Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin prediction

Ekstraklasa · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:15 GMT · Enea Stadion

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lech Poznan · Zaglebie Lubin · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin, Ekstraklasa on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:15 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lech Poznan host Zaglebie Lubin in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 19:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Lech Poznan to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Lech Poznan have scored 32 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). 13 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Lech Poznan have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Lech Poznan have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 3.13 and conceding 1.13. Lech Poznan have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Six of Zaglebie Lubin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Zaglebie Lubin’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Zaglebie Lubin have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Zaglebie Lubin have scored 16 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Zaglebie Lubin have conceded 15 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Zaglebie Lubin are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Lech Poznan (first) and Zaglebie Lubin (fifth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lech Poznan the stronger side, 371 rating points above Zaglebie Lubin (Lech Poznan 1916, Zaglebie Lubin 1545, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech Poznan.

Team news

Predicted Lech Poznan XI (4-2-3-1): M. Lis, M. Skrzypczak, M. Gurgul, J. Pereira, T. Yegbe, R. Murawski, A. Kozubal, P. Wålemark, P. Rodríguez, L. Bengtsson, Y. Agnero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pablo Rodríguez (5.6 per match over 18 appearances, six goals and seven assists) and P. Wålemark (4.5 per match over 18 appearances, eight goals and three assists) have been Lech Poznan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lech Poznan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pablo Rodríguez averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1305 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. P. Wålemark averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1337 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Zaglebie Lubin XI (5-4-1): Z. Alomerovic, A. Ławniczak, R. Yakuba, M. Nalepa, D. Michalski, D. Colina, D. Dąbrowski, F. Kocaba, J. Ćorluka, S. Kerk, M. Reguła — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Reguła (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, three goals) and J. Ćorluka (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Zaglebie Lubin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Zaglebie Lubin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Reguła averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1192 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. J. Ćorluka averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 728 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:15 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Enea Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lech Poznan 4 · draws 1 · Zaglebie Lubin 1 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L · Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L

Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.75 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 3.38

Corners

against 5.5 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 7.25 / 5.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2.88

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lech Poznan for / against	Line	Zaglebie Lubin for / against
Goals scored	2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.63 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 17.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.88 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan Goalkeeper

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Lis	17	901530 min	623.6 /90	90.5 /90	00 /90

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Lis n 8	90	5.5 8/6

Lech Poznan Defensive

Lech Poznan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Gurgul	17	871485 min	171 /90	231.4 /90	80.5 /90	422.5 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
Joel Pereira	17	831414 min	352.2 /90	110.7 /90	30.2 /90	865.5 /90	161 /90	20.1 /90
M. Skrzypczak	13	871125 min	70.6 /90	131 /90	50.4 /90	413.3 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
W. Mońka	12	841005 min	60.5 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	292.6 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
T. Yegbe	11	82898 min	70.7 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	262.6 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/3	—
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0.6 3/2	1.9 6/6	—
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68.1	1.2 6/1	3 8/6	—
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	0.5 3/0	2 7/3	—
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Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Gurgul n 8	90	1.1 5/3
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	2.1 6/3
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68.1	1.3 5/2
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	0.7 4/0
R. Murawski n 8	82.9	2.7 5/4
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Lech Poznan Attacking

Lech Poznan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Agnero	15	47707 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	202.5 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	101.3 /90
M. Ishak	12	61729 min	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	263.2 /90	121.5 /90	111.4 /90	00 /90
Pablo Rodríguez	17	721224 min	60.4 /90	70.5 /90	292.1 /90	120.9 /90	362.6 /90	181.3 /90
P. Wålemark	17	681157 min	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	342.6 /90	231.8 /90	272.1 /90	161.2 /90
R. Murawski	16	751197 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	80.6 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	30.2 /90
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Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68.1	3 8/4	1.3 5/3
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	4.1 8/4	2.4 8/4
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Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68.1	0.8 3/2	0.7 2/1
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Zaglebie Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin Goalkeeper

Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Alomerovic	12	901080 min	393.3 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90
J. Burić	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Zaglebie Lubin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Alomerovic n 8	90	4 8/7
J. Burić n 8	90	3.5 7/5

Zaglebie Lubin Defensive

Zaglebie Lubin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Ławniczak	13	891162 min	110.9 /90	110.9 /90	120.9 /90	645 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90
M. Nalepa	11	85939 min	30.3 /90	131.2 /90	101 /90	545.2 /90	101 /90	20.2 /90
R. Yakuba	10	81810 min	182 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	515.7 /90	111.2 /90	30.3 /90
D. Michalski	10	60604 min	40.6 /90	101.5 /90	50.7 /90	263.9 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
D. Colina	8	60479 min	91.7 /90	61.1 /90	00 /90	142.6 /90	81.5 /90	40.8 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Kocaba n 8	90.8	1 6/2	1.6 7/5	—
A. Ławniczak n 8	89	0.6 4/1	0.6 4/1	—
M. Reguła n 8	88.1	2.2 5/4	2.8 8/7	—
Z. Alomerovic n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. Kerk n 8	47.1	0.7 2/1	0.7 2/1	—
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Zaglebie Lubin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 8	90.8	1.9 8/6
A. Ławniczak n 8	89	1 6/2
M. Reguła n 8	88.1	2.3 7/5
S. Kerk n 8	47.1	1.2 4/1
M. Nalepa n 8	83.6	0.4 2/1
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Zaglebie Lubin Attacking

Zaglebie Lubin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Reguła	13	881146 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	352.7 /90	141.1 /90	90.7 /90	221.7 /90
Filip Szymczak	11	50554 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	61 /90
M. Kosidis	6	42251 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.2 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
M. Mlinarić	5	37187 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
L. Szabó	3	37111 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Zaglebie Lubin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 8	90.8	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
A. Ławniczak n 8	89	1.3 5/2	0.6 4/1
M. Reguła n 8	88.1	2.8 8/7	1 6/2
Z. Alomerovic n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Kerk n 8	47.1	1.4 5/1	0.7 3/0
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Zaglebie Lubin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Zaglebie Lubin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Kocaba n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Ławniczak n 8	89	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Reguła n 8	88.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Z. Alomerovic n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Kerk n 8	47.1	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Lech PoznanWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Zaglebie LubinLLWDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lech Poznan 4 · 1 draw · Zaglebie Lubin 1 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-03-15 Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech Poznan
2025-09-12 Lech Poznan 1–2 Zaglebie Lubin
2025-02-23 Lech Poznan 3–1 Zaglebie Lubin
2024-08-17 Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech Poznan
2024-02-10 Lech Poznan 2–0 Zaglebie Lubin
2023-08-06 Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Lech Poznan

League standing · 2026/27

Lech Poznan#1 pos31 pts12 pl+21 GD

Zaglebie Lubin#5 pos22 pts13 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Lech Poznan scored2.67

Zaglebie Lubin scored1.23

Lech Poznan conceded0.92

Zaglebie Lubin conceded1.15

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lech Poznan v Zaglebie Lubin is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin?: In their last 6 meetings, Lech Poznan won 4, Zaglebie Lubin won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lech Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin?: Recent form — Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L; Zaglebie Lubin 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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