Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli result

Full-time · Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 FC St. Pauli

DFB Pokal · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 17:00 BST · Stadion Essen

Updated 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rot-Weiß Essen · FC St. Pauli

The model’s pre-match pick

Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 FC St. Pauli — Rot-Weiß Essen won this DFB Pokal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Rot-Weiß Essen beat FC St. Pauli 2–0 at Stadion Essen in the DFB Pokal on Sunday 23 August. FC St. Pauli are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rot-Weiß Essen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rot-Weiß Essen: M. Janssen (36’, assisted by Marvin Obuz) and S. Telalović (53’, assisted by Jannik Hofmann).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Telalović’s goal on 53 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rot-Weiß Essen 0.00, FC St. Pauli 0.00, from 19 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tobias Reichel, Germany showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Rot-Weiß Essen: Tony Menzel (44’) and S. Telalović (77’); FC St. Pauli: A. Pyrka (27’) and M. Mathisen (90+1’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Hrgota (FC St. Pauli) 6.8, M. Janssen (Rot-Weiß Essen) 5.6 and S. Telalović (Rot-Weiß Essen) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC St. Pauli next host 1. FC Nürnberg on 1 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC St. Pauli: FC St. Pauli v 1. FC Nürnberg, Sunday 1 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 FC St. Pauli · DFB Pokal
Venue: Stadion Essen · Essen
Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 4L · FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L

Rot-Weiß Essen 2–0 FC St. Pauli (DFB Pokal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

2.67 / 6.38

Corners

against 7.67 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

4 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.67 / 6 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.67 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.33 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Rot-Weiß Essen for / against	Line	FC St. Pauli for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.67 for · 7.67 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.67 for · 12.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 3.67 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.33 for · 11.67 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	8.63 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.67 for · 1.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany.

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli Goalkeeper

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Voll	2	90180 min	105 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

FC St. Pauli — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Voll n 4	90	3.5 3/3

FC St. Pauli Defensive

FC St. Pauli — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Nemeth	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	136.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
M. Mathisen	2	90180 min	42 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	105 /90	00 /90	00 /90
T. Ando	2	90180 min	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90	73.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
L. Oppie	2	88175 min	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Rasmussen	2	88175 min	84.1 /90	21 /90	21 /90	147.2 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Ando n 8	90	0.9 6/1	1.6 5/4	—
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.6 5/0	—
B. Voll n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0	—
L. Oppie n 8	63.6	0.9 3/1	0.9 5/0	—
M. Kaars n 8	63.5	0.7 3/1	0.5 2/1	—
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FC St. Pauli — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Ando n 8	90	2.3 6/5
D. Nemeth n 8	90	1.3 6/2
M. Rasmussen n 8	82.9	2.7 8/5
L. Oppie n 8	63.6	2.5 7/3
M. Kaars n 8	63.5	0.5 2/1
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FC St. Pauli Attacking

FC St. Pauli — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Kaars	2	88175 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	73.6 /90	63.1 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
B. Hrgota	2	85170 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	31.6 /90
T. Hara	2	69137 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Jones	2	2243 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90	00 /90	12.1 /90	12.1 /90
L. Oppie	2	88175 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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FC St. Pauli — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.1 1/0
T. Ando n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
B. Voll n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Kaars n 8	63.5	1.6 4/2	1.2 3/2
L. Oppie n 8	63.6	0.7 4/0	0.4 2/0
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FC St. Pauli — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC St. Pauli before kick-off, to 14 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Nemeth n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Voll n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Ando n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Kaars n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
M. Rasmussen n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rot-Weiß Essen		FC St. Pauli
39%	Possession	61%
19	Shots	7
7	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	5
5	Blocked shots	0
14	Shots inside the box	6
7	Corners	1
3	Offsides	2
17	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	6
264	Passes	431
64%	Pass accuracy	76%

Rot-Weiß Essen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jakob Golz	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Jannik Hofmann	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	7.7
Ben Vincent Hüning	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Geschwill	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
Franci Bouebari	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
J. Sietan	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.3
Tony Menzel	89	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.5
Marvin Obuz	81	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	7.5
S. Telalović	80	1	0	2	2	0	1	Y	7.2
Noah Pesch	73	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.9
M. Janssen	73	1	0	4	2	1	0	0	7.7
Ruben Reisig sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
Dickson Abiama sub	17	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
Ruben Reisig sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
Jaka Cuber Potocnik sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Lucas Brumme sub	9	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	6.9
Luca Bazzoli sub	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	–

FC St. Pauli Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Voll	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
D. Nemeth	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
M. Mathisen	90	0	0	0	4	Y	6.9
T. Ando	90	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
A. Pyrka	90	1	0	1	0	Y	6.6
B. Hrgota	90	2	1	0	5	0	7.3
L. Oppie	77	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
M. Kaars	77	3	1	0	0	0	6.3
M. Rasmussen	65	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
T. Hara	65	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
J. Fujita	60	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Banks sub	30	0	0	1	1	0	6.5
E. Smith sub	25	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
R. Jones sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
E. Ahlstrand sub	13	0	0	0	2	0	7
C. Metcalfe sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Rot-Weiß EssenLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

FC St. PauliLLLDD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

Goals per game

Rot-Weiß Essen scored1

FC St. Pauli scored1.2

Rot-Weiß Essen conceded2.2

FC St. Pauli conceded2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v FC St. Pauli was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Rot-Weiß Essen and FC St. Pauli?: Recent form — Rot-Weiß Essen 1W 0D 4L; FC St. Pauli 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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