FC Midtjylland v Odense prediction

DBU Pokalen · · MCH Arena

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 1.5 goals the free pick for FC Midtjylland v Odense, DBU Pokalen on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 1.5 goals
Best price: 1.18 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 1.5 goals in the last 90 days, 80.4% of 4951 landed (95% range 79.3–81.5%); it had given them 80.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Midtjylland host Odense in DBU Pokalen on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 18:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 1.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Odense are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. FC Midtjylland are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Odense, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of FC Midtjylland’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, FC Midtjylland have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00.

Seven of Odense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Odense’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Odense have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 1.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Midtjylland the stronger side, 260 rating points above Odense (FC Midtjylland 2534, Odense 2274, after at least 35 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Odense 1–1 FC Midtjylland.

Team news

Predicted FC Midtjylland XI (3-4-1-2): N. Bakker, M. Bech Sorensen, O. Diao, A. Maxso, P. Billing, S. Johannesen, K. Wätjen, P. Bravo, J. Emefile, F. Etim, S. Iheanacho — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darío Osorio (5.2 per match over nine appearances, two goals and three assists) and Philip Billing (4.7 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been FC Midtjylland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Midtjylland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darío Osorio averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1249 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Philip Billing averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1380 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Odense XI (4-2-3-1): V. Myhra, J. Askou, J. Pauli, M. McCoy, M. Andersen, R. Falk, F. Ulvestad, I. Ouedraogo, N. Juul-Sandberg, C. Gammelgaard, N. Ganaus — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Ganaus (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, four goals) and T. Keskinen (3.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Odense’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Odense (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Ganaus averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 964 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. T. Keskinen averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1228 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · DBU Pokalen · MCH Arena
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Midtjylland 4 · draws 2 · Odense 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Midtjylland 3W 1D 1L · Odense 2W 3D 0L

FC Midtjylland v Odense (DBU Pokalen): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.57 / 5.57
Corners
against 3.86 / 4.71 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 4.43 / 4.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 2
Cards
against 2.29 / 2.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Midtjylland for / againstLineOdense for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5.57 for · 4.71 against n 7
Shots
13.14 for · 15.57 against n 7
19.5standard
14.29 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 4.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12 for · 13.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13.86 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 2.29 against n 7

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland Goalkeeper

FC Midtjylland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Olafsson13901175 min292.2 /90110.8 /9000 /90
N. Bakker590450 min163.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
FC Midtjylland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Midtjylland before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Olafsson n 890
2.87/5
N. Bakker n 590
3.24/4

FC Midtjylland Defensive

FC Midtjylland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Kristensen17891510 min372.2 /90171 /9060.4 /90694.1 /90140.8 /9050.3 /90
M. Bech Sorensen14871220 min161.2 /90151.1 /9060.4 /90533.9 /90161.2 /9020.1 /90
Magnus Jensen886690 min60.8 /90141.8 /90111.4 /90486.3 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90
M. Erlic870557 min81.3 /90182.9 /9061 /90355.7 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
Beni Junior854433 min71.5 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90173.5 /9061.2 /9000 /90
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FC Midtjylland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Midtjylland before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Kristensen n 886.9
0.96/1
0.53/1
—
P. Billing n 887.9
1.35/3
2.38/7
—
P. Bravo n 878.8
0.63/1
0.74/1
—
F. Etim n 874.3
2.37/4
2.15/5
—
D. Castillo n 861.1
0.93/2
3.57/5
—
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FC Midtjylland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Midtjylland before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Kristensen n 886.9
38/7
P. Billing n 887.9
1.47/3
P. Bravo n 878.8
0.94/1
F. Etim n 874.3
0.94/2
D. Castillo n 861.1
1.75/3
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FC Midtjylland Attacking

FC Midtjylland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Etim1659942 min60.6 /9030.3 /90313 /90181.7 /90131.2 /90111.1 /90
S. Iheanacho1647749 min50.6 /9010.1 /90222.6 /90101.2 /9050.6 /9050.6 /90
Cho Gue-Sung1561910 min50.5 /9010.1 /90181.8 /90101 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
Franculino862495 min30.5 /9020.4 /9071.3 /9050.9 /90101.8 /9050.9 /90
M. Rajović339116 min00 /9000 /9043.1 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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FC Midtjylland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Midtjylland before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kristensen n 886.9
0.94/2
0.53/1
P. Billing n 887.9
16/2
0.43/0
P. Bravo n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
F. Etim n 874.3
3.37/6
1.76/3
D. Castillo n 861.1
0.93/2
0.42/0
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FC Midtjylland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Midtjylland before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Kristensen n 886.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
P. Billing n 887.9
0.32/0
0.43/0
P. Bravo n 878.8
00/0
00/0
F. Etim n 874.3
0.64/0
0.21/0
D. Castillo n 861.1
0.42/0
00/0
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Odense

Odense Goalkeeper

Odense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Myhra1190994 min322.9 /90121.1 /9000 /90
M. Hansen19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Odense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Odense before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Myhra n 890
2.96/4
M. Hansen n 884.4
2.56/4

Odense Defensive

Odense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. McCoy12841012 min252.2 /90111 /9070.6 /90655.8 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
J. Askou1185937 min242.3 /90111.1 /9090.9 /90626 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90
J. Gomez989801 min171.9 /90131.5 /9070.8 /90404.5 /90141.6 /9030.3 /90
Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen971642 min182.5 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90324.5 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
A. Sorensen656334 min82.2 /9061.6 /9010.3 /90225.9 /9061.6 /9000 /90
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Odense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Odense before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. McCoy n 881
1.16/2
1.76/3
—
N. Ganaus n 875
1.36/2
1.55/3
—
T. Keskinen n 870.4
1.44/2
0.63/1
—
V. Myhra n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
J. Askou n 882.9
1.24/3
0.72/2
—
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Odense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Odense before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. McCoy n 881
2.16/4
N. Ganaus n 875
0.63/1
T. Keskinen n 870.4
1.45/3
J. Askou n 882.9
2.67/4
R. Falk n 873.6
2.17/4
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Odense Attacking

Odense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Ganaus1280964 min40.4 /9000 /90212 /90121.1 /90181.7 /90100.9 /90
A. Ahl-Holmström752364 min10.2 /9020.5 /90143.5 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
J. Grot32162 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
J. Niemiec254108 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9032.5 /9000 /90
Lasse Legolas22039 min00 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /90
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Odense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Odense before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. McCoy n 881
0.74/1
0.11/0
N. Ganaus n 875
2.47/5
1.34/2
T. Keskinen n 870.4
2.26/3
1.15/1
V. Myhra n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Askou n 882.9
0.53/1
00/0
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Odense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Odense before kick-off, to 26 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. McCoy n 881
00/0
00/0
N. Ganaus n 875
0.53/0
00/0
T. Keskinen n 870.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
V. Myhra n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Askou n 882.9
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Midtjylland v Odense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC MidtjyllandWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
OdenseWDDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Midtjylland 4 · 2 draws · Odense 0 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-19 Odense 1–1 FC Midtjylland
  • 2026-02-15 Odense 1–4 FC Midtjylland
  • 2025-07-20 FC Midtjylland 3–3 Odense
  • 2023-10-23 Odense 1–2 FC Midtjylland
  • 2023-09-24 FC Midtjylland 2–1 Odense
  • 2023-06-03 FC Midtjylland 4–2 Odense
Goals per game
FC Midtjylland scored1.6
Odense scored1.2
FC Midtjylland conceded1.2
Odense conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Midtjylland v Odense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Midtjylland v Odense is Over 1.5 goals (best price 1.18 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Midtjylland and Odense?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Midtjylland won 4, Odense won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Midtjylland and Odense?
Recent form — FC Midtjylland 3W 1D 1L; Odense 2W 3D 0L.

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