This Matchweek

WrexhamSouthampton

Wrexham v Southampton result

Full-time · Wrexham 2–1 Southampton

Championship · · Racecourse Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wrexham · Southampton

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 2–1 Southampton — Wrexham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.47 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1452 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham beat Southampton 2–1 at Racecourse Ground in the Championship on Saturday 19 September. Southampton have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Wrexham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (35’, assisted by Benjamin Whiteman); Southampton: James Ward-Prowse (50’, assisted by Samuel Edozie) and an own goal by Keven Schlotterbeck (89’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Southampton out-shot Wrexham 20 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.08 xG to 0.54 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Gavin Ward, England showed five yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wrexham: Dominic Hyam (86’); Southampton: Cyle Larin (14’), Nathan Wood (69’), Ryan Manning (90+2’) and Flynn Downes (90+5’).

What it changes

Wrexham have scored 17 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wrexham have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton have scored 29 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Southampton have conceded 14 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Ward-Prowse (Southampton) 7.3, Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 5.9 and Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Southampton, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (989 of 1452).

Next up

Wrexham next host Wolves on 7 November 2026.

Southampton next travel to Preston on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Southampton: Preston v Southampton, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 2–1 Southampton · Championship
  • Venue: Racecourse Ground · Wrexham
  • Referee: Gavin Ward, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Wrexham 0 · draws 0 · Southampton 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 1W 2D 2L · Southampton 3W 2D 0L

Wrexham 2–1 Southampton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Gavin Ward, England
19.82 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineSouthampton for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Gavin Ward, England — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 19.82 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Patterson790630 min162.3 /90111.6 /9000 /90
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Patterson n 790
2.35/3
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Doyle890720 min121.5 /90151.9 /9060.8 /90465.8 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
D. Hyam882653 min71 /9071 /9030.4 /90324.4 /9071 /9030.4 /90
Z. Vyner685510 min71.2 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90193.4 /9050.9 /9000 /90
I. Kaboré545227 min41.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90104 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
M. Cleworth370210 min31.3 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90125.1 /9020.9 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Doyle n 890
0.64/1
0.63/2
James Bree
D. Hyam n 881.6
14/2
1.15/3
James Bree
B. Whiteman n 872.6
1.24/3
0.32/0
F. Downes
K. Moore n 852
1.36/0
2.66/4
—
S. Smith n 839.1
2.36/1
2.66/2
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
1.56/4
D. Hyam n 881.6
15/2
B. Whiteman n 872.6
1.24/3
K. Moore n 852
1.14/1
S. Smith n 839.1
00/0
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore852416 min20.4 /9000 /90102.2 /9071.5 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
S. Smith839313 min00 /9000 /9061.7 /9030.9 /9010.3 /9020.6 /90
N. Broadhead474296 min00 /9000 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9072.1 /90
J. Windass440159 min00 /9010.6 /9031.7 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
C. O'Hare371213 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9031.3 /9020.8 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
1.16/1
0.84/1
D. Hyam n 881.6
0.32/0
00/0
B. Whiteman n 872.6
0.32/0
00/0
K. Moore n 852
2.25/2
1.55/2
S. Smith n 839.1
1.73/2
0.92/1
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 881.6
00/0
00/0
B. Whiteman n 872.6
00/0
00/0
K. Moore n 852
0.42/0
00/0
S. Smith n 839.1
00/0
00/0
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Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel Peretz991816 min273 /90121.3 /9000 /90
Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 890
2.85/5

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
James Bree991816 min111.2 /9091 /9050.6 /90232.5 /9080.9 /9020.2 /90
Ryan Manning791634 min30.4 /9071 /9010.1 /90223.1 /9060.9 /9020.3 /90
Nathan Wood690540 min81.3 /9050.8 /9061 /90305 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
J. Stephens591456 min40.8 /9040.8 /9081.6 /90153 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Schlotterbeck589447 min51 /9091.8 /9081.6 /90316.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
James Bree n 890
0.86/0
0.43/0
D. Hyam
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Leo Scienza n 874.6
0.84/1
3.28/7
—
F. Downes n 871.3
1.44/3
1.76/4
B. Whiteman
Finn Azaz n 872.8
0.21/0
0.52/1
—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
James Bree n 890
1.16/2
Leo Scienza n 874.6
1.15/2
F. Downes n 871.3
3.27/4
Finn Azaz n 872.8
1.26/2
K. Matsuki n 872.3
1.45/2
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Cyle Larin868546 min81.3 /9000 /90254.1 /90132.1 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90
D. Mubama536179 min00 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /90
B. Brereton16262 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Cameron Archer12121 min00 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Leo Scienza975672 min30.4 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9070.9 /90141.9 /90131.7 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
James Bree n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 874.6
1.86/4
1.15/2
F. Downes n 871.3
0.21/0
00/0
Finn Azaz n 872.8
1.46/3
0.64/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 12 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
James Bree n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Daniel Peretz n 890
00/0
00/0
Leo Scienza n 874.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
F. Downes n 871.3
00/0
0.32/0
Finn Azaz n 872.8
0.53/0
0.63/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamSouthampton
34%Possession66%
0.54Expected goals (xG)2.08
8Shots20
4Shots on target7
4Shots off target8
1Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box13
2Corners3
0Offsides2
8Fouls7
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
6Saves3
344Passes670
80%Pass accuracy90%

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000007.2
B. Whiteman9001001007
Z. Vyner9000000307.3
C. O'Hare9000420206.6
I. Kaboré9000000006.7
D. Hyam90000001Y6.3
J. Ekomié9000000306.6
C. Doyle9000001207
J. Windass8600113007
K. Moore7210211008.2
B. Sheaf6500000006.6
M. James sub2500000006.9
S. Smith sub1800100106.3
L. O'Brien sub800000006.6

Southampton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel Peretz9000000007.2
Nathan Wood90000003Y7.2
J. Ward-Prowse9010332207.5
K. Schlotterbeck9000200206.3
Ryan Manning90002030Y6.7
F. Downes90000042Y7.2
Finn Azaz9000222005.9
James Bree8900001006.5
Cyle Larin86004100Y6.3
K. Matsuki7600211206.2
Leo Scienza4500001106.7
Samuel Edozie sub4501001006.5
Tom Fellows sub1400000006.5
D. Mubama sub900000006.3
L. Dobbin sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Southampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
SouthamptonWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Wrexham 0 · 0 draws · Southampton 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-07 Wrexham 1–5 Southampton
  • 2025-08-09 Southampton 2–1 Wrexham
League standing · 2026/27
Wrexham#16 pos17 pts14 pl-2 GD
Southampton#7 pos24 pts14 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.21
Southampton scored2.07
Wrexham conceded1.36
Southampton conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Southampton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Southampton was Draw or Away (best price 1.47 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Southampton?
In their last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Southampton won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Southampton?
Recent form — Wrexham 1W 2D 2L; Southampton 3W 2D 0L.

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