NiecieczaLegia Warszawa

Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa result

Full-time · Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa · · Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa — Legia Warszawa won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Legia Warszawa won 1–0 at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 10 May.

Nieciecza have conceded 61 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Legia Warszawa led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Legia Warszawa: R. Adamski (19’, assisted by K. Piątkowski).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Adamski’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Nieciecza 0.81, Legia Warszawa 0.51, from 10 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

K. Arys showed three yellow cards — against 1.0 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nieciecza: G. Isik (42’) and R. Kurzawa (62’); Legia Warszawa: D. Szymański (53’).

What it changes

Nieciecza have scored 37 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game).

Legia Warszawa have scored 36 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Legia Warszawa have conceded 36 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Piątkowski (Legia Warszawa) 6.3, R. Adamski (Legia Warszawa) 5.1 and A. Kasperkiewicz (Nieciecza) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Legia Warszawa, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.4% of the time in the last 90 days (970 of 1419).

Next up

Legia Warszawa next host Raków Częstochowa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Legia Warszawa: Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica · Nieciecza
  • Referee: K. Arys
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Nieciecza 1 · draws 1 · Legia Warszawa 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nieciecza 2W 0D 3L · Legia Warszawa 3W 1D 1L

Nieciecza 0–1 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 2.5 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.8 / 5.17
Corners
against 6.6 / 3.33 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
4.6 / 3
Shots on target
against 6.2 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.17
Cards
against 2.8 / 2.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
1 yellows
Referee · K. Arys
12.73 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNieciecza for / againstLineLegia Warszawa for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.5 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.8 for · 6.6 against n 5
9.5standard
5.17 for · 3.33 against n 6
Shots
12.2 for · 15.8 against n 5
19.5standard
11.83 for · 11.5 against n 6
Shots on target
4.6 for · 6.2 against n 5
8.5standard
3 for · 2.5 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.6 for · 11.4 against n 5
21.5standard
14.17 for · 12.83 against n 6
Cards shown
2.4 for · 2.8 against n 5
3.5standard
2.17 for · 2.17 against n 6

Referee: K. Arys — 1 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 12.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nieciecza

Nieciecza Goalkeeper

Nieciecza — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Chovan590450 min204 /90122.4 /9000 /90
Nieciecza — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nieciecza before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Chovan n 590
44/4

Nieciecza Defensive

Nieciecza — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Masoero581405 min61.3 /9051.1 /9020.4 /90163.6 /9040.9 /9000 /90
A. Kasperkiewicz574371 min51.2 /90102.4 /9061.5 /90204.9 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90
G. Isik468270 min82.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90113.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
A. Putivtsev364192 min41.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90167.5 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
M. Matysik360180 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /90126 /9021 /9000 /90
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Nieciecza — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nieciecza before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Chovan n 590
00/0
0.21/0
—
R. Boboc n 589
1.44/3
00/0
—
M. Ambrosiewicz n 588.8
1.45/2
1.65/2
B. Kapustka
K. Zapolnik n 584.4
1.94/3
1.74/3
—
L. Masoero n 581
0.93/1
0.21/0
—
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Nieciecza — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nieciecza before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Boboc n 589
1.44/3
M. Ambrosiewicz n 588.8
0.41/1
K. Zapolnik n 584.4
0.63/0
L. Masoero n 581
1.34/2
A. Kasperkiewicz n 574.2
1.23/2
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Nieciecza Attacking

Nieciecza — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Zapolnik584422 min30.6 /9000 /9071.5 /9051.1 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90
Jesús Jiménez573364 min10.2 /9010.2 /9051.2 /9051.2 /9051.2 /9020.5 /90
M. Faßbender360179 min00 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9000 /9021 /90
I. Durdov22856 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Trubeha22754 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023.3 /90
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Nieciecza — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nieciecza before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Chovan n 590
00/0
00/0
R. Boboc n 589
0.21/0
00/0
M. Ambrosiewicz n 588.8
0.83/1
0.21/0
K. Zapolnik n 584.4
1.54/3
1.14/1
L. Masoero n 581
00/0
00/0
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Nieciecza — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nieciecza before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Chovan n 590
00/0
00/0
R. Boboc n 589
00/0
00/0
M. Ambrosiewicz n 588.8
00/0
00/0
K. Zapolnik n 584.4
0.63/0
00/0
L. Masoero n 581
00/0
00/0
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Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa Goalkeeper

Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Tobiasz1190990 min211.9 /90151.4 /9000 /90
O. Hindrich690540 min101.7 /9050.8 /9000 /90
G. Kobylak19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Tobiasz n 890
1.84/2
O. Hindrich n 690
1.72/2

Legia Warszawa Defensive

Legia Warszawa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
P. Wszołek14871212 min151.1 /9070.5 /9010.1 /90564.2 /90161.2 /9020.1 /90
K. Piątkowski13871125 min272.2 /90191.5 /90110.9 /90735.8 /9070.6 /9020.2 /90
M. Čupić1184923 min161.6 /90121.2 /9080.8 /90595.8 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Rúben Vinagre1068679 min50.7 /9091.2 /9020.3 /90293.8 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90
A. Reca856450 min153 /90122.4 /9010.2 /90306 /9051 /9000 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rajović n 877.8
1.35/3
0.43/0
—
P. Wszołek n 884
1.26/3
0.75/0
—
K. Piątkowski n 890
0.43/0
0.65/0
—
R. Augustyniak n 874.4
0.93/2
0.64/0
—
B. Kapustka n 862
2.77/3
0.52/1
M. Ambrosiewicz
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Legia Warszawa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rajović n 877.8
0.63/1
P. Wszołek n 884
1.16/2
K. Piątkowski n 890
2.48/6
R. Augustyniak n 874.4
1.77/4
B. Kapustka n 862
2.26/4
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Legia Warszawa Attacking

Legia Warszawa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Rajović17661121 min50.4 /9000 /90322.6 /90151.2 /90100.8 /9040.3 /90
E. Krasniqi959528 min00 /9000 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90101.7 /90233.9 /90
A. Čolak745314 min10.3 /9000 /9092.6 /9030.9 /9041.1 /9000 /90
R. Adamski565324 min10.3 /9010.3 /9061.7 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9051.4 /90
J. Nsame462248 min20.7 /9010.4 /9093.3 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rajović n 877.8
2.98/5
1.66/2
P. Wszołek n 884
0.43/0
00/0
K. Piątkowski n 890
16/2
0.43/0
R. Augustyniak n 874.4
0.82/2
0.21/0
B. Kapustka n 862
0.73/1
0.53/0
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Legia Warszawa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rajović n 877.8
0.63/1
00/0
P. Wszołek n 884
00/0
00/0
K. Piątkowski n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Augustyniak n 874.4
0.21/0
00/0
B. Kapustka n 862
0.42/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NiecieczaLegia Warszawa
59%Possession41%
0.81Expected goals (xG)0.51
10Shots6
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
6Corners1
3Offsides3
14Fouls17
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
514Passes361
79%Pass accuracy80%

Nieciecza Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Chovan9000000006.3
A. Kasperkiewicz9000000307.5
G. Isik90001001Y6.5
R. Kurzawa90000010Y7.3
Mini9000101106.9
D. Hilbrycht9000102307.2
K. Zapolnik9000311006.3
A. Putivtsev8600000406.6
M. Ambrosiewicz7500110106.9
M. Matysik4500000006.2
I. Durdov4500000006.3
R. Boboc sub4500111006.9
Jesús Jiménez sub4500111106.9
A. Trubeha sub1500000006.9
W. Jakubik sub1200000106.9

Legia Warszawa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
O. Hindrich9000000008.2
K. Piątkowski9001001207
R. Augustyniak9000100207.2
M. Čupić9000000207.2
K. Chodyna9000001006.3
B. Kapustka9000000206.3
J. Elitim9000000207.3
P. Kun9000102006.9
D. Szymański78000012Y7.3
R. Adamski7110211007.9
J. Nsame6100100006.5
E. Krasniqi sub1900000106.5
M. Rajović sub1700000006.7
A. Jędrzejczyk sub1200000006.7
W. Urbański sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NiecieczaWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Legia WarszawaWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Nieciecza 1 · 1 draw · Legia Warszawa 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-09 Legia Warszawa 1–2 Nieciecza
  • 2022-03-15 Legia Warszawa 4–1 Nieciecza
  • 2022-02-19 Nieciecza 0–0 Legia Warszawa
League standing · 2025/26
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Nieciecza#18 pos34 pts34 pl-22 GD
Legia Warszawa#6 pos49 pts34 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Nieciecza scored1.26
Legia Warszawa scored1.24
Nieciecza conceded1.91
Legia Warszawa conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nieciecza v Legia Warszawa was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nieciecza and Legia Warszawa?
In their last 3 meetings, Nieciecza won 1, Legia Warszawa won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nieciecza and Legia Warszawa?
Recent form — Nieciecza 2W 0D 3L; Legia Warszawa 3W 1D 1L.

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