Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa prediction

Ekstraklasa · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gornik Zabrze · Legia Warszawa · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa, Ekstraklasa on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.35 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gornik Zabrze host Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Gornik Zabrze or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Legia Warszawa have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Gornik Zabrze have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 1.67. Gornik Zabrze have scored 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gornik Zabrze have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Legia Warszawa have five wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 0.88. Legia Warszawa have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Legia Warszawa have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Gornik Zabrze (second) and Legia Warszawa (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gornik Zabrze the stronger side, 41 rating points above Legia Warszawa (Gornik Zabrze 1781, Legia Warszawa 1740, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Legia Warszawa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze.

Team news

Predicted Gornik Zabrze XI (4-2-3-1): P. Schulze, R. Janicki, Josema, E. Janža, O. Zmrzly, P. Bernardo, K. UrbaÅski, M. Højholt, J. Kubicki, Peter, S. Liseth — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michal Sacek (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and K. UrbaÅski (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been Gornik Zabrze’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gornik Zabrze (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michal Sacek averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. K. UrbaÅski averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1273 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Legia Warszawa XI (3-4-2-1): O. Hindrich, R. Augustyniak, R. Deziel, K. Piątkowski, B. Kapustka, W. Urbański, P. Wszołek, K. Chodyna, R. Vinagre, D. Szymański, L. Zjawinski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Augustyniak (6.2 per match over 12 appearances, four goals and three assists) and B. Kapustka (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) have been Legia Warszawa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Legia Warszawa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Augustyniak averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1086 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. B. Kapustka averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1032 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:30 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Gornik Zabrze 1 · draws 2 · Legia Warszawa 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Gornik Zabrze 2W 3D 0L · Legia Warszawa 2W 2D 1L

Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.13

Corners

against 3.63 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 2.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Gornik Zabrze for / against	Line	Legia Warszawa for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.75 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Gornik Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze Goalkeeper

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Schulze	16	901440 min	402.5 /90	181.1 /90	00 /90

Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Schulze n 8	90	2 6/3

Gornik Zabrze Defensive

Gornik Zabrze — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Janicki	16	901440 min	150.9 /90	201.3 /90	130.8 /90	865.4 /90	110.7 /90	40.3 /90
Josema	15	871305 min	241.7 /90	261.8 /90	70.5 /90	594.1 /90	161.1 /90	30.2 /90
E. Janža	12	871047 min	201.7 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90	443.8 /90	151.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Sacek	12	871047 min	383.3 /90	232 /90	10.1 /90	615.2 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
Ondrej Zmrzly	9	74662 min	141.9 /90	111.5 /90	40.5 /90	263.5 /90	91.2 /90	10.1 /90
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Gornik Zabrze — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.9 5/2	—
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Maksym Khlan n 8	75	1.3 5/3	1.2 6/2	—
Josema n 8	90	1 6/2	0.8 4/2	—
K. UrbaÅski n 8	87	0.9 5/2	1.3 6/3	—
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Gornik Zabrze — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	1.1 6/2
Maksym Khlan n 8	75	1.1 7/0
Josema n 8	90	1.3 6/3
K. UrbaÅski n 8	87	0.8 3/2
Paulo Bernardo n 8	74.3	1.8 6/4
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Gornik Zabrze Attacking

Gornik Zabrze — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Maksym Khlan	16	751197 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	372.8 /90	171.3 /90	141.1 /90	221.7 /90
Sondre Liseth	13	49631 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90	152.1 /90	71 /90
E. Prekop	11	52577 min	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90
J. Antiste	6	54322 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Z. Inoussa	3	34101 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	32.7 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
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Gornik Zabrze — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	75	2.6 6/5	1.2 5/2
Josema n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	87	1.4 6/4	0.8 5/1
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Gornik Zabrze — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gornik Zabrze before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Janicki n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
P. Schulze n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maksym Khlan n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
Josema n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. UrbaÅski n 8	87	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa Goalkeeper

Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Hindrich	12	911086 min	373.1 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Hindrich n 8	90	3.5 8/5

Legia Warszawa Defensive

Legia Warszawa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Augustyniak	12	911086 min	191.6 /90	121 /90	121 /90	968 /90	181.5 /90	00 /90
K. Piątkowski	11	90994 min	171.5 /90	181.6 /90	60.5 /90	625.6 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
Robert Deziel	11	88972 min	171.6 /90	70.6 /90	70.6 /90	494.5 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
A. Reca	3	41123 min	53.7 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	75.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Z. Arsenic	2	85170 min	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Augustyniak n 8	90	1 5/3	1.6 6/5	—
O. Hindrich n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1	—
B. Kapustka n 8	85.5	0.5 3/1	1.6 6/5	—
K. Piątkowski n 8	89.8	0.8 5/1	1.3 6/3	—
Robert Deziel n 8	88.4	0.8 6/0	0.4 2/1	—
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Legia Warszawa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 8	90	1.4 5/2
B. Kapustka n 8	85.5	2.6 7/4
K. Piątkowski n 8	89.8	1.5 6/4
Robert Deziel n 8	88.4	1.4 8/2
P. Wszołek n 8	73.1	1.2 7/1
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Legia Warszawa Attacking

Legia Warszawa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Zjawinski	11	71785 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	171.9 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	10.1 /90
R. Adamski	10	56557 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	132.1 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90	50.8 /90
M. Ševčík	8	62499 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90	91.6 /90	50.9 /90
J. Żewłakow	7	30208 min	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	41.7 /90	41.7 /90	31.3 /90	31.3 /90
J. Kuchta	5	63313 min	00 /90	00 /90	72 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 8	90	1.4 7/4	0.8 4/2
O. Hindrich n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Kapustka n 8	85.5	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
K. Piątkowski n 8	89.8	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
Robert Deziel n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Legia Warszawa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
O. Hindrich n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Kapustka n 8	85.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Piątkowski n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Robert Deziel n 8	88.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Gornik ZabrzeWDWDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Legia WarszawaDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Gornik Zabrze 1 · 2 draws · Legia Warszawa 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-11 Legia Warszawa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
2025-10-05 Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Legia Warszawa
2025-04-06 Gornik Zabrze 1–2 Legia Warszawa
2024-09-28 Legia Warszawa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze
2024-04-01 Gornik Zabrze 1–3 Legia Warszawa
2023-09-24 Legia Warszawa 2–1 Gornik Zabrze

League standing · 2026/27

Gornik Zabrze#2 pos27 pts12 pl+10 GD

Legia Warszawa#4 pos23 pts12 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Gornik Zabrze scored1.75

Legia Warszawa scored1.92

Gornik Zabrze conceded0.92

Legia Warszawa conceded0.92

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Gornik Zabrze v Legia Warszawa is Home or Draw (best price 1.35 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa?: In their last 6 meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 1, Legia Warszawa won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa?: Recent form — Gornik Zabrze 2W 3D 0L; Legia Warszawa 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 03:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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