Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa result

Full-time · Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa · · Enea Poznań

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa — Lech Poznan won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lech Poznan beat Raków Częstochowa 1–0 at Enea Poznań in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 6 September. Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Raków Częstochowa are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lech Poznan: L. Bengtsson (71’, assisted by Pablo Rodríguez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Bengtsson’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Lech Poznan 2.84, Raków Częstochowa 0.40, from 27 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Damian Kos, Poland showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lech Poznan: Mateusz Skrzypczak (25’), Michał Gurgul (32’) and Wojciech Mońka (90+3’); Raków Częstochowa: Fran Tudor (9’), Tomasz Pieńko (40’) and Mahir Emreli (90+4’).

What it changes

Lech Poznan stay first after this result (six league matches played). Lech Poznan have scored 29 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lech Poznan have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Raków Częstochowa stay 18th after this result (six league matches played). Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lech Poznan have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Rodríguez (Lech Poznan) 6.2, Joel Pereira (Lech Poznan) 6.1 and J. C. Silva (Raków Częstochowa) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (389 of 581).

Next up

Lech Poznan next host Wisla Krakow on 31 October 2026.

Raków Częstochowa next host Pogon Szczecin on 2 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lech Poznan: Lech Poznan v Wisla Krakow, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Raków Częstochowa: Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin, Monday 2 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: Enea Poznań · Poznan
  • Referee: Damian Kos, Poland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lech Poznan 2 · draws 2 · Raków Częstochowa 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lech Poznan 4W 1D 0L · Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L

Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.13 / 3.86
Corners
against 4.13 / 6.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7.25 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 5.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.5 / 1.86
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · Damian Kos, Poland
17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLech Poznan for / againstLineRaków Częstochowa for / against
Goals scored
3.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
3our book
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.86 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
15.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
19.5standard
8.14 for · 8.43 against n 7
Shots on target
7.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.14 for · 13.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: Damian Kos, Poland — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 17 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan Goalkeeper

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Lis690540 min132.2 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lis n 690
2.23/2

Lech Poznan Defensive

Lech Poznan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Mońka690540 min00 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90111.8 /9020.3 /9000 /90
M. Gurgul683495 min30.5 /9081.5 /9040.7 /90112 /9030.5 /9000 /90
Joel Pereira678465 min132.5 /9030.6 /9000 /90275.2 /9091.7 /9010.2 /90
M. Skrzypczak390270 min00 /9041.3 /9031 /9031 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Yegbe390270 min20.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90103.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Mońka n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
Bogdan Racovitan
M. Lis n 690
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.74/1
0.74/1
Bogdan Racovitan
Joel Pereira n 880.6
1.47/2
0.83/2
Bogdan Racovitan
Pablo Rodríguez n 871.4
1.76/3
2.88/6
J. C. Silva
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Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Mońka n 890
0.11/0
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.74/1
Joel Pereira n 880.6
2.26/5
Pablo Rodríguez n 871.4
2.88/5
P. Wålemark n 872.6
0.93/3
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Lech Poznan Attacking

Lech Poznan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Y. Agnero647283 min10.3 /9000 /9092.9 /9051.6 /9031 /9031 /90
M. Ishak451203 min20.9 /9000 /9073.1 /9041.8 /9031.3 /9000 /90
Pablo Rodríguez673436 min10.2 /9020.4 /9081.7 /9040.8 /90142.9 /9051 /90
P. Wålemark671425 min20.4 /9020.4 /9071.5 /9061.3 /9081.7 /9030.6 /90
R. Murawski663380 min00 /9000 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
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Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lis n 690
00/0
00/0
W. Mońka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Gurgul n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
Joel Pereira n 880.6
0.31/1
00/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 871.4
1.76/3
0.83/2
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Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Mońka n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Lis n 690
00/0
00/0
M. Gurgul n 884.4
00/0
0.32/0
Joel Pereira n 880.6
00/0
0.32/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 871.4
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trelowski490360 min143.5 /90112.8 /9010.3 /90
W. Zolneczko19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 890
3.97/6

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan590450 min51 /9051 /9051 /90204 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
Didí Gaucho459237 min93.4 /9062.3 /9010.4 /90238.7 /9083 /9020.8 /90
F. Tudor384251 min82.9 /9082.9 /9020.7 /90186.5 /9031.1 /9020.7 /90
J. Napieraj278156 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9084.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
M. Perović24181 min33.3 /9011.1 /9000 /9066.7 /9033.3 /9000 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
1.26/2
0.93/1
Joel Pereira
P. Makuch n 881.3
1.47/3
1.57/3
—
M. Emreli n 579.8
0.93/1
0.52/0
—
J. C. Silva n 869.3
0.84/1
2.15/3
Pablo Rodríguez
V. Kochergin n 858
0.42/0
0.42/0
—
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
1.35/2
P. Makuch n 881.3
0.42/1
M. Emreli n 579.8
0.21/0
J. C. Silva n 869.3
1.65/3
V. Kochergin n 858
0.83/1
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Makuch584421 min20.4 /9000 /90132.8 /9051.1 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
M. Emreli580399 min30.7 /9010.2 /90143.2 /9071.6 /9061.4 /9061.4 /90
Tomasz Pieńko471283 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Adam Basse12929 min00 /9000 /9013.1 /9000 /9000 /9013.1 /90
J. C. Silva574369 min00 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9010.2 /9061.5 /9082 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 881.3
2.26/6
14/3
M. Emreli n 579.8
3.25/4
1.64/3
J. C. Silva n 869.3
0.85/0
0.53/0
V. Kochergin n 858
0.63/0
00/0
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bogdan Racovitan n 884.4
00/0
00/0
P. Makuch n 881.3
0.32/0
00/0
M. Emreli n 579.8
0.73/0
0.21/0
J. C. Silva n 869.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
V. Kochergin n 858
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
52%Possession48%
2.84Expected goals (xG)0.40
27Shots8
6Shots on target1
11Shots off target5
10Blocked shots2
20Shots inside the box6
8Corners2
1Offsides0
15Fouls10
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves5
438Passes400
83%Pass accuracy84%

Lech Poznan Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Lis9000000107.3
Pablo Rodríguez9001103207.9
M. Gurgul90000010Y6.9
W. Mońka90000012Y7.2
R. Murawski9000102207.2
Joel Pereira90001073010
F. Jagiełło7500001106.9
Allahyar Sayyad6800110107
Y. Agnero5400500005.9
M. Skrzypczak45000000Y6.6
L. Palma4500201106.9
T. Yegbe sub4500001107.3
P. Wålemark sub4500223007.6
M. Ishak sub3600220006.9
L. Bengtsson sub2210111008
Gustav Berggren sub1500102006.7

Raków Częstochowa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Struski9000001006.6
J. C. Silva9000001307.3
O. Repka9000000106.9
Bogdan Racovitan9000000007.2
M. Emreli90002020Y6.3
K. Trelowski9000000008.2
F. Tudor79000000Y6.7
Tomasz Pieńko79000001Y6.2
P. Makuch7900211207.2
S. Svarnas7600000106.9
Adam Basse4500100106.9
Á. Molnár1100001006.4
A. Molnar1100001006.4
V. Kochergin sub4500100106.5
I. Brusberg sub1400000006.2
M. Perović sub1100000006.9
J. Jendryka sub1100001006.7
Adin Molnar sub1100001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Lech PoznanWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Raków CzęstochowaLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lech Poznan 2 · 2 draws · Raków Częstochowa 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Lech Poznan 4–3 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2025-09-24 Raków Częstochowa 2–2 Lech Poznan
  • 2025-02-14 Lech Poznan 0–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2024-08-09 Raków Częstochowa 0–0 Lech Poznan
  • 2024-03-03 Raków Częstochowa 4–0 Lech Poznan
  • 2023-09-28 Lech Poznan 4–1 Raków Częstochowa
League standing · 2026/27
Lech Poznan#1 pos28 pts11 pl+19 GD
Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Lech Poznan scored2.64
Raków Częstochowa scored1.33
Lech Poznan conceded0.91
Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa?
In their last 6 meetings, Lech Poznan won 2, Raków Częstochowa won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa?
Recent form — Lech Poznan 4W 1D 0L; Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L.

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