53/1
0.32/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.95/2
0.11/0
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.95/2
0.65/0
F. Downes n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Caspar Jander n 871.9
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 4 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ryan Manning n 889.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
Taylor Harwood-Bellis n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 887.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Downes n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
Caspar Jander n 871.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamSouthampton
54%Possession46%
1.28Expected goals (xG)2.61
11Shots16
2Shots on target9
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box11
3Corners4
1Offsides2
12Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves1
460Passes383
84%Pass accuracy78%

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Okonkwo9000000006.3
M. Cleworth9000000105.7
D. Hyam9000100005.3
C. Doyle90000000Y6.2
L. O'Brien9000111206.2
G. Thomason9000000206.3
J. Windass8410210007.3
K. Moore8401203107
I. Kaboré7300001207
G. Dobson7200001306.9
N. Broadhead7200102006.5
O. Rathbone sub1800000106.2
M. James sub1800000006.2
R. Longman sub17000000Y6.3
S. Smith sub1000000006.5
D. Keillor-Dunn sub1000000006.7

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000006.7
James Bree9000000306.3
Taylor Harwood-Bellis9000100307.5
J. Stephens90000000Y7
F. Downes9010111207.6
Shea Charles9001003107.2
K. Matsuki8510111007.9
Finn Azaz85114220Y8.3
Cyle Larin6610420007.3
Ryan Manning6500001306.9
Samuel Edozie5800110006.2
Leo Scienza sub3200110006.7
Welington sub25010010Y7.2
Ross Stewart sub2410110007.2
Cameron Archer sub900001006.6
Nathan Wood sub900000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SouthamptonDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Wrexham 0 · 0 draws · Southampton 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Southampton 2–1 Wrexham
League standing · 2025/26
Wrexham#7 pos71 pts46 pl+4 GD
Southampton#4 pos80 pts46 pl+26 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.5
Southampton scored1.78
Wrexham conceded1.41
Southampton conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Southampton was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Southampton?
In their last 1 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Southampton won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Southampton?
Recent form — Wrexham 2W 1D 2L; Southampton 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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