WrexhamStoke City

Wrexham v Stoke City result

Full-time · Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wrexham · Stoke City

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City — Wrexham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham beat Stoke City 2–0 in the Championship on Saturday 18 April.

The goals

Wrexham led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Wrexham: Joshua Windass (31’, assisted by George Thomason; 33’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joshua Windass’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Wrexham 1.25, Stoke City 0.35, from 9 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Herczeg showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Stoke City: Million Manhoef (47’).

What it changes

Wrexham stay seventh after this result (43 league matches played). Wrexham have scored 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Wrexham have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stoke City move down from 14th to 17th (43 league matches played). Stoke City have scored 51 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Stoke City have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stoke City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, George Thomason (Wrexham) 8.0, Callum Doyle (Wrexham) 4.6 and Joshua Windass (Wrexham) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wrexham or Stoke City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City · Championship
  • Referee: A. Herczeg
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Wrexham 0 · draws 0 · Stoke City 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 1W 1D 3L · Stoke City 2W 1D 2L

Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5
Corners
against 4.86 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2 / 4
Shots on target
against 6 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.18 yellows
Referee · A. Herczeg
21.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineStoke City for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
9.57 for · 13.57 against n 7
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
2 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.86 for · 9.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.75 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: A. Herczeg — 3.18 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.64 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo40903606 min1162.9 /90531.3 /9010 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 890
3.67/7

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Cleworth42903774 min771.8 /90360.9 /90290.7 /902014.8 /90290.7 /9060.1 /90
D. Hyam37903320 min340.9 /90431.2 /90240.7 /901734.7 /90290.8 /9040.1 /90
C. Doyle33832744 min501.6 /90371.2 /90180.6 /901876.1 /90250.8 /9060.2 /90
D. Scarr15791185 min50.4 /90141.1 /90131 /90675.1 /9060.5 /9040.3 /90
G. Dobson39722816 min953 /90321 /90170.5 /901765.6 /90361.2 /9070.2 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.53/1
0.11/0
—
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
G. Dobson n 876.8
1.57/3
00/0
—
D. Hyam n 890
0.85/1
15/3
S. Thomas
L. O'Brien n 890
1.46/4
1.67/4
—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
2.58/6
G. Dobson n 876.8
2.67/6
D. Hyam n 890
15/1
L. O'Brien n 890
1.98/5
K. Moore n 851.9
0.21/0
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore37732693 min130.4 /9040.1 /90642.1 /90321.1 /90301 /90120.4 /90
J. Windass37592189 min120.5 /9040.2 /90431.8 /90271.1 /90331.4 /9060.2 /90
N. Broadhead32601916 min90.4 /9040.2 /90351.6 /90140.7 /90321.5 /90291.4 /90
S. Smith23621425 min60.4 /9010.1 /90281.8 /90120.8 /90110.7 /9000 /90
O. Rathbone2049975 min50.5 /9010.1 /90171.6 /90100.9 /90121.1 /9040.4 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Dobson n 876.8
0.63/1
0.11/0
D. Hyam n 890
0.54/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Cleworth n 889.3
0.11/0
00/0
A. Okonkwo n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Dobson n 876.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 890
00/0
0.31/1
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson24902160 min702.9 /90220.9 /9000 /90
Tommy Simkin16901440 min422.6 /90221.4 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu492367 min71.7 /9030.7 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.47/6
Tommy Simkin n 890
36/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Phillips40843351 min220.6 /90300.8 /90361 /901594.3 /90270.7 /9070.2 /90
B. Wilmot36873134 min351 /90200.6 /90210.6 /901644.7 /90150.4 /9050.1 /90
Bosun Lawal28782190 min471.9 /90140.6 /90130.5 /901586.5 /90230.9 /9070.3 /90
A. Cresswell24821963 min241.1 /90200.9 /9070.3 /90612.8 /9050.2 /9010 /90
E. Bocat24701672 min301.6 /90321.7 /90100.5 /90945.1 /90100.5 /9000 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.84/2
0.94/1
D. Hyam
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.63/2
0.43/0
—
Bae Jun-Ho n 860.8
0.42/0
1.55/2
—
M. Manhoef n 863.1
25/4
1.46/2
—
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.54/0
0.74/1
—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.85/1
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.94/2
Bae Jun-Ho n 860.8
1.74/3
M. Manhoef n 863.1
1.13/3
B. Wilmot n 882.5
1.54/3
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Cissé25621556 min30.2 /9030.2 /90231.3 /90130.8 /90221.3 /90150.9 /90
D. Mubama24701688 min50.3 /9010.1 /90251.3 /90140.7 /9070.4 /90120.6 /90
R. Boženík1354708 min10.1 /9000 /90162 /9081 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Gallagher1240478 min20.4 /9000 /9050.9 /9040.8 /9050.9 /9030.6 /90
M. Smit1056563 min20.3 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.42/1
0.32/0
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.43/0
0.22/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 860.8
0.95/0
0.21/0
M. Manhoef n 863.1
25/3
1.12/1
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.11/0
0.54/0
A. Phillips n 890.5
00/0
00/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 860.8
0.21/0
00/0
M. Manhoef n 863.1
0.41/1
0.21/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamStoke City
53%Possession47%
1.25Expected goals (xG)0.35
9Shots6
4Shots on target0
3Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box5
2Corners6
5Offsides1
8Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves1
446Passes374
82%Pass accuracy78%

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Ward9000000007.2
I. Kaboré9000000206.6
D. Hyam9000000106.9
D. Scarr9000000107.2
C. Doyle9000001407.3
G. Thomason9010220408.3
G. Dobson9000000106.9
M. James9000000107
S. Smith7900100006.5
J. Windass7810311007.3
O. Rathbone7300111206.9
L. O'Brien sub1700000106.7
N. Broadhead sub1200000006.5
K. Moore sub1100000006.5

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gavin Bazunu9000000006.3
S. Thomas9000000006.3
E. Bocat9000001005.9
B. Pearson9000000107.7
M. Manhoef90001002Y5.7
Bae Jun-Ho9000001006.7
L. Cissé9000301206.3
Bosun Lawal8600000006.2
L. Baker6800000006.5
S. Gallagher5200001106.6
A. Cresswell4500000005.7
J. Rak-Sakyi sub4500000206.6
R. Boženík sub3800000006.3
T. Seko sub2200001106.9
R. Otegbayo sub1100000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Stoke CityWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Wrexham 0 · 0 draws · Stoke City 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Stoke City 1–0 Wrexham
League standing · 2025/26
Wrexham#7 pos71 pts46 pl+4 GD
Stoke City#17 pos55 pts46 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.5
Stoke City scored1.11
Wrexham conceded1.41
Stoke City conceded1.22

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Stoke City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Stoke City was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Stoke City?
In their last 1 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Stoke City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Stoke City?
Recent form — Wrexham 1W 1D 3L; Stoke City 2W 1D 2L.

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