Atlético Baleares v Eldense prediction

Copa del Rey · · Estadio Balear

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Atlético Baleares v Eldense, Copa del Rey on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Atlético Baleares host Eldense in the Copa del Rey on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Eldense, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Three of Atlético Baleares’s last 10 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (30%). Both teams scored in four of Atlético Baleares’s last 10 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Atlético Baleares have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.86.

10 of Eldense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Eldense’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Eldense have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.63.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atlético Baleares the stronger side, 10 rating points above Eldense (Atlético Baleares 1766, Eldense 1756, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Atlético Baleares XI (4-4-2): Rivas, A. Cea, G. Castell, J. Pol, V. Morillo, G. Bonet, J. Cherta, U. Taffertshofer, M. Martín, J. Tovar, J. Duran — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.

Predicted Eldense XI (4-2-3-1): R. Vila, F. Smand, A. G. Serradell, J. Larios, J. Clemente, C. Guirao, A. Olabarrieta, Fidel, J. Smith, J. Martínez, J. Rastrojo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jesús Clemente (3.5 per match over eight appearances) and J. Smith (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) have been Eldense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eldense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jesús Clemente averages 3.6 tackles per 90 over 658 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. J. Smith averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 848 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Copa del Rey · Estadio Balear
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Atlético Baleares 2W 1D 2L · Eldense 3W 0D 2L

Atlético Baleares v Eldense (Copa del Rey): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.6 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.8 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.2 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtlético Baleares for / againstLineEldense for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.6 for · 4.8 against n 5
9.5standard
5.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
9.2 for · 9 against n 5
19.5standard
13.13 for · 12.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 2.2 against n 5
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.8 for · 16.8 against n 5
21.5standard
12.75 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.5 against n 6
3.5standard
2.63 for · 3.5 against n 8

Eldense

Eldense Goalkeeper

Eldense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ramón Vila1090900 min313.1 /90111.1 /9000 /90
Juanpa19090 min55 /9011 /9000 /90
Eldense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ramón Vila n 890
3.17/5

Eldense Defensive

Eldense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Smand1190990 min111 /90191.7 /9080.7 /90333 /9060.5 /9000 /90
A. G. Serradell1090895 min121.2 /90101 /9040.4 /90444.4 /90101 /9030.3 /90
Jesús Clemente882658 min263.6 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90486.6 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
D. Ruiz683499 min50.9 /9030.5 /9000 /90122.2 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90
Juan Larios667401 min214.7 /9061.3 /9000 /90347.6 /90143.1 /9030.7 /90
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Eldense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Smand n 890
0.84/1
0.65/0
—
Fidel n 875.6
0.72/1
1.25/2
—
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
1.17/2
1.88/5
—
J. Smith n 880.4
2.28/6
1.56/5
—
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Eldense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
1.34/3
Fidel n 875.6
0.73/2
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
0.96/1
J. Smith n 880.4
2.98/7
Javi Martínez n 847.3
0.21/0
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Eldense Attacking

Eldense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jorge Rastrojo946412 min20.4 /9010.2 /9092 /9051.1 /9061.3 /9092 /90
Manu Nieto753369 min00 /9000 /90122.9 /9020.5 /9041 /9010.2 /90
M. Carmona662373 min20.5 /9000 /9071.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
Waldo Rubio341122 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.5 /9021.5 /90
Fidel1178861 min20.2 /9000 /90121.3 /9060.6 /90272.8 /9070.7 /90
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Eldense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Fidel n 875.6
1.26/2
0.63/1
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
00/0
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
J. Smith n 880.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Eldense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Eldense before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Smand n 890
00/0
00/0
Fidel n 875.6
0.32/0
00/0
Ramón Vila n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. G. Serradell n 889.4
00/0
00/0
J. Smith n 880.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Atlético Baleares v Eldense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atlético BalearesLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
EldenseLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Atlético Baleares scored1.2
Eldense scored1.8
Atlético Baleares conceded1
Eldense conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Atlético Baleares v Eldense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atlético Baleares v Eldense is Draw or Away (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Atlético Baleares and Eldense?
Recent form — Atlético Baleares 2W 1D 2L; Eldense 3W 0D 2L.

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