Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA Gama result

Full-time · Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · · Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama — this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.22 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Independiente Medellin and Vasco DA Gama drew 2–2 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 22 July.

The goals

Independiente Medellin led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Independiente Medellin: J. Montano (45’, assisted by Yony Gonzalez; 72’, assisted by Jeison Medina) and an own goal by J. Varela (46’); Vasco DA Gama: Claudio Spinelli (86’, assisted by Cuiabano).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Independiente Medellin 1.34, Vasco DA Gama 1.04, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Piero Maza, Chile showed two yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Independiente Medellin: H. Loboa (37’); Vasco DA Gama: Cauan Barros (58’).

What it changes

Vasco DA Gama are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Montano (Independiente Medellin) 11.3, Cuiabano (Vasco DA Gama) 10.2 and Yony Gonzalez (Independiente Medellin) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Vasco DA Gama next host Boca Juniors on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vasco DA Gama: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Medellin
  • Referee: Piero Maza, Chile
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Independiente Medellin 2W 1D 2L · Vasco DA Gama 1W 0D 4L

Independiente Medellin 2–2 Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.38
Corners
against 4 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIndependiente Medellin for / againstLineVasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
9.63 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Piero Maza, Chile.

Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Larrosa n 838.1
3.87/5
1.53/2
—
F. Fydriszewski n 877.5
3.67/6
14/2
—
H. Palacios n 829.6
2.35/1
0.82/0
—
J. Montano n 838.6
25/2
0.93/0
Nuno Moreira
F. Chaverra n 841.6
1.95/2
2.76/1
—
Independiente Medellin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Chaverra n 841.6
4.68/4
1.95/1
E. Larrosa n 838.1
2.15/2
0.93/0
H. Palacios n 829.6
1.93/2
1.52/2
Yony Gonzalez n 845.1
1.74/2
0.72/1
F. Fydriszewski n 877.5
1.55/3
0.64/0
Independiente Medellin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Palacios n 829.6
0.82/0
00/0
F. Chaverra n 841.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Larrosa n 838.1
0.62/0
00/0
F. Fydriszewski n 877.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Serna n 762.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Independiente Medellin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Serna n 762.1
2.96/4
H. Palacios n 829.6
2.75/2
H. Loboa n 867.1
2.37/5
D. Catano n 858.8
2.38/3
J. Montano n 838.6
2.35/2
Independiente Medellin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Chaux n 675.8
4.24/4
S. Ichazo n 493.8
2.64/2
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Claudio Spinelli n 863.3
2.57/2
2.56/4
—
Cauan Barros n 887.1
2.26/5
2.17/6
—
Hugo Moura n 851.5
25/3
1.32/1
—
Nuno Moreira n 853.8
1.75/3
15/0
J. Montano
Cuiabano n 876.1
1.67/2
1.67/2
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Claudio Spinelli n 863.3
3.48/5
27/4
Johan Rojas n 870.4
2.75/5
1.45/4
Brenner n 845.1
2.26/1
0.73/0
Puma Rodríguez n 881.5
1.97/5
0.63/1
Adson n 863.6
1.96/4
1.86/3
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Adson n 863.6
0.52/1
0.52/1
Johan Rojas n 870.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
Nuno Moreira n 853.8
00/0
0.42/0
Ramon Rique n 541.2
00/0
0.41/0
Thiago Mendes n 883.8
0.32/0
00/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 850.5
4.28/5
V. Joao n 539
3.73/2
Riquelme Avellar n 636.3
3.75/2
Cuiabano n 876.1
3.38/4
Marino Hinestroza n 842
2.75/4
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 891.6
3.97/7

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
47%Possession53%
1.34Expected goals (xG)1.04
12Shots13
3Shots on target4
2Shots off target7
7Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box6
3Corners6
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
416Passes448
84%Pass accuracy87%

Independiente Medellin player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Chaux9000000006.7
E. Mena Perea9000002506.9
K. Mantilla9000001007
J. Varela9000000006
D. Moreno9000001506.9
J. Montano9020220409
A. Martegani8400002006.3
J. Córdoba8400001006.3
J. Mena8000100206.7
H. Loboa70000001Y6.5
Yony Gonzalez7001112107.3
D. Catano sub2000001006.3
Jeison Medina sub2001001007
H. Palacios sub1200000006.3
D. Moreno sub1200000006.3
L. Escorcia sub1000100106.5

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Léo Jardim9000000006.3
Carlos Cuesta9000000106.3
Robert Renan9000000106.9
Cuiabano9001003506.9
Cauan Barros90000000Y7.2
Thiago Mendes9000300406.3
Andrés Gómez8000213106.3
Puma Rodríguez7100000006
Brenner7000110006.9
Adson5900111206.9
Nuno Moreira5900201006.2
Marino Hinestroza sub3100000006.5
Johan Rojas sub3100001106.6
Claudio Spinelli sub2010210007.7
Paulo Henrique sub1900000006.3
Ramon Rique sub1000000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Independiente MedellinDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Vasco DA GamaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2024
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Independiente Medellin#1 pos13 pts6 pl+9 GD
Vasco DA Gama#2 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Independiente Medellin scored2.67
Vasco DA Gama scored1.67
Independiente Medellin conceded1.17
Vasco DA Gama conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA Gama?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Independiente Medellin v Vasco DA Gama was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.22 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Independiente Medellin and Vasco DA Gama?
Recent form — Independiente Medellin 2W 1D 2L; Vasco DA Gama 1W 0D 4L.

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